UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs Play-offs Thu, Aug 20 · 19:00 Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
St. Truiden
1–0Full time
Omonia Nicosia
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Rest days6 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 1
Real contextStrength only
St. Truiden—%
Draw—%
Omonia Nicosia—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (St.-Trond)

No weather data yet

RefereeGeorgi Kabakov
  • Cards per match 4.9
  • Penalties per match 0.19
  • Matches 31

Team strength

St. TruidenOmonia Nicosia
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
35 Current StrengthIn forecast 33
37 AttackIn forecast 34
32 DefenceIn forecast 41
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

St. Truiden

Attack—
Defense risk—

Omonia Nicosia

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

St. TruidenOmonia Nicosia
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80
1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.80
1.40 xGVia Att/Def 1.42
1.49 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.03
+0.30 Goals minus xGContext -0.62
80% Scored inContext 70%
30% Clean sheetsContext 40%
14.90 ShotsContext 10.33
4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.67
32% On target shareContext 36%
9.30 Shots in the boxContext 8.20
61% Box shareContext 71%
11% ConversionContext 8%
2.14 OffsidesContext 2.00
13.90 Shots allowedContext 13.17
4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.17
4.67 BlocksContext 3.83
3.38 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.00
71% Save rateContext 77%
56% PossessionIn forecast 46%
494 PassesContext 373
419 Accurate passesContext 295
85% Pass accuracyContext 79%
7.02 Team ratingContext 6.64
9.80 FoulsContext 10.43
7.70 Fouls sufferedContext 15.86
1.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.40
0.10 Red cardsContext 0.20
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

St. Truiden
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 38 · 2 pts vs 3.4 for an average club · -1.2 vs expected
  • D14 AugA · Cercle Brugge3–31.5 xPts
  • D8 AugH · Lommel United1–11.7 xPts
Omonia Nicosia
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel—0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
St. Truiden Omonia Nicosia
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match6Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 14 Aug7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 13 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 2 / 20 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

St. Truiden Confirmed XI
4-3-3
40Fabiano(G)
29J. Balkovec 30N. Panagiotou 5S. Coulibaly 93J. Duverne
74P. Andreou 22M. Tankovic 14M. Marić
7J. Montnor 99L. Diony 11Ewandro
Omonia Nicosia Confirmed XI
40Fabiano(G) 93J. Duverne 5S. Coulibaly 30N. Panagiotou 29J. Balkovec 14M. Marić 22M. Tankovic 74P. Andreou 11Ewandro 99L. Diony 7J. Montnor

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
St. Truiden Absences are shown before kick-off
Omonia Nicosia Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

St. Truiden · Home No home games yet this season.
Omonia Nicosia · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

St. TruidenOmonia NicosiaForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00
St. TruidenOmonia NicosiaForecast
Scored per game 1.800.75
Conceded per game 1.500.50
Match goals 3.301.25
Over 1.5 80%25%
Over 2.5 60%0%
Over 3.5 50%0%
Both teams scored 60%25%
Clean sheets 10%50%
Failed to score 30%25%
Games104

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

St. TruidenOmonia NicosiaLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——10.88
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards——
Opponent cards——
Match total——4.13
Over 3.5——
Over 4.5——
St. TruidenOmonia NicosiaLeague
Corners
Corners won5.003.57
Corners conceded4.803.71
Match total9.807.2810.88
Over 8.560% 6/1043% 3/7
Over 9.560% 6/1014% 1/7
Over 10.550% 5/1014% 1/7
Cards
Cards1.302.70
Opponent cards1.303.00
Match total2.605.704.13
Over 3.530% 3/10100% 10/10
Over 4.510% 1/1070% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Georgi Kabakov 31 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.65league 3.88
Red cards0.23league 0.25
Cards 5+48%league 50%
Fouls20.6league 25.1
Penalties0.19league 0.38
Home wins35%league 38%
St. Truiden

No previous matches with this referee.

Omonia Nicosia

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

St. Truiden
No complete event data.
Omonia Nicosia
No complete event data.
St. Truiden10 games · scored 17 · conceded 12
1 1 0-15
1 4 16-30
3 2 31-45
2 1 46-60
5 61-75
5 4 76-90
Omonia Nicosia10 games · scored 8 · conceded 8
2 0-15
2 16-30
2 2 31-45
1 2 46-60
2 61-75
1 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.