UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Tue, Jul 21 · 17:00 Bank Respublika Arena, Masazir
Sabah FA 1st · 6 pts · 2 played
1–0Full time
KuPS
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel2,902 kmRest days6.9 · ?Matches / 14d2 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Sabah FA—%
Draw—%
KuPS—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Masazir)

No weather data yet

Referee · PolandLukasz Kuzma
  • Cards per match 4.0
  • Penalties per match 0.38
  • Matches 21

Team strength

Sabah FAKuPS
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
26 Current StrengthIn forecast 8
30 AttackIn forecast 7
27 DefenceIn forecast 9
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Sabah FA

Attack—
Defense risk—

KuPS

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Sabah FAKuPS
2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.00
0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext 100%
50% Clean sheetsContext 50%
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
50% On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
17% ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
2.00 Yellow cardsContext 2.50
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games
1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.00
1.80 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10
— xGVia Att/Def 0.65
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.56
— Goals minus xGContext +0.35
60% Scored inContext 50%
20% Clean sheetsContext 30%
— ShotsContext 8.00
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 2.29
50% On target shareContext 25%
— Shots in the boxContext 5.71
— Box shareContext 65%
17% ConversionContext 9%
— OffsidesContext 1.20
— Shots allowedContext 14.88
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.88
— BlocksContext 3.25
— Goalkeeper savesContext 3.63
— Save rateContext 74%
— PossessionIn forecast 52%
— PassesContext 499
— Accurate passesContext 419
— Pass accuracyContext 84%
— Team ratingContext 6.88
— FoulsContext 10.50
— Fouls sufferedContext 8.75
2.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.10
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Sabah FA
Rest6.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
KuPS
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel2,902 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Sabah FA KuPS
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6.9UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 14 Jul—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km2,902 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 20 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

Sabah FA Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
92S. Pokatilov(G)
27T. Puchacz 5R. Daşdəmirov 3S. Solvet 80A. Zedadka
7U. Rahmonaliyev 13I. Lepinjica
21V. Simić 10A. Isaev 11K. Parris
20J. Mickels
KuPS Confirmed XI
4-2-2-2
1J. Kreidl(G)
25C. Antwi 4K. Adams 28B. Magassa 29Akseli Puukko
8P. Pennanen 10V. Gasc
24B. Armah 16T. Jyry
9Gustav Engvall 20P. Parzyszek

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Sabah FA Absences are shown before kick-off
KuPS Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Sabah FA · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
0.00
KuPS · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

Sabah FAKuPSForecast
Scored per game 2.00—
Conceded per game 0.50—
Match goals 2.50—
Over 1.5 100%—
Over 2.5 50%—
Over 3.5 0%—
Both teams scored 50%—
Clean sheets 50%—
Failed to score 0%—
Games20
Sabah FAKuPSForecast
Scored per game 2.00—
Conceded per game 0.50—
Match goals 2.50—
Over 1.5 100%—
Over 2.5 50%—
Over 3.5 0%—
Both teams scored 50%—
Clean sheets 50%—
Failed to score 0%—
Games20

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

Sabah FAKuPSLeague
Corners
Corners won3.00—
Corners conceded3.00—
Match total6.00—7.13
Over 8.50% 0/1—
Over 9.50% 0/1—
Over 10.50% 0/1—
Cards
Cards2.502.50
Opponent cards2.004.50
Match total4.507.005.38
Over 3.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Over 4.550% 1/2100% 2/2
Sabah FAKuPSLeague
Corners
Corners won3.002.57
Corners conceded3.006.14
Match total6.008.717.13
Over 8.50% 0/143% 3/7
Over 9.50% 0/129% 2/7
Over 10.50% 0/129% 2/7
Cards
Cards2.501.30
Opponent cards1.602.00
Match total4.103.305.38
Over 3.560% 6/1040% 4/10
Over 4.550% 5/1020% 2/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Lukasz Kuzma Poland · 21 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.90league 4.39
Red cards0.05league 0.32
Cards 5+38%league 36%
Fouls24.8league 18.0
Penalties0.38league 0.46
Home wins48%league 46%
Sabah FA

No previous matches with this referee.

KuPS

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Sabah FA2 games · scored 4 · conceded 1
0-15
1 16-30
1 31-45
46-60
1 61-75
1 1 76-90
KuPS2 games · scored 4 · conceded 3
0-15
16-30
1 31-45
1 1 46-60
61-75
2 2 76-90
Sabah FA10 games · scored 15 · conceded 18
2 1 0-15
2 2 16-30
1 2 31-45
1 3 46-60
5 3 61-75
4 7 76-90
KuPS10 games · scored 10 · conceded 11
3 0-15
16-30
2 1 31-45
4 2 46-60
1 1 61-75
3 4 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.