Sevilla vs Espanyol – 9 May 2026

La Liga Gameweek 35 Sat, May 9 · 15:15 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla

Sevilla 18th · 37 pts · 34 played LWLLW

2–1Full time

Espanyol 14th · 39 pts · 34 played DLLDL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Sevilla were slight favourites.

The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Sevilla. Sevilla had 4.8 days of rest, Espanyol 5.8 and had to travel 821 km.

Away travel821 kmRest days4.8 · 5.8Matches / 14d2 · 2

Sevilla44%

Draw29%

Espanyol27%

Expected goals 1.33 – 0.99

Sevilla43%

Draw27%

Espanyol30%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.20

Sevilla44%

Draw29%

Espanyol27%

Expected goals 1.34 – 0.98

Sevilla37%

Draw30%

Espanyol33%

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.11

Sevilla45%

Draw27%

Espanyol28%

Expected goals 1.46 – 1.09

Over 2.5 41% Both score 47% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Sevilla)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainJavier Alberola Rojas

Cards per match 3.6
Penalties per match 0.36
Matches 42

Team strength

Sevilla

Espanyol

41 L90 StrengthIn forecast 42

50 Current StrengthIn forecast 44

48 AttackIn forecast 36

57 DefenceIn forecast 51

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Sevilla

Attack—

Defense risk—

Espanyol

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Sevilla

Espanyol

1.21 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.09

1.62 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

0.99 xGVia Att/Def 1.24

1.46 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.39

+0.22 Goals minus xGContext -0.15

76% Scored inContext 74%

18% Clean sheetsContext 26%

10.97 ShotsContext 12.47

3.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.97

31% On target shareContext 32%

7.12 Shots in the boxContext 7.91

63% Box shareContext 63%

11% ConversionContext 9%

3.07 OffsidesContext 2.36

10.26 Shots allowedContext 12.85

4.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

3.32 BlocksContext 3.45

3.07 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.59

66% Save rateContext 70%

51% PossessionIn forecast 42%

401 PassesContext 344

325 Accurate passesContext 273

81% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.75 Team ratingContext 6.74

14.38 FoulsContext 13.76

12.38 Fouls sufferedContext 12.62

2.68 Yellow cardsContext 2.35

0.09 Red cardsContext 0.06

This league season, per match · 34 and 34 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

1.60 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.80

0.77 xGVia Att/Def 1.16

1.17 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.77

+0.23 Goals minus xGContext -0.36

70% Scored inContext 60%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

10.50 ShotsContext 12.70

2.88 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.50

22% On target shareContext 28%

6.40 Shots in the boxContext 7.33

61% Box shareContext 56%

10% ConversionContext 6%

2.44 OffsidesContext 2.78

9.00 Shots allowedContext 15.20

3.67 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.70

2.89 BlocksContext 3.20

2.25 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.40

58% Save rateContext 66%

47% PossessionIn forecast 41%

369 PassesContext 324

292 Accurate passesContext 252

79% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.72 Team ratingContext 6.69

13.80 FoulsContext 15.50

10.40 Fouls sufferedContext 12.60

2.20 Yellow cardsContext 3.20

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.10

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Sevilla

Rest4.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,415 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Espanyol

Rest5.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel821 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Sevilla	Espanyol
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	4.8La Liga 2025-2026, 4 May	5.8La Liga 2025-2026, 3 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	821 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,415 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	4.1	4.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Sevilla Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1O. Vlachodimos(G)

12G. Suazo 4Kike Salas 32A. López Gallo 2J. Carmona Navarro

21C. Ejuke 6N. Gudelj 18L. Agoumé 11R. Vargas

7Isaac Romero 17N. Maupay

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Espanyol Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13M. Dmitrović(G)

22Carlos Romero 6L. Cabrera 5F. Calero Villa 23O. El Hilali

8Edu Expósito 4Urko González

24T. Dolan 14Ramon Terrats 2Rubén Sánchez

9R. Fernández Jaén

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Sevilla Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Espanyol Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.01 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Sevilla-0.2 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Espanyol+0.2 pp

