UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 - Play-offs Play-offs Thu, Aug 20 · 18:00 Papara Park, Trabzon
Trabzonspor
0–1Full time
Ferencvarosi TC
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,792 kmRest days5 · 7Matches / 14d1 · 1
Real contextStrength only
Trabzonspor—%
Draw—%
Ferencvarosi TC—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Trabzon)

No weather data yet

RefereeIgor Pajač
  • Cards per match 3.6
  • Penalties per match 0.29
  • Matches 24

Team strength

TrabzonsporFerencvarosi TC
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
46 Current StrengthIn forecast 57
54 AttackIn forecast 61
48 DefenceIn forecast 56
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Trabzonspor

Attack—
Defense risk—

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

TrabzonsporFerencvarosi TC
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —
— Goals concededVia Att/Def —
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext —
— Clean sheetsContext —
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext —
— Red cardsContext —
This league season, per match
1.10 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.60
1.10 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.10
1.15 xGVia Att/Def 1.14
1.21 xG allowedVia Att/Def 0.95
-0.05 Goals minus xGContext +0.46
90% Scored inContext 90%
20% Clean sheetsContext 40%
12.60 ShotsContext 12.50
3.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50
29% On target shareContext 36%
8.20 Shots in the boxContext 7.50
66% Box shareContext 57%
9% ConversionContext 10%
2.38 OffsidesContext 3.00
13.00 Shots allowedContext 10.25
3.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.25
3.40 BlocksContext 2.67
2.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.75
71% Save rateContext 65%
54% PossessionIn forecast 45%
428 PassesContext 369
366 Accurate passesContext 307
86% Pass accuracyContext 83%
6.93 Team ratingContext 6.89
11.10 FoulsContext 13.00
13.60 Fouls sufferedContext 13.00
1.30 Yellow cardsContext 1.80
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.10
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Trabzonspor
Rest5 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km1,807 km in 14d
Schedule load5%Low
Form 43 · 1 pts vs 1.8 for an average club · -0.6 vs expected
  • D15 AugA · Kasimpasa1–11.6 xPts
Ferencvarosi TC
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel1,792 km630 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Trabzonspor Ferencvarosi TC
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 5Moderate · 20
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match5Süper Lig 2026-2027, 15 Aug7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 13 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,792 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways1,807 km630 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days1 / 1 / 11 / 1 / 4
Next matchdays after this one37.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Trabzonspor Confirmed XI
4-2-3-1
24A. Onana(G)
55Sidny Lopes Cabral 39C. Özkacar 27Chibuike Nwaiwu 20Wagner Pina
57M. Kabasakal 8B. Bouchouari
70N. Saviolo 14M. Nayir 10Mohamed Salah
30E. Onuachu
Ferencvarosi TC Confirmed XI
4-4-2
90D. Dibusz(G)
20Cadu 28T. Raemaekers 4M. Gómez 54O. Nagy
47C. O'Dowda 17M. Corbu 88P. Rommens 16K. Zachariassen
75L. Joseph 11B. Yusuf

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Trabzonspor Absences are shown before kick-off
Ferencvarosi TC Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Trabzonspor · Home No home games yet this season.
Ferencvarosi TC · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

TrabzonsporFerencvarosi TCForecast
Scored per game ——
Conceded per game ——
Match goals ——
Over 1.5 ——
Over 2.5 ——
Over 3.5 ——
Both teams scored ——
Clean sheets ——
Failed to score ——
Games00
TrabzonsporFerencvarosi TCForecast
Scored per game 1.101.60
Conceded per game 1.101.10
Match goals 2.202.70
Over 1.5 80%90%
Over 2.5 40%60%
Over 3.5 0%20%
Both teams scored 70%50%
Clean sheets 20%40%
Failed to score 10%10%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

TrabzonsporFerencvarosi TCLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——9.33
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards——
Opponent cards——
Match total——4.33
Over 3.5——
Over 4.5——
TrabzonsporFerencvarosi TCLeague
Corners
Corners won5.302.50
Corners conceded4.706.00
Match total10.008.509.33
Over 8.560% 6/1050% 2/4
Over 9.550% 5/1025% 1/4
Over 10.550% 5/1025% 1/4
Cards
Cards1.401.90
Opponent cards2.502.10
Match total3.904.004.33
Over 3.550% 5/1050% 5/10
Over 4.520% 2/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Igor Pajač 24 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.50league 4.00
Red cards0.13league 0.33
Cards 5+38%league 67%
Fouls22.7league 27.7
Penalties0.29league 0.67
Home wins54%league 33%
Trabzonspor

No previous matches with this referee.

Ferencvarosi TC1 with this referee
Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.1.0 · 0.0 Pens for · against0 · 0
  • L3 Oct 24H · Tottenham1–21

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Trabzonspor
No complete event data.
Ferencvarosi TC
No complete event data.
Trabzonspor10 games · scored 11 · conceded 11
2 1 0-15
16-30
1 4 31-45
2 2 46-60
4 1 61-75
2 3 76-90
Ferencvarosi TC10 games · scored 16 · conceded 11
3 2 0-15
4 1 16-30
2 4 31-45
1 1 46-60
3 1 61-75
3 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.