Insights.
Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.
Explore insights
Explore competitions →Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals2 signals · 1 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Espanyol
Points below expected
−2.5
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast52
Espanyol
−2.5
Points below expected
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
Points8.0xPts10.5
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 9/9 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 8; xPts 10.5. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 26.8
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 55.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
9/9 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 8.0
- xPts
- 10.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Espanyol
Both teams scored
67%
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 9 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. La Liga 2026-2027: 1.53 goals per team/match, 88 matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.6
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 90.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 9 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Espanyol’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | LevanteH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-08-22 | Real MadridH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | Real SociedadA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | SevillaH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | OsasunaA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-09-15 | Rayo VallecanoA | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | ElcheH | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-09 | MalagaA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Atletico MadridH | 0–1L | No |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →