SK Beveren
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Anderlecht were slight favourites.
Anderlecht were the stronger side on L90 Strength (42 vs 27). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Anderlecht. SK Beveren had 6.8 days of rest, Anderlecht 2.7 and had to travel 41 km.
Away travel41 kmRest days6.8 · 2.7Matches / 14d1 · 3
SK Beveren32%
Draw24%
Anderlecht44%
SK Beveren34%
Draw26%
Anderlecht40%
SK Beveren32%
Draw24%
Anderlecht44%
SK Beveren25%
Draw23%
Anderlecht52%
SK Beveren32%
Draw25%
Anderlecht44%
Over 2.5 56%
Both score 58%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Beveren)
No weather data yet
RefereeNathan Verboomen
- Cards per match 4.0
- Penalties per match 0.18
- Matches 45
Team strength
SK Beveren
Anderlecht
27
L90 StrengthIn forecast
42
25
Current StrengthIn forecast
43
18
AttackIn forecast
37
20
DefenceIn forecast
52
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAnderlecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
SK BeverenAnderlecht
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
—
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PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
—
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.80
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.70
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xGVia Att/Def
1.40
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.82
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Goals minus xGContext
+0.40
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Scored inContext
100%
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Clean sheetsContext
10%
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ShotsContext
16.86
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.86
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On target shareContext
35%
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Shots in the boxContext
9.33
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Box shareContext
57%
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ConversionContext
11%
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OffsidesContext
1.25
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Shots allowedContext
12.71
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.29
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BlocksContext
4.67
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Goalkeeper savesContext
2.43
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Save rateContext
57%
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PossessionIn forecast
48%
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PassesContext
446
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Accurate passesContext
365
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Pass accuracyContext
82%
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Team ratingContext
6.74
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FoulsContext
13.63
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Fouls sufferedContext
11.50
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Yellow cardsContext
2.00
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Red cardsContext
0.20
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
SK Beveren
L
Rest6.8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km29 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 37 · 0 pts vs 1.5 for an average club · -1.1 vs expected
- L9 AugA · Antwerp1–21.1 xPts
Anderlecht
W
Rest2.7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d3all competitions
Travel41 km3,653 km in 14d
Schedule load33%Moderate
Form 58 · 3 pts vs 2.1 for an average club · +1.0 vs expected
- W9 AugH · RAAL La Louvière2–12.0 xPts
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| SK Beveren |
Anderlecht |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Moderate · 33 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 6.8Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 9 Aug | 2.7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 13 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 41 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 29 km | 3,653 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 1 | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 6.1 | 4.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
SK Beveren
Confirmed XI
1J. Schenk(G)
4C. Janssens
31B. Godeau
35Y. Gomis
21L. Jans
8F. Slegers
18S. Dewaele
5C. Lokesa
22C. Brüls
34K. Abrahams
92L. Mertens
Anderlecht
Confirmed XI
26C. Coosemans(G)
6H. Augustinsson
27L. Pétrot
4G. Biancone
79A. Maamar
83T. Degreef
24E. Llansana
13N. Saliba
11O. Antman
14D. Sikan
18L. Ambros
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences SK Beveren
Absences are shown before kick-off
Anderlecht
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- SK Beveren+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Anderlecht+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
SK Beveren · Home
No home games yet this season.
Anderlecht · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| SK Beveren | Anderlecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.91 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| SK Beveren | Anderlecht | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.00 | 2.30 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.40 | |
| Match goals | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.91 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 70% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 60% | |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 80% | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% | |
| Games | 1 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| SK Beveren | Anderlecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.00 | 10.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 1.00 | |
| Match total | 8.00 | 11.00 | 10.93 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 4.00 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 3.00 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 5.00 | 2.93 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 1/1 | |
| SK Beveren | Anderlecht | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.00 | 4.57 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.00 | 4.14 | |
| Match total | 8.00 | 8.71 | 10.93 |
| Over 8.5 | 0% 0/1 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 0% 0/1 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 0% 0/1 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 4.00 | 2.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.00 | 2.70 | |
| Match total | 6.00 | 5.00 | 2.93 |
| Over 3.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 10/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 100% 1/1 | 70% 7/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Nathan Verboomen 45 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.71league 2.79
Red cards0.27league 0.14
Cards 5+51%league 29%
Fouls22.4league 21.6
Penalties0.18league 0.29
Home wins44%league 50%
SK BeverenNo previous matches with this referee.
Anderlecht4 with this referee
Record3-1-0
Cards · opp.1.8 · 2.8
Pens for · against0 · 0
Reds1
- D10 May 26A · Gent1–13
- W30 Nov 25H · Union St. Gilloise1–02
- W23 Dec 23H · Genk2–11
- W28 Oct 23H · OH Leuven5–11
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
SK Beveren1 games · scored 1 · conceded 2
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Anderlecht1 games · scored 2 · conceded 1
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
SK Beveren1 games · scored 1 · conceded 2
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Anderlecht10 games · scored 18 · conceded 17
3
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
6
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
