Union St. Gilloise
Attack—
Defense risk—
UEFA Champions League 2026-2027
Qualifying rounds Tue, Aug 4 · 19:00
Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels
Our take
No forecast yet.
Forecasts are published up to 21 days before kick-off.
Away travel1,909 kmRest days135 · ?Matches / 14d0 · 0
Real contextStrength only
Union St. Gilloise—%
Draw—%
Bodo/Glimt—%
Weather (Brussels)
No weather data yet
RefereeIrfan Peljto
- Cards per match 3.9
- Penalties per match 0.51
- Matches 43
Team strength
Union St. Gilloise
Bodo/Glimt
—
L90 StrengthIn forecast
—
70
Current StrengthIn forecast
58
62
AttackIn forecast
61
74
DefenceIn forecast
64
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisBodo/Glimt
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
—
—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
Goals minus xGContext
—
—
Scored inContext
—
—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
—
—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
—
—
Pass accuracyContext
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—
Team ratingContext
—
—
FoulsContext
—
—
Fouls sufferedContext
—
—
Yellow cardsContext
—
—
Red cardsContext
—
1.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.80
1.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.80
1.40
xGVia Att/Def
1.55
0.87
xG allowedVia Att/Def
2.23
+0.20
Goals minus xGContext
+0.25
70%
Scored inContext
80%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
10%
15.40
ShotsContext
10.30
5.40
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.60
35%
On target shareContext
45%
10.30
Shots in the boxContext
7.60
67%
Box shareContext
74%
10%
ConversionContext
18%
1.63
OffsidesContext
2.50
8.70
Shots allowedContext
20.90
3.29
On target allowedVia Att/Def
7.80
2.56
BlocksContext
5.20
1.86
Goalkeeper savesContext
5.70
57%
Save rateContext
73%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
44%
404
PassesContext
437
326
Accurate passesContext
359
81%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
7.05
Team ratingContext
7.02
10.50
FoulsContext
8.80
10.20
Fouls sufferedContext
10.40
2.20
Yellow cardsContext
1.20
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Union St. Gilloise
Rest135 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Bodo/Glimt
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel1,909 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load20%Moderate
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Union St. Gilloise |
Bodo/Glimt |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Moderate · 20 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 135Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 22 Mar | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 1,909 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 4 | 6.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Union St. Gilloise
Confirmed XI
1V. Chambaere(G)
26R. Sykes
29M. Sylla
5K. Mac Allister
11G. da Silva Carvalho
17R. Schoofs
6K. Van de Perre
25A. Khalaili
28D. Olaru
7M. Fuseini
30R. Florucz
Bodo/Glimt
Confirmed XI
12N. Haikin(G)
15F. Bjørkan
6J. Gundersen
4O. Bjørtuft
20F. Sjøvold
19S. Fet
7P. Berg
8S. Auklend
10J. Hauge
17O. Brynhildsen
11O. Blomberg
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Union St. Gilloise
Absences are shown before kick-off
Bodo/Glimt
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
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Home / Away this season
Union St. Gilloise · Home
No home games yet this season.
Bodo/Glimt · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 1 of 1 meetings
0 Union St. Gilloise wins1 draws0 Bodo/Glimt wins
Goals per game0.00 – 0.00
Over 2.50%
Both scored0%
Clean sheets100% · 100%
- 3 Oct 2024Union St. Gilloise0–0Bodo/Glimt
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Union St. Gilloise | Bodo/Glimt | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Union St. Gilloise | Bodo/Glimt | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.40 | — | |
| Conceded per game | 0.50 | — | |
| Match goals | 1.90 | — | |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | — | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | — | |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | — | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | — | |
| Clean sheets | 50% | — | |
| Failed to score | 20% | — | |
| Games | 10 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Union St. Gilloise | Bodo/Glimt | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 10.19 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 4.88 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Union St. Gilloise | Bodo/Glimt | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.20 | 3.30 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.10 | 8.90 | |
| Match total | 9.30 | 12.20 | 10.19 |
| Over 8.5 | 60% 6/10 | 80% 8/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 60% 6/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.30 | 1.30 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 1.90 | |
| Match total | 4.60 | 3.20 | 4.88 |
| Over 3.5 | 70% 7/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 50% 5/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Irfan Peljto 43 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.63league 4.32
Red cards0.26league 0.25
Cards 5+40%league 43%
Fouls22.3league 25.9
Penalties0.51league 0.33
Home wins49%league 50%
Union St. Gilloise1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.1.0 · 4.0
Pens for · against1 · 0
- W2 Aug 22H · Rangers2–01
Bodo/GlimtNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Union St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtUnion St. Gilloise10 games · scored 16 · conceded 10
1
1
0-15
5
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
4
76-90
Bodo/Glimt10 games · scored 18 · conceded 18
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
5
1
61-75
2
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Soon
Real contextLOAD90 forecast: EloLambda plus playing style (possession) and High Congestion.
Pure EloLambdaControl forecast without the LOAD90 factors, as on eScored.
Strength onlyElo and home edge only.
Full squadsBoth teams with every player available.
Neutral venueRemove home advantage.