Torino vs Juventus – 24 May 2026

Serie A Gameweek 38 Sun, May 24 · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino

Torino 13th · 44 pts · 37 played DDLWL

2–2Full time

Juventus 6th · 68 pts · 37 played WDDWL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Juventus were slight favourites.

Juventus were the stronger side on L90 Strength (69 vs 35). Recent goals, xG and shots on target add to that edge for Juventus. Torino had 7 days of rest, Juventus 7.4 and had to travel 0 km.

Away travel0 kmRest days7 · 7.4Matches / 14d1 · 1

Torino23%

Draw25%

Juventus51%

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.68

Torino25%

Draw26%

Juventus50%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.64

Torino23%

Draw25%

Juventus51%

Expected goals 1.05 – 1.68

Torino18%

Draw23%

Juventus59%

Expected goals 0.93 – 1.88

Torino24%

Draw24%

Juventus52%

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.79

Over 2.5 51% Both score 53% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Torino)

No weather data yet

Referee · ItalyLuca Zufferli

Cards per match 3.0
Penalties per match 0.32
Matches 41

Team strength

Torino

Juventus

35 L90 StrengthIn forecast 69

39 Current StrengthIn forecast 67

39 AttackIn forecast 57

47 DefenceIn forecast 76

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Torino

Attack—

Defense risk—

Juventus

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Torino

Juventus

1.14 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.59

1.65 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.86

1.15 xGVia Att/Def 1.67

1.34 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.85

-0.01 Goals minus xGContext -0.08

70% Scored inContext 78%

32% Clean sheetsContext 43%

11.54 ShotsContext 16.24

3.94 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.86

33% On target shareContext 36%

7.27 Shots in the boxContext 10.49

63% Box shareContext 64%

10% ConversionContext 10%

1.88 OffsidesContext 2.17

13.24 Shots allowedContext 10.05

4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.86

3.86 BlocksContext 3.09

2.94 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.19

63% Save rateContext 75%

44% PossessionIn forecast 58%

368 PassesContext 514

296 Accurate passesContext 446

80% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.76 Team ratingContext 6.95

13.46 FoulsContext 12.05

10.27 Fouls sufferedContext 9.97

1.86 Yellow cardsContext 1.38

0.05 Red cardsContext 0.03

This league season, per match · 37 and 37 games

1.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.30

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.40

1.41 xGVia Att/Def 1.79

1.25 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.76

+0.09 Goals minus xGContext -0.49

80% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 70%

11.60 ShotsContext 17.70

3.33 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.80

26% On target shareContext 33%

6.60 Shots in the boxContext 12.40

54% Box shareContext 70%

13% ConversionContext 7%

1.67 OffsidesContext 2.43

12.70 Shots allowedContext 9.80

5.56 On target allowedVia Att/Def 2.44

3.80 BlocksContext 3.56

3.78 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.11

68% Save rateContext 91%

44% PossessionIn forecast 60%

372 PassesContext 509

305 Accurate passesContext 440

82% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.80 Team ratingContext 7.09

12.40 FoulsContext 10.70

10.20 Fouls sufferedContext 9.50

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 1.70

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Torino

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,320 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Juventus

Rest7.4 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Torino	Juventus
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7Serie A 2025-2026, 17 May	7.4Serie A 2025-2026, 17 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	0 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,320 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 1 / 3	0 / 1 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	91	90.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Torino Confirmed XI

3-4-1-2

1A. Paleari(G)

77E. Ebosse 44A. Ismajli 23Saúl Coco

33Rafael Obrador 66G. Gineitis 6E. İlkhan 16M. Pedersen

10N. Vlašić

91D. Zapata 18G. Simeone

+1 more reported missing outside this XI

Juventus Confirmed XI

3-4-2-1

1M. Perin(G)

6L. Kelly 4F. Gatti 15P. Kalulu

27A. Cambiaso 19K. Thuram 5M. Locatelli 22W. McKennie

13J. Boga 7Francisco Conceição

9D. Vlahović

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Torino Absences are shown before kick-off

Juventus Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Torino+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Juventus+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Torino · Home 1.50points per game · 18 home games

