Slovan Bratislava
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027 - Play-off round
Play-off round Wed, Aug 19 · 20:00
Štadión Tehelné pole, Bratislava
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel255 kmRest days8 · 8Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Slovan Bratislava—%
Draw—%
Celje—%
Weather (Bratislava)
No weather data yet
Referee · GermanyFelix Zwayer
- Cards per match 4.8
- Penalties per match 0.31
- Matches 134
Team strength
Slovan Bratislava
Celje
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
20
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
18
AttackIn forecast
17
22
DefenceIn forecast
19
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisCelje
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Slovan BratislavaCelje
—
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
—
—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
—
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
1.10
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.70
0.84
xGVia Att/Def
1.58
1.47
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.62
+0.36
Goals minus xGContext
-0.08
80%
Scored inContext
70%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
9.67
ShotsContext
11.00
4.20
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.00
36%
On target shareContext
38%
6.67
Shots in the boxContext
7.17
68%
Box shareContext
66%
9%
ConversionContext
12%
2.00
OffsidesContext
1.33
15.83
Shots allowedContext
17.00
5.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
7.17
4.60
BlocksContext
3.57
4.17
Goalkeeper savesContext
5.17
76%
Save rateContext
72%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
57%
424
PassesContext
439
349
Accurate passesContext
374
82%
Pass accuracyContext
85%
6.81
Team ratingContext
6.87
11.71
FoulsContext
13.29
11.86
Fouls sufferedContext
13.71
2.40
Yellow cardsContext
2.40
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Slovan Bratislava
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Celje
Rest8 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel255 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Slovan Bratislava |
Celje |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 8UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 11 Aug | 8UEFA Champions League 2026-2027, 11 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 255 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 3 | 0 / 1 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Slovan Bratislava
Confirmed XI
71D. Takáč(G)
57Sandro Cruz
15S. Marković
12K. Bajrič
28C. Blackman
20A. Mustafić
3P. Pokorný
70C. Martinez
21Suleiman Camara
13R. Čerepkai
11T. Barseghyan
Celje
Confirmed XI
1Ž. Leban(G)
11M. Avdyli
6A. Tutyškinas
4D. Hrka
2P. Širvys
19M. Zabukovnik
13P. Daniel
8M. Kvesić
10S. Sešlar
77M. Ivanšek
47A. Kučys
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Slovan Bratislava
Absences are shown before kick-off
Celje
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
—
Home / Away this season
Slovan Bratislava · Home
No home games yet this season.
Celje · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
1 Slovan Bratislava wins1 draws0 Celje wins
Goals per game3.00 – 0.50
Over 2.550%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets50% · 0%
- 30 Jul 2024Slovan Bratislava5–0Celje
- 24 Jul 2024Celje1–1Slovan Bratislava
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Slovan Bratislava | Celje | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Slovan Bratislava | Celje | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.75 | 1.75 | |
| Conceded per game | 0.50 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.25 | 3.25 | |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 50% | |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 25% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% | |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 25% | |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 4 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Slovan Bratislava | Celje | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 7.50 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 1.00 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Slovan Bratislava | Celje | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.80 | 5.29 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.60 | 6.57 | |
| Match total | 9.40 | 11.86 | 7.50 |
| Over 8.5 | 40% 2/5 | 86% 6/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 2/5 | 71% 5/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 2/5 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.50 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.50 | 2.40 | |
| Match total | 5.00 | 4.90 | 1.00 |
| Over 3.5 | 90% 9/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 60% 6/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Felix Zwayer Germany · 134 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.69league 1.67
Red cards0.15league 0.00
Cards 5+54%league 0%
Fouls21.8league 24.3
Penalties0.31league 0.00
Home wins45%league 0%
Slovan BratislavaNo previous matches with this referee.
Celje1 with this referee
Record0-0-1
Cards · opp.1.0 · 5.0
Pens for · against1 · 1
- L10 Apr 25H · Fiorentina1–21
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Slovan BratislavaCeljeSlovan Bratislava10 games · scored 12 · conceded 11
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
1
76-90
Celje9 games · scored 14 · conceded 16
1
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
4
3
31-45
1
5
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.