UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round Play-off round Tue, Aug 25 · 17:45 Bank Respublika Arena, Masazir
Sabah FA 12th · 0 pts · 1 played
First leg1–2 5–2Full time
Hapoel Beer Sheva 3rd · 3 pts · 1 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,696 kmRest days5.9 · 5.9Matches / 14d1 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Sabah FA—%
Draw—%
Hapoel Beer Sheva—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Masazir)

No weather data yet

Referee · RomaniaIstvan Kovacs
  • Cards per match 4.5
  • Penalties per match 0.22
  • Matches 32

Team strength

Sabah FAHapoel Beer Sheva
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
26 Current StrengthIn forecast 28
30 AttackIn forecast 26
27 DefenceIn forecast 31
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Sabah FA

Attack—
Defense risk—

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Sabah FAHapoel Beer Sheva
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.60 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.00
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
80% Scored inContext 90%
40% Clean sheetsContext 40%
16.00 ShotsContext —
6.25 Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
39% On target shareContext 39%
11.00 Shots in the boxContext —
58% Box shareContext —
13% ConversionContext 11%
1.67 OffsidesContext —
13.00 Shots allowedContext —
4.75 On target allowedVia Att/Def —
4.33 BlocksContext —
3.33 Goalkeeper savesContext —
67% Save rateContext 80%
48% PossessionIn forecast —
370 PassesContext —
307 Accurate passesContext —
83% Pass accuracyContext —
7.09 Team ratingContext —
9.33 FoulsContext —
11.67 Fouls sufferedContext —
1.90 Yellow cardsContext 3.60
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Sabah FA
Rest5.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km3,393 km in 14d
Schedule load10%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Rest5.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel1,696 km3,896 km in 14d
Schedule load30%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Sabah FA Hapoel Beer Sheva
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 10Moderate · 30
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match5.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round, 19 Aug5.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round, 19 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,696 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways3,393 km3,896 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 31 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one16.122.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Sabah FA Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
92S. Pokatilov(G)
27T. Puchacz 5R. Daşdəmirov 3S. Solvet 80A. Zedadka
13I. Lepinjica 7U. Rahmonaliyev
8C. Nwachukwu 21V. Simić 11K. Parris
20J. Mickels
Hapoel Beer Sheva Confirmed XI
4-3-3
1O. Marciano(G)
5Pedro Amador 12I. Rotman 4M. Vítor 2G. Mizrahi
7E. Peretz 25Lucas Ventura 28N. Yehoshua
9Z. Ahmed 66I. Zlatanović 20J. East

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Sabah FA Absences are shown before kick-off
Hapoel Beer Sheva Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Sabah FA · Home No home games yet this season.
Hapoel Beer Sheva · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings

0 Sabah FA wins0 draws1 Hapoel Beer Sheva wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.00 Over 2.5100% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%
  • 19 Aug 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva2–1Sabah FA

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

Sabah FAHapoel Beer ShevaForecast
Scored per game 1.002.00
Conceded per game 2.001.00
Match goals 3.003.00
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 100%100%
Over 3.5 0%0%
Both teams scored 100%100%
Clean sheets 0%0%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games11
Sabah FAHapoel Beer ShevaForecast
Scored per game 1.861.60
Conceded per game 0.710.60
Match goals 2.572.20
Over 1.5 86%80%
Over 2.5 57%40%
Over 3.5 14%0%
Both teams scored 43%40%
Clean sheets 57%60%
Failed to score 0%0%
Games75

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Sabah FAHapoel Beer ShevaLeague
Corners
Corners won2.003.00
Corners conceded3.002.00
Match total5.005.008.00
Over 8.50% 0/10% 0/1
Over 9.50% 0/10% 0/1
Over 10.50% 0/10% 0/1
Cards
Cards0.003.00
Opponent cards3.000.00
Match total3.003.001.80
Over 3.50% 0/10% 0/1
Over 4.50% 0/10% 0/1
Sabah FAHapoel Beer ShevaLeague
Corners
Corners won4.253.00
Corners conceded4.002.50
Match total8.255.508.00
Over 8.550% 2/40% 0/2
Over 9.550% 2/40% 0/2
Over 10.550% 2/40% 0/2
Cards
Cards2.004.20
Opponent cards2.002.00
Match total4.006.201.80
Over 3.550% 5/1070% 7/10
Over 4.520% 2/1070% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Istvan Kovacs Romania · 32 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.28league 2.29
Red cards0.25league 0.00
Cards 5+56%league 0%
Fouls25.1league 21.7
Penalties0.22league 0.14
Home wins44%league 29%
Sabah FA

No previous matches with this referee.

Hapoel Beer Sheva

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Sabah FA1 games · scored 1 · conceded 2
1 0-15
16-30
1 31-45
46-60
61-75
1 76-90
Hapoel Beer Sheva1 games · scored 2 · conceded 1
1 0-15
16-30
1 31-45
46-60
61-75
1 76-90
Sabah FA10 games · scored 16 · conceded 11
2 0-15
1 1 16-30
2 3 31-45
2 1 46-60
6 1 61-75
3 5 76-90
Hapoel Beer Sheva9 games · scored 12 · conceded 10
1 1 0-15
1 16-30
3 2 31-45
2 3 46-60
2 61-75
3 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.