Rizespor vs Goztepe – 10 Aug 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 1 Sun, Aug 10 · 17:00 Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize

Rizespor

0–3Full time

Goztepe

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Rizespor were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Rizespor had ? days of rest, Goztepe ? and had to travel 1,180 km.

Away travel1,180 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0

Rizespor43%

Draw27%

Goztepe30%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.19

Rizespor43%

Draw27%

Goztepe30%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.20

Rizespor43%

Draw27%

Goztepe30%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.19

Rizespor36%

Draw27%

Goztepe37%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.33

Rizespor43%

Draw27%

Goztepe30%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.20

Over 2.5 50% Both score 54% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Rize)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeMehmet Turkmen

Cards per match 2.5
Penalties per match 0.00
Matches 4

Team strength

Rizespor

Goztepe

21 L90 StrengthIn forecast 22

22 Current StrengthIn forecast 29

22 AttackIn forecast 39

35 DefenceIn forecast 36

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Rizespor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Goztepe

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Rizespor

Goztepe

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.80 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.60

1.45 xGVia Att/Def 1.90

1.06 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.14

+0.35 Goals minus xGContext -0.40

70% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 0%

11.40 ShotsContext 18.20

5.10 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 6.30

45% On target shareContext 35%

7.60 Shots in the boxContext 12.90

64% Box shareContext 70%

16% ConversionContext 8%

2.43 OffsidesContext 2.33

14.90 Shots allowedContext 11.30

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 3.70

3.90 BlocksContext 3.44

3.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.00

71% Save rateContext 54%

46% PossessionIn forecast 47%

342 PassesContext 331

281 Accurate passesContext 246

82% Pass accuracyContext 74%

7.00 Team ratingContext 7.03

11.30 FoulsContext 16.40

10.80 Fouls sufferedContext 8.60

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Rizespor

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Goztepe

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel1,180 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Rizespor	Goztepe
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	—	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	1,180 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	6.1	6.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Rizespor Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1E. Canpolat(G)

5C. Højer 3S. Akaydin 4A. Mocsi 37M. Şahin

6G. Papanikolaou 54M. Pala

7V. Mihăilă 20Q. Laçi 10I. Olawoyin

9A. Sowe

Goztepe Confirmed XI

3-4-1-2

1M. Lis(G)

26M. Bokele 5Héliton 4T. Altıkardeş

15A. Cherni 6Rhaldney 20N. Miroshi 2A. Kurtulan

10Junior Olaitan

39Janderson 9Juan

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Rizespor Absences are shown before kick-off

Goztepe Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Rizespor+0.2 pp
Draw-0.1 pp
Goztepe-0.2 pp

Home / Away this season

Rizespor · Home No home games yet this season.

Goztepe · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Rizespor wins0 draws1 Goztepe wins

Goals per game3.00 – 3.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored50% Clean sheets0% · 50%

18 May 2025Rizespor6–3Goztepe
22 Dec 2024Goztepe3–0Rizespor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Rizespor	Goztepe	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.68
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	50%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	54%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	Rizespor	Goztepe	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.68
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	50%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	54%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Rizespor	Goztepe	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	5.00
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	4.33
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	Rizespor	Goztepe	League
Corners
Corners won	6.30	5.20
Corners conceded	4.60	3.80
Match total	10.90	9.00	5.00
Over 8.5	80% 8/10	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	60% 6/10	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	2.40	2.00
Opponent cards	1.20	1.70
Match total	3.60	3.70	4.33
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Mehmet Turkmen Türkiye · 4 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards2.50league 4.00

Red cards0.00league 0.33

Cards 5+0%league 67%

Fouls19.7league 28.7

Penalties0.00league 1.00

Home wins50%league 67%

Rizespor1 with this referee

Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.3.0 · 0.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

W3 May 25H · Gazişehir Gaziantep2–03

Goztepe

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.