Insights.
Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.
Explore insights
Explore competitions →Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.
All signals76 signals · 18 clubs
Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →
Trabzonspor
Clean sheets in a row
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak64
Consecutive matches without conceding start with the latest recorded result. Any goal conceded ends the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 30.0
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheets in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | KasimpasaA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-20 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-23 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-27 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | AmedA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-06 | GenclerbirligiH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | KonyasporA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | GalatasarayH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | SamsunsporA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | BesiktasH | 2–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Samsunspor
Losses in a row
6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak68
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Samsunspor’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | GoztepeH | 3–3D | No |
| 2026-08-22 | RizesporA | 2–0W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | FenerbahceH | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | KocaelisporA | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Çorum FKH | 1–5L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | Erzurumspor FKA | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | TrabzonsporH | 0–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | KasimpasaA | 1–4L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Erzurumspor FK
Clean sheets in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak57
Consecutive matches without conceding start with the latest recorded result. Any goal conceded ends the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Erzurumspor FK’s perspective. Event: Clean sheets in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | AmedA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-08-21 | GalatasarayH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-28 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | KonyasporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | BesiktasA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | SamsunsporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AlanyasporA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | EyüpsporH | 2–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Samsunspor
Points below expected
−6.5
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast67
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 4; xPts 10.5. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 75.0
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 4.0
- xPts
- 10.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Eyüpspor
Goals conceded per match
2.8
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 42.5
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Eyüpspor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | BesiktasA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-23 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-30 | AlanyasporH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-06 | Çorum FKA | 0–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | RizesporH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-20 | FenerbahceA | 0–8L |
| 2026-10-12 | GoztepeH | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | Erzurumspor FKA | 0–2L |
Eyüpspor
Losses in a row
5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak64
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 46.2
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Eyüpspor’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | BesiktasA | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 0–1L | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | AlanyasporH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-06 | Çorum FKA | 0–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | RizesporH | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | FenerbahceA | 0–8L | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | GoztepeH | 0–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | Erzurumspor FKA | 0–2L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce
xG difference per match
+1.23
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG45
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.57; xG against 1.34. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 82.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.57
- xG against
- 1.34
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Eyüpspor
xG difference per match
−1.04
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG40
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.74; xG against 1.78. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 69.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.74
- xG against
- 1.78
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce
Clean sheets
5
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores65
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 38.9
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Fenerbahce’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | KonyasporH | 4–2W | No |
| 2026-08-26 | LyonA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | SamsunsporA | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | BesiktasH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-10 | AS RomaH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-14 | Gazişehir GaziantepA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | EyüpsporH | 8–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | RizesporA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-14 | Aston VillaA | 0–6L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | AlanyasporH | 3–0W | Yes |
Trabzonspor
Wins in a row
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak64
Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 30.0
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | KasimpasaA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-20 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-23 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | AmedA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-06 | GenclerbirligiH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | KonyasporA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | GalatasarayH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | SamsunsporA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | BesiktasH | 2–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Amed
Unbeaten in a row
6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | KocaelisporA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | TrabzonsporH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | KasimpasaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | BesiktasH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | GenclerbirligiA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | KonyasporH | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Losses in a row
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak58
Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 27.7
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Gazişehir Gaziantep’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | AlanyasporH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-23 | EyüpsporA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-29 | RizesporH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-09-07 | GoztepeA | 4–2W | No |
| 2026-09-14 | FenerbahceH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-09-19 | KocaelisporA | 0–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Çorum FKH | 0–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 1–2L | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Eyüpspor
Points below expected
−5.3
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast62
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 3; xPts 8.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 61.2
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 3.0
- xPts
- 8.3
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Samsunspor
xG difference per match
−0.87
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG36
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.94; xG against 1.81. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 58.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.94
- xG against
- 1.81
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Samsunspor
Goals conceded per match
2.4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores59
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 30.3
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Samsunspor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | GoztepeH | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-22 | RizesporA | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | FenerbahceH | 0–2L |
| 2026-09-06 | KocaelisporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-12 | Çorum FKH | 1–5L |
| 2026-09-20 | Erzurumspor FKA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | TrabzonsporH | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | KasimpasaA | 1–4L |
Amed
xG difference per match
+1.09
Underlying performance · 8-match window
Observed xG38
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.84; xG against 0.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 67.1
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 32.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 8-match window
- xG for
- 1.84
- xG against
- 0.75
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor
Points above expected
+4.6
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast61
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 16; xPts 11.4. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 53.1
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 16.0
- xPts
- 11.4
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce
Goals scored per match
2.4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores63
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.7
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Fenerbahce’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | KonyasporH | 4–2W |
| 2026-08-26 | LyonA | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-30 | SamsunsporA | 2–0W |
| 2026-09-05 | BesiktasH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-10 | AS RomaH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-14 | Gazişehir GaziantepA | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-20 | EyüpsporH | 8–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | RizesporA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-14 | Aston VillaA | 0–6L |
| 2026-10-17 | AlanyasporH | 3–0W |
Amed
Points above expected
+4.5
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast59
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 17; xPts 12.5. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 51.9
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 17.0
- xPts
- 12.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores47
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 9.4
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W |
Goztepe
Goals conceded away per match
1.8
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores48
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 9.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | SamsunsporA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-29 | GalatasarayA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-12 | AlanