UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Tue, Jul 21 · 17:00 Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, Tbilisi
Saburtalo
0–2Full time
Slovan Bratislava
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel2,284 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Saburtalo—%
Draw—%
Slovan Bratislava—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Tbilisi)

No weather data yet

Referee · SwitzerlandLukas Fahndrich
  • Cards per match 2.5
  • Penalties per match 0.00
  • Matches 2

Team strength

SaburtaloSlovan Bratislava
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
6 Current StrengthIn forecast 20
7 AttackIn forecast 18
7 DefenceIn forecast 22
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Saburtalo

Attack—
Defense risk—

Slovan Bratislava

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

SaburtaloSlovan Bratislava
2.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
2.00 Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
100% Scored inContext —
0% Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
2.50 Yellow cardsContext —
0.00 Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match · 2 and 0 games
1.13 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80
1.63 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
— xGVia Att/Def 0.84
— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.47
— Goals minus xGContext -0.04
63% Scored inContext 60%
25% Clean sheetsContext 20%
— ShotsContext 10.78
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.29
— On target shareContext 31%
— Shots in the boxContext 6.86
— Box shareContext 66%
— ConversionContext 8%
— OffsidesContext 1.86
— Shots allowedContext 13.67
— On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.11
— BlocksContext 4.00
— Goalkeeper savesContext 3.78
— Save rateContext 74%
— PossessionIn forecast 49%
— PassesContext 437
— Accurate passesContext 356
— Pass accuracyContext 81%
— Team ratingContext 6.90
— FoulsContext 13.00
— Fouls sufferedContext 14.67
2.88 Yellow cardsContext 3.00
0.13 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 8 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Saburtalo
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Slovan Bratislava
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel2,284 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Saburtalo Slovan Bratislava
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match——
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km2,284 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 00 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one8.18.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Saburtalo Confirmed XI
4-3-3
31G. Makaridze(G)
5J. Jinjolava 25A. Amisulashvili 4V. Selimović 40G. Kobuladze
8B. Kardava 11A. Bartishvili 6N. Dadiani
10Zviad Natchkebia 19N. Sikharulashvili 24V. Bedoshvili
Slovan Bratislava Confirmed XI
3-5-2
71D. Takáč(G)
57Sandro Cruz 6K. Wimmer 12K. Bajrič
5R. Ibrahim 3P. Pokorný 20A. Mustafić 17J. Medveděv 29A. Maroš
14A. Yirajang 99A. Šporar

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Saburtalo Absences are shown before kick-off
Slovan Bratislava Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Saburtalo · Home No home games yet this season.
Slovan Bratislava · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

SaburtaloSlovan BratislavaForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00
SaburtaloSlovan BratislavaForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

SaburtaloSlovan BratislavaLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——7.13
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards2.50—
Opponent cards2.00—
Match total4.50—5.38
Over 3.5100% 2/2—
Over 4.550% 1/2—
SaburtaloSlovan BratislavaLeague
Corners
Corners won—6.57
Corners conceded—4.43
Match total—11.007.13
Over 8.5—71% 5/7
Over 9.5—71% 5/7
Over 10.5—71% 5/7
Cards
Cards3.003.20
Opponent cards2.632.70
Match total5.635.905.38
Over 3.588% 7/890% 9/10
Over 4.575% 6/860% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Lukas Fahndrich Switzerland · 2 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards2.50league 4.39
Red cards0.00league 0.32
Cards 5+0%league 36%
Fouls18.0league 18.0
Penalties0.00league 0.46
Home wins100%league 46%
Saburtalo

No previous matches with this referee.

Slovan Bratislava

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Saburtalo2 games · scored 5 · conceded 4
1 0-15
2 1 16-30
1 31-45
46-60
1 2 61-75
1 76-90
Slovan Bratislava
No complete event data.
Saburtalo8 games · scored 9 · conceded 13
1 1 0-15
2 1 16-30
2 31-45
1 4 46-60
1 4 61-75
2 3 76-90
Slovan Bratislava10 games · scored 8 · conceded 14
1 1 0-15
1 3 16-30
1 6 31-45
2 2 46-60
1 61-75
2 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.