Home / Away this season

Sevilla · Home 1.29points per game · 17 home games

W-D-L: 6-4-7
Scored: 1.29
Conceded: 1.35

Espanyol · Away 1.00points per game · 17 away games

W-D-L: 4-5-8
Scored: 1.12
Conceded: 1.65

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Sevilla	Espanyol
Real Sociedad	W 1–0 HL 1–2 A	D 2–2 A
Osasuna	L 1–2 AW 1–0 H	W 1–0 H
Levante	L 0–2 AL 0–3 H	D 0–0 HD 1–1 A
Atletico Madrid	W 2–1 HL 0–3 A	L 2–4 AW 2–1 H
Oviedo	L 0–1 AW 4–0 H	D 1–1 HW 2–0 A
Valencia	L 0–2 HD 1–1 A	L 2–3 AD 2–2 H
Barcelona	L 2–5 AW 4–1 H	L 1–4 AL 0–2 H
Rayo Vallecano	D 1–1 HW 1–0 A	L 0–1 AW 1–0 H
Real Betis	D 2–2 AL 0–2 H	D 0–0 AL 1–2 H
Getafe	W 1–0 AL 1–2 H	L 1–2 HW 1–0 A
Alaves	D 1–1 HW 2–1 A	L 1–2 HL 1–2 A
Girona	D 1–1 HW 2–0 A	L 0–2 HD 0–0 A
Mallorca	L 1–4 AL 1–3 H	L 1–2 AW 3–2 H
Athletic Club	W 2–1 HL 2–3 A	W 2–1 A
Elche	D 2–2 AD 2–2 H	D 2–2 AW 1–0 H
Celta Vigo	L 0–1 H	D 2–2 HW 1–0 A
Real Madrid	L 0–2 A	L 0–2 HL 0–2 A
Villarreal	L 1–2 H	L 1–4 AL 0–2 H
Points	37 of 99 · 1.12 per game	36 of 99 · 1.09 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 7 of 7 meetings

4 Sevilla wins2 draws1 Espanyol wins

Goals per game1.86 – 1.14 Over 2.543% Both scored71% Clean sheets29% · 0%

24 Nov 2025Espanyol2–1Sevilla
25 Jan 2025Sevilla1–1Espanyol
25 Oct 2024Espanyol0–2Sevilla
4 May 2023Sevilla3–2Espanyol
10 Sep 2022Espanyol2–3Sevilla
20 Feb 2022Espanyol1–1Sevilla

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Sevilla	Espanyol	Forecast
Scored per game	1.21	1.09
Conceded per game	1.62	1.50
Match goals	2.82	2.59	2.32
Over 1.5	82%	74%
Over 2.5	56%	50%	41%
Over 3.5	26%	26%
Both teams scored	59%	56%	47%
Clean sheets	18%	26%
Failed to score	24%	26%
Games	34	34

	Sevilla	Espanyol	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.80
Conceded per game	1.60	1.80
Match goals	2.60	2.60	2.32
Over 1.5	70%	70%
Over 2.5	40%	50%	41%
Over 3.5	20%	30%
Both teams scored	50%	60%	47%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	30%	40%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Sevilla	Espanyol	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	4.55
Corners conceded	4.42	4.67
Match total	9.42	9.22	9.56
Over 8.5	55% 18/33	48% 16/33
Over 9.5	52% 17/33	42% 14/33
Over 10.5	36% 12/33	36% 12/33
Cards
Cards	2.82	2.50
Opponent cards	2.21	2.47
Match total	5.03	4.97	4.55
Over 3.5	71% 24/34	71% 24/34
Over 4.5	56% 19/34	62% 21/34

	Sevilla	Espanyol	League
Corners
Corners won	4.40	4.89
Corners conceded	3.50	5.33
Match total	7.90	10.22	9.56
Over 8.5	30% 3/10	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	20% 2/10	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	2.30	3.50
Opponent cards	2.40	2.70
Match total	4.70	6.20	4.55
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	90% 9/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	80% 8/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Javier Alberola Rojas Spain · 42 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.40league 4.29

Red cards0.17league 0.27

Cards 5+26%league 47%

Fouls24.3league 24.5

Penalties0.36league 0.36

Home wins50%league 49%

Sevilla3 with this referee

Record0-1-2 Cards · opp.2.3 · 1.7 Pens for · against0 · 0

D12 Sep 25H · Elche2–24
L25 May 25A · Villarreal2–41
L9 Dec 23A · Mallorca0–12

Espanyol2 with this referee

Record0-1-1 Cards · opp.2.5 · 1.5 Pens for · against0 · 0

D9 Mar 26H · Oviedo1–13
L11 May 25A · Leganes2–32

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.