Trabzonspor vs Genclerbirligi – 6 Sep 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 4 Sun, Sep 6 · 18:00 Papara Park, Trabzon

Trabzonspor 11th · 4 pts · 3 played DWL

5–0Full time

Genclerbirligi 4th · 7 pts · 3 played WWD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Trabzonspor were slight favourites.

Trabzonspor were the stronger side on L90 Strength (38 vs 18). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Genclerbirligi. Trabzonspor had 5.9 days of rest, Genclerbirligi 8.9 and had to travel 594 km.

Away travel594 kmRest days5.9 · 8.9Matches / 14d2 · 2

Trabzonspor55%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi23%

Expected goals 1.89 – 1.13

Trabzonspor60%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi18%

Expected goals 1.91 – 0.94

Trabzonspor55%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi22%

Expected goals 1.91 – 1.14

Trabzonspor47%

Draw24%

Genclerbirligi29%

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.27

Trabzonspor54%

Draw22%

Genclerbirligi23%

Expected goals 1.88 – 1.15

Over 2.5 58% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Trabzon)

No weather data yet

Referee—Not recorded

Team strength

Trabzonspor

Genclerbirligi

38 L90 StrengthIn forecast 18

46 Current StrengthIn forecast 15

54 AttackIn forecast 13

48 DefenceIn forecast 16

40 Form indexContext 68

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Trabzonspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Genclerbirligi

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Trabzonspor

Genclerbirligi

1.33 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.33

1.33 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.67

1.32 xGVia Att/Def 1.17

2.07 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.89

+0.01 Goals minus xGContext +0.16

100% Scored inContext 100%

0% Clean sheetsContext 33%

13.33 ShotsContext 12.00

6.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.33

45% On target shareContext 28%

9.00 Shots in the boxContext 6.33

68% Box shareContext 55%

10% ConversionContext 11%

3.00 OffsidesContext 1.50

12.67 Shots allowedContext 17.33

5.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 7.00

2.00 BlocksContext 4.50

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 6.33

80% Save rateContext 91%

58% PossessionIn forecast 42%

497 PassesContext 347

429 Accurate passesContext 266

86% Pass accuracyContext 77%

6.94 Team ratingContext 7.15

10.67 FoulsContext 11.33

17.67 Fouls sufferedContext 12.00

1.67 Yellow cardsContext 1.67

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

This league season, per match · 3 and 3 games

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.20

1.70 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

1.15 xGVia Att/Def 1.32

1.64 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.68

-0.25 Goals minus xGContext -0.12

70% Scored inContext 70%

0% Clean sheetsContext 30%

13.00 ShotsContext 11.60

4.63 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.89

36% On target shareContext 30%

8.75 Shots in the boxContext 6.70

68% Box shareContext 58%

9% ConversionContext 10%

3.00 OffsidesContext 1.75

14.25 Shots allowedContext 12.30

4.13 On target allowedVia Att/Def 5.00

3.30 BlocksContext 3.00

3.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.25

73% Save rateContext 79%

55% PossessionIn forecast 48%

445 PassesContext 360

383 Accurate passesContext 286

86% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.92 Team ratingContext 6.86

10.30 FoulsContext 11.50

15.40 Fouls sufferedContext 14.50

1.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.20 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Trabzonspor DWL

Rest5.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km4,276 km in 14d

Schedule load10%Low

Form 40 · 4 pts vs 5.1 for an average club · -0.2 vs expected

L31 AugA · Amed1–21.3 xPts
W23 AugH · Istanbul Basaksehir2–11.4 xPts
D15 AugA · Kasimpasa1–11.6 xPts

Genclerbirligi WWD

Rest8.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel594 km1,041 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

Form 68 · 7 pts vs 4.9 for an average club · +3.9 vs expected

D28 AugH · Erzurumspor FK1–11.6 xPts
W23 AugA · Goztepe1–00.8 xPts
W15 AugH · Fenerbahce2–10.7 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Trabzonspor	Genclerbirligi
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 10	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 31 Aug	8.9Süper Lig 2026-2027, 28 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	594 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	4,276 km	1,041 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 5	0 / 2 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	6	6.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Trabzonspor Confirmed XI

4-3-3

24A. Onana(G)

19M. Eskihellaç 15S. Savić 27Chibuike Nwaiwu 20Wagner Pina

7E. Muçi 6Fabinho 11O. Tufan

58D. Şimşir 30E. Onuachu 10Mohamed Salah

+6 more reported missing outside this XI

Genclerbirligi Confirmed XI

4-1-4-1

70İ. Eğribayat(G)

88F. Üzüm 2T. da Silva 6D. Goutas 13Pedro Pereira

42Ousmane Diabate

7Tiago Gouveia 10F. Tongya 35O. Ülgün 14A. Traoré

20S. Koïta

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Trabzonspor Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Genclerbirligi Scores -0.03 · concedes 0.00 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Trabzonspor-0.3 pp
Draw+0.2 pp
Genclerbirligi+0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Trabzonspor · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 2.00
Conceded: 1.00

Genclerbirligi · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

0 Trabzonspor wins0 draws2 Genclerbirligi wins

Goals per game1.50 – 3.50 Over 2.5100% Both scored50% Clean sheets0% · 50%

17 May 2026Trabzonspor0–3Genclerbirligi
22 Dec 2025Genclerbirligi4–3Trabzonspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Trabzonspor	Genclerbirligi	Forecast
Scored per game	1.33	1.33
Conceded per game	1.33	0.67
Match goals	2.67	2.00	3.02
Over 1.5	100%	67%
Over 2.5	67%	33%	58%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	100%	67%	57%
Clean sheets	0%	33%
Failed to score	0%	0%
Games	3	3

	Trabzonspor	Genclerbirligi	Forecast
Scored per game	0.90	1.20
Conceded per game	1.70	1.20
Match goals	2.60	2.40	3.02
Over 1.5	90%	70%
Over 2.5	60%	50%	58%
Over 3.5	10%	10%
Both teams scored	70%	40%	57%
Clean sheets	0%	30%
Failed to score	30%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Trabzonspor	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	6.67	3.00
Corners conceded	2.00	7.67
Match total	8.67	10.67	9.10
Over 8.5	33% 1/3	67% 2/3
Over 9.5	33% 1/3	67% 2/3
Over 10.5	33% 1/3	67% 2/3
Cards
Cards	1.67	1.67
Opponent cards	3.67	1.67
Match total	5.34	3.34	3.79
Over 3.5	67% 2/3	33% 1/3
Over 4.5	67% 2/3	33% 1/3

	Trabzonspor	Genclerbirligi	League
Corners
Corners won	5.30	3.30
Corners conceded	4.70	4.70
Match total	10.00	8.00	9.10
Over 8.5	60% 6/10	40% 4/10
Over 9.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	20% 2/10
Cards
Cards	2.00	2.00
Opponent cards	2.90	2.70
Match total	4.90	4.70	3.79
Over 3.5	60% 6/10	50% 5/10
Over 4.5	50% 5/10	30% 3/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.