W-D-L: 8-3-7
Scored: 1.39
Conceded: 1.50

Juventus · Away 1.72points per game · 18 away games

W-D-L: 9-4-5
Scored: 1.33
Conceded: 0.89

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 18 this season

Opponent	Torino	Juventus
Cagliari	L 1–2 AL 1–2 H	L 0–1 AW 2–1 H
Sassuolo	W 2–1 HW 1–0 A	D 1–1 HW 3–0 A
Udinese	L 0–2 AL 1–2 H	W 1–0 AW 3–1 H
Inter	D 2–2 HL 0–5 A	L 2–3 AW 4–3 H
Cremonese	D 0–0 AW 1–0 H	W 5–0 HW 2–1 A
Verona	W 2–1 HW 3–0 A	D 1–1 HD 1–1 A
Pisa	W 1–0 AD 2–2 H	W 4–0 HW 2–0 A
AC Milan	L 2–3 AL 2–3 H	D 0–0 AD 0–0 H
Parma	W 4–1 HL 1–2 A	W 4–1 AW 2–0 H
Napoli	L 1–2 AW 1–0 H	W 3–0 HL 1–2 A
Lazio	W 2–0 HD 3–3 A	D 2–2 HL 0–1 A
Genoa	L 0–3 AW 2–1 H	W 2–0 HW 1–0 A
Bologna	L 1–2 HD 0–0 A	W 2–0 HW 1–0 A
Fiorentina	D 2–2 AD 0–0 H	L 0–2 HD 1–1 A
Lecce	W 1–0 HL 1–2 A	W 1–0 AD 1–1 H
Como	L 0–6 AL 1–5 H	L 0–2 HL 0–2 A
AS Roma	L 0–2 HW 1–0 A	D 3–3 AW 2–1 H
Atalanta	L 0–2 AL 0–3 H	W 1–0 AD 1–1 H
Points	43 of 108 · 1.19 per game	67 of 108 · 1.86 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 9 of 9 meetings

0 Torino wins4 draws5 Juventus wins

Goals per game0.44 – 1.33 Over 2.511% Both scored33% Clean sheets22% · 67%

8 Nov 2025Juventus0–0Torino
11 Jan 2025Torino1–1Juventus
9 Nov 2024Juventus2–0Torino
13 Apr 2024Torino0–0Juventus
7 Oct 2023Juventus2–0Torino
28 Feb 2023Juventus4–2Torino

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Torino	Juventus	Forecast
Scored per game	1.14	1.59
Conceded per game	1.65	0.86
Match goals	2.78	2.46	2.72
Over 1.5	73%	73%
Over 2.5	62%	38%	51%
Over 3.5	27%	22%
Both teams scored	49%	43%	53%
Clean sheets	32%	43%
Failed to score	30%	22%
Games	37	37

	Torino	Juventus	Forecast
Scored per game	1.50	1.30
Conceded per game	1.40	0.40
Match goals	2.90	1.70	2.72
Over 1.5	80%	60%
Over 2.5	70%	10%	51%
Over 3.5	30%	10%
Both teams scored	70%	20%	53%
Clean sheets	20%	70%
Failed to score	20%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Torino	Juventus	League
Corners
Corners won	3.68	5.40
Corners conceded	4.68	3.60
Match total	8.36	9.00	8.64
Over 8.5	47% 16/34	43% 15/35
Over 9.5	35% 12/34	34% 12/35
Over 10.5	32% 11/34	26% 9/35
Cards
Cards	1.92	1.43
Opponent cards	1.46	2.11
Match total	3.38	3.54	3.85
Over 3.5	49% 18/37	54% 20/37
Over 4.5	22% 8/37	35% 13/37

	Torino	Juventus	League
Corners
Corners won	3.22	6.10
Corners conceded	5.11	3.30
Match total	8.33	9.40	8.64
Over 8.5	67% 6/9	40% 4/10
Over 9.5	22% 2/9	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	22% 2/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	1.60	1.70
Opponent cards	1.70	2.00
Match total	3.30	3.70	3.85
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	70% 7/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Luca Zufferli Italy · 41 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards2.85league 3.67

Red cards0.10league 0.19

Cards 5+27%league 34%

Fouls23.6league 24.6

Penalties0.32league 0.27

Home wins54%league 39%

Torino3 with this referee

Record1-2-0 Cards · opp.1.0 · 0.7 Pens for · against0 · 0

W5 Apr 26A · Pisa1–00
D8 Nov 25A · Juventus0–01
D7 May 23H · Monza1–12

Juventus5 with this referee

Record3-2-0 Cards · opp.0.4 · 1.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

W6 Jan 26A · Sassuolo3–00
D8 Nov 25H · Torino0–00
W12 Apr 25H · Lecce2–10
W2 Feb 25H · Empoli4–10
D30 Oct 24H · Parma2–22

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.