Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor – 25 Oct 2025

Süper Lig Gameweek 10 Sat, Oct 25 · 18:00 Papara Park, Trabzon

Trabzonspor 2nd · 20 pts · 9 played LDWWW

2–0Full time

Eyüpspor 15th · 8 pts · 9 played LLDLW

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Trabzonspor were slight favourites.

Trabzonspor were the stronger side on L90 Strength (37 vs 20). Trabzonspor had 7.1 days of rest, Eyüpspor 5 and had to travel 904 km.

Away travel904 kmRest days7.1 · 5Matches / 14d1 · 1

Trabzonspor57%

Draw24%

Eyüpspor19%

Expected goals 1.86 – 1.00

Trabzonspor57%

Draw24%

Eyüpspor19%

Expected goals 1.83 – 0.98

Trabzonspor57%

Draw24%

Eyüpspor19%

Expected goals 1.87 – 1.00

Trabzonspor49%

Draw26%

Eyüpspor25%

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.12

Trabzonspor57%

Draw24%

Eyüpspor19%

Expected goals 1.82 – 0.98

Over 2.5 55% Both score 54% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Trabzon)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeZorbay Kucuk

Cards per match 5.0
Penalties per match 0.29
Matches 7

Team strength

Trabzonspor

Eyüpspor

37 L90 StrengthIn forecast 20

46 Current StrengthIn forecast 13

54 AttackIn forecast 9

48 DefenceIn forecast 10

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Trabzonspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Eyüpspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Trabzonspor

Eyüpspor

1.67 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.67

0.78 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.22

1.20 xGVia Att/Def 0.88

1.35 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.40

+0.47 Goals minus xGContext -0.21

89% Scored inContext 44%

44% Clean sheetsContext 33%

14.11 ShotsContext 11.33

4.89 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.33

35% On target shareContext 29%

9.75 Shots in the boxContext 6.44

63% Box shareContext 58%

12% ConversionContext 6%

1.88 OffsidesContext 3.00

13.56 Shots allowedContext 13.33

4.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.33

4.50 BlocksContext 4.13

4.17 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.63

89% Save rateContext 76%

50% PossessionIn forecast 52%

392 PassesContext 383

329 Accurate passesContext 313

84% Pass accuracyContext 82%

7.02 Team ratingContext 6.79

11.56 FoulsContext 10.56

15.22 Fouls sufferedContext 15.11

1.33 Yellow cardsContext 2.33

0.11 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 9 and 9 games

1.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

0.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

1.19 xGVia Att/Def 0.93

1.25 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.37

+0.51 Goals minus xGContext -0.13

90% Scored inContext 50%

50% Clean sheetsContext 30%

13.70 ShotsContext 10.90

4.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.50

35% On target shareContext 32%

9.33 Shots in the boxContext 6.44

63% Box shareContext 58%

12% ConversionContext 7%

2.00 OffsidesContext 3.00

13.10 Shots allowedContext 13.20

3.78 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.30

4.50 BlocksContext 4.00

3.86 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.44

90% Save rateContext 74%

50% PossessionIn forecast 53%

410 PassesContext 399

348 Accurate passesContext 331

85% Pass accuracyContext 83%

7.04 Team ratingContext 6.82

12.20 FoulsContext 10.50

14.50 Fouls sufferedContext 15.20

1.20 Yellow cardsContext 2.20

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Trabzonspor

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km133 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Eyüpspor

Rest5 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel904 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load12%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Trabzonspor	Eyüpspor
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.1Süper Lig 2025-2026, 18 Oct	5Süper Lig 2025-2026, 20 Oct
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	904 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	133 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	1 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	7	9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Trabzonspor Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

24A. Onana(G)

19M. Eskihellaç 44A. Batagov 15S. Savić 20Wagner Pina

26Tim Jabol-Folcarelli 42Christ Inao Oulaï

10E. Muçi 99F. da Silva 22O. Zubkov

30E. Onuachu

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Eyüpspor Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1Marcos Felipe(G)

18N. Mujakić 4Luccas Claro 6R. Yalçın 2Calegari

20M. Łęgowski 10K. Demirbay

11S. Gürler 30Y. Kayan 7H. Akbunar

9M. Thiam

+2 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Trabzonspor Scores -0.01 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Eyüpspor Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Trabzonspor-0.1 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Eyüpspor+0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Trabzonspor · Home 2.20points per game · 5 home games

W-D-L: 3-2-0
Scored: 1.60
Conceded: 0.40

Eyüpspor · Away 0.25points per game · 4 away games

W-D-L: 0-1-3
Scored: 0.25
Conceded: 1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 2 this season

Opponent	Trabzonspor	Eyüpspor
Kasimpasa	W 1–0 A	W 2–0 H
Kocaelispor	W 1–0 H	L 0–1 A
Points	6 of 6 · 3.00 per game	3 of 6 · 1.50 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

1 Trabzonspor wins1 draws0 Eyüpspor wins

Goals per game0.50 – 0.00 Over 2.50% Both scored0% Clean sheets100% · 50%

10 Feb 2025Trabzonspor1–0Eyüpspor
1 Sep 2024Eyüpspor0–0Trabzonspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Trabzonspor	Eyüpspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.67	0.67
Conceded per game	0.78	1.22
Match goals	2.44	1.89	2.87
Over 1.5	56%	56%
Over 2.5	33%	33%	55%
Over 3.5	22%	11%
Both teams scored	44%	33%	54%
Clean sheets	44%	33%
Failed to score	11%	56%
Games	9	9

	Trabzonspor	Eyüpspor	Forecast
Scored per game	1.67	0.67
Conceded per game	0.78	1.22
Match goals	2.44	1.89	2.87
Over 1.5	56%	56%
Over 2.5	33%	33%	55%
Over 3.5	22%	11%
Both teams scored	44%	33%	54%
Clean sheets	44%	33%
Failed to score	11%	56%
Games	9	9

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Trabzonspor	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.29	4.88
Corners conceded	4.86	5.63
Match total	9.15	10.51	9.72
Over 8.5	57% 4/7	63% 5/8
Over 9.5	43% 3/7	50% 4/8
Over 10.5	14% 1/7	50% 4/8
Cards
Cards	1.44	2.44
Opponent cards	2.67	2.11
Match total	4.11	4.55	5.05
Over 3.5	56% 5/9	56% 5/9
Over 4.5	33% 3/9	33% 3/9

	Trabzonspor	Eyüpspor	League
Corners
Corners won	4.00	4.56
Corners conceded	4.50	5.67
Match total	8.50	10.23	9.72
Over 8.5	50% 4/8	56% 5/9
Over 9.5	38% 3/8	44% 4/9
Over 10.5	13% 1/8	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	1.30	2.30
Opponent cards	2.40	1.90
Match total	3.70	4.20	5.05
Over 3.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	30% 3/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Zorbay Kucuk Türkiye · 7 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.57league 4.78

Red cards0.43league 0.27

Cards 5+57%league 55%

Fouls30.2league 26.6

Penalties0.29league 0.29

Home wins43%league 37%

Trabzonspor

No previous matches with this referee.

Eyüpspor1 with this referee

Record0-1-0 Cards · opp.4.0 · 4.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

D31 Aug 25A · Istanbul Basaksehir0–04

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.