St. Truiden vs Lommel United – 8 Aug 2026

Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Aug 8 · 19:45 Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond

St. Truiden

1–1Full time

Lommel United

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

St. Truiden were slight favourites.

St. Truiden were the stronger side on L90 Strength (42 vs 35). St. Truiden had 139.1 days of rest, Lommel United ? and had to travel.

Rest days139.1 · ?Matches / 14d0 · 0

St. Truiden51%

Draw24%

Lommel United25%

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.11

St. Truiden49%

Draw25%

Lommel United26%

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.11

St. Truiden51%

Draw24%

Lommel United25%

Expected goals 1.68 – 1.11

St. Truiden43%

Draw25%

Lommel United32%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.25

St. Truiden50%

Draw24%

Lommel United26%

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.12

Over 2.5 53% Both score 55% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (St.-Trond)

No weather data yet

RefereeAnthony Letellier

Cards per match 2.5
Penalties per match 0.00
Matches 8

Team strength

St. Truiden

Lommel United

42 L90 StrengthIn forecast 35

35 Current StrengthIn forecast 36

37 AttackIn forecast 32

32 DefenceIn forecast 41

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

St. Truiden

Attack—

Defense risk—

Lommel United

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

St. Truiden

Lommel United

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

1.40 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.33

1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.83

1.24 xGVia Att/Def —

1.27 xG allowedVia Att/Def —

+0.16 Goals minus xGContext —

70% Scored inContext 83%

30% Clean sheetsContext 33%

12.70 ShotsContext 9.33

4.67 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00

33% On target shareContext 43%

8.33 Shots in the boxContext 7.33

60% Box shareContext 74%

11% ConversionContext 25%

1.57 OffsidesContext —

13.60 Shots allowedContext 14.67

3.60 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.60

5.67 BlocksContext 3.67

3.29 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.80

72% Save rateContext 83%

55% PossessionIn forecast 46%

483 PassesContext 408

407 Accurate passesContext 322

84% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.95 Team ratingContext 7.14

9.40 FoulsContext 9.67

8.80 Fouls sufferedContext 12.83

1.20 Yellow cardsContext 1.17

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 6 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

St. Truiden

Rest139.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Lommel United

Rest—since last match

Matches / 14d0all competitions

Travel—0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	St. Truiden	Lommel United
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	139.1Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 22 Mar	—
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 0 / 0	0 / 0 / 0
Next matchdays after this one	6	7.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

St. Truiden Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

23M. Pieklak(G)

34Henry Oware 5Dries Wouters 3T. Eyoma 2J. van Duiven

6J. Pelupessy 15Lucas Schoofs

21S. Appuah 41S. Nypan 10Tom Reyners

30R. Seuntjens

Lommel United Confirmed XI

23M. Pieklak(G) 2J. van Duiven 3T. Eyoma 5Dries Wouters 34Henry Oware 15Lucas Schoofs 6J. Pelupessy 10Tom Reyners 41S. Nypan 21S. Appuah 30R. Seuntjens

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

St. Truiden Absences are shown before kick-off

Lommel United Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

St. Truiden+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Lommel United+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

St. Truiden · Home No home games yet this season.

Lommel United · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	St. Truiden	Lommel United	Forecast
Scored per game	—	—
Conceded per game	—	—
Match goals	—	—	2.80
Over 1.5	—	—
Over 2.5	—	—	53%
Over 3.5	—	—
Both teams scored	—	—	55%
Clean sheets	—	—
Failed to score	—	—
Games	0	0

	St. Truiden	Lommel United	Forecast
Scored per game	1.70	—
Conceded per game	1.20	—
Match goals	2.90	—	2.80
Over 1.5	70%	—
Over 2.5	60%	—	53%
Over 3.5	40%	—
Both teams scored	50%	—	55%
Clean sheets	20%	—
Failed to score	30%	—
Games	10	0

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	St. Truiden	Lommel United	League
Corners
Corners won	—	—
Corners conceded	—	—
Match total	—	—	12.50
Over 8.5	—	—
Over 9.5	—	—
Over 10.5	—	—
Cards
Cards	—	—
Opponent cards	—	—
Match total	—	—	2.00
Over 3.5	—	—
Over 4.5	—	—

	St. Truiden	Lommel United	League
Corners
Corners won	5.50	3.50
Corners conceded	4.80	7.17
Match total	10.30	10.67	12.50
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	83% 5/6
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	83% 5/6
Over 10.5	60% 6/10	50% 3/6
Cards
Cards	1.30	1.17
Opponent cards	1.80	2.33
Match total	3.10	3.50	2.00
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	50% 3/6
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	17% 1/6

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Anthony Letellier 8 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards2.50league 2.00

Red cards0.00league 0.00

Cards 5+13%league 0%

Fouls19.6league 19.0

Penalties0.00league 0.50

Home wins50%league 50%

St. Truiden

No previous matches with this referee.

Lommel United

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.