UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Tue, Jul 7 · 17:00 Bank Respublika Arena, Masazir
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Sabah FA—%
Draw—%
The New Saints—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Masazir)

No weather data yet

Referee · PolandPatryk Gryckiewicz
  • Cards per match 4.4
  • Penalties per match 0.45
  • Matches 20

Team strength

Sabah FAThe New Saints
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
26 Current StrengthIn forecast 3
30 AttackIn forecast 3
27 DefenceIn forecast 3
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Sabah FA

Attack—
Defense risk—

The New Saints

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Sabah FAThe New Saints
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.30 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.90
1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20
— xGVia Att/Def 0.85
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.39
— Goals minus xGContext +0.05
50% Scored inContext 50%
20% Clean sheetsContext 40%
— ShotsContext 8.50
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.40
42% On target shareContext 33%
— Shots in the boxContext 6.00
— Box shareContext 59%
8% ConversionContext 10%
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext 20.17
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.17
— BlocksContext 6.67
— Goalkeeper savesContext 5.17
67% Save rateContext 72%
— PossessionIn forecast 35%
— PassesContext 348
— Accurate passesContext 273
— Pass accuracyContext 78%
— Team ratingContext 6.94
— FoulsContext 9.67
— Fouls sufferedContext 9.50
2.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.20
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Sabah FA
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
The New Saints
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel—0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Sabah FA The New Saints
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match——
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 00 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one7.17.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

Sabah FA Confirmed XI
4-3-3
92S. Pokatilov(G)
27T. Puchacz 5R. Daşdəmirov 3S. Solvet 80A. Zedadka
13I. Lepinjica 10A. Isaev 7U. Rahmonaliyev
19A. Malouda 20J. Mickels 21V. Simić
The New Saints Confirmed XI
4-3-3
1N. Shepperd(G)
10D. Redmond 6J. Bodenham 16D. Simeu 14D. Williams
15E. Farrell 4D. Corness 21L. Smith
19B. Clark 17J. Williams 20R. Hughes

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Sabah FA Absences are shown before kick-off
The New Saints Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Sabah FA · Home No home games yet this season.
The New Saints · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Referee · Patryk Gryckiewicz Poland · 20 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.10
Red cards0.25
Cards 5+50%
Fouls25.2
Penalties0.45
Home wins60%
Sabah FA

No previous matches with this referee.

The New Saints

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Sabah FA
No complete event data.
The New Saints
No complete event data.
Sabah FA10 games · scored 13 · conceded 19
2 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
2 31-45
1 4 46-60
6 3 61-75
3 6 76-90
The New Saints10 games · scored 9 · conceded 12
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
3 3 31-45
1 46-60
1 3 61-75
2 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.