UEFA Europa League 2026-2027 Qualifying rounds Thu, Jul 23 · 19:00 De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Twente
1–2Full time
Ferencvarosi TC 1st · 6 pts · 2 played
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Our take

No forecast yet.

Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.

Away travel1,015 kmRest days67.2 · 7Matches / 14d0 · 2
Real contextStrength only
Twente—%
Draw—%
Ferencvarosi TC—%
Expected goals — – — No forecast for this match yet. Forecasts are published up to 21 days ahead.
Weather (Enschede)

No weather data yet

RefereeDamian Kos
  • Cards per match 4.3
  • Penalties per match 0.22
  • Matches 23

Team strength

TwenteFerencvarosi TC
— L90 StrengthIn forecast —
45 Current StrengthIn forecast 57
41 AttackIn forecast 61
49 DefenceIn forecast 56
— Form indexContext —
In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Twente

Attack—
Defense risk—

Ferencvarosi TC

Attack—
Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

TwenteFerencvarosi TC
— Goals scoredVia Att/Def 2.50
— Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.50
— xGVia Att/Def —
— xG allowedVia Att/Def —
— Goals minus xGContext —
— Scored inContext 100%
— Clean sheetsContext 50%
— ShotsContext —
— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —
— On target shareContext —
— Shots in the boxContext —
— Box shareContext —
— ConversionContext —
— OffsidesContext —
— Shots allowedContext —
— On target allowedVia Att/Def —
— BlocksContext —
— Goalkeeper savesContext —
— Save rateContext —
— PossessionIn forecast —
— PassesContext —
— Accurate passesContext —
— Pass accuracyContext —
— Team ratingContext —
— FoulsContext —
— Fouls sufferedContext —
— Yellow cardsContext 2.00
— Red cardsContext 0.00
This league season, per match · 0 and 2 games
2.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.40
1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.40
1.43 xGVia Att/Def 1.13
1.46 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.08
+0.57 Goals minus xGContext +0.27
90% Scored inContext 80%
20% Clean sheetsContext 30%
15.70 ShotsContext 11.25
6.30 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.38
40% On target shareContext 30%
10.90 Shots in the boxContext 7.50
67% Box shareContext 65%
13% ConversionContext 10%
2.00 OffsidesContext 2.25
12.00 Shots allowedContext 11.88
4.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.75
3.78 BlocksContext 2.86
3.10 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.25
69% Save rateContext 68%
53% PossessionIn forecast 45%
437 PassesContext 384
351 Accurate passesContext 312
80% Pass accuracyContext 81%
7.00 Team ratingContext 6.82
8.60 FoulsContext 14.13
8.80 Fouls sufferedContext 10.75
0.60 Yellow cardsContext 2.30
0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00
Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games
In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Twente
Rest67.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.
Ferencvarosi TC
Rest7 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel1,015 km514 km in 14d
Schedule load12%Low
No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery
Twente Ferencvarosi TC
Schedule loaddescriptive index, contextLow · 0Low · 12
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecastNoNo
Rest dayssince last match67.2Eredivisie 2025-2026, 17 May7UEFA Europa League 2026-2027, 16 Jul
Travel to venuefrom home stadium0 km1,015 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways0 km514 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days0 / 0 / 01 / 2 / 2
Next matchdays after this one77

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Twente Confirmed XI
4-2-1-3
1L. Unnerstall(G)
29A. Adelgaard 43Ruud Nijstad 23S. Lemkin 28B. van Rooij
20T. van den Belt 6R. Zerrouki
14K. Hlynsson
27S. Ørjasæter 9W. Weghorst 11D. Rots
Ferencvarosi TC Confirmed XI
4-3-3
90D. Dibusz(G)
20Cadu 28T. Raemaekers 4M. Gómez 14A. Osváth
36G. Kanichowsky 88P. Rommens 17M. Corbu
11B. Yusuf 75L. Joseph 16K. Zachariassen

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences
Twente Absences are shown before kick-off
Ferencvarosi TC Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads —

Home / Away this season

Twente · Home No home games yet this season.
Ferencvarosi TC · Away 3.00points per game · 1 away games
W-D-L
1-0-0
Scored
2.00
Conceded
1.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

TwenteFerencvarosi TCForecast
Scored per game —2.50
Conceded per game —0.50
Match goals —3.00
Over 1.5 —100%
Over 2.5 —100%
Over 3.5 —0%
Both teams scored —50%
Clean sheets —50%
Failed to score —0%
Games02
TwenteFerencvarosi TCForecast
Scored per game 2.001.40
Conceded per game 1.401.40
Match goals 3.402.80
Over 1.5 100%100%
Over 2.5 70%60%
Over 3.5 40%20%
Both teams scored 70%50%
Clean sheets 20%30%
Failed to score 10%20%
Games1010

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

TwenteFerencvarosi TCLeague
Corners
Corners won——
Corners conceded——
Match total——8.00
Over 8.5——
Over 9.5——
Over 10.5——
Cards
Cards—2.00
Opponent cards—2.00
Match total—4.006.00
Over 3.5—50% 1/2
Over 4.5—50% 1/2
TwenteFerencvarosi TCLeague
Corners
Corners won4.903.50
Corners conceded4.605.75
Match total9.509.258.00
Over 8.560% 6/1075% 6/8
Over 9.550% 5/1050% 4/8
Over 10.530% 3/1025% 2/8
Cards
Cards0.602.30
Opponent cards1.602.70
Match total2.205.006.00
Over 3.520% 2/1060% 6/10
Over 4.510% 1/1050% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Damian Kos 23 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.96league 3.24
Red cards0.30league 0.12
Cards 5+61%league 29%
Fouls24.4league 34.0
Penalties0.22league 0.12
Home wins48%league 29%
Twente

No previous matches with this referee.

Ferencvarosi TC

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.

Goal timing

Twente
No complete event data.
Ferencvarosi TC2 games · scored 5 · conceded 1
1 0-15
1 16-30
1 1 31-45
46-60
1 61-75
1 76-90
Twente10 games · scored 20 · conceded 14
2 3 0-15
4 16-30
3 4 31-45
6 3 46-60
3 2 61-75
2 2 76-90
Ferencvarosi TC10 games · scored 14 · conceded 14
2 2 0-15
3 4 16-30
3 2 31-45
2 46-60
5 2 61-75
1 2 76-90

scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.

Scenario lab Soon

Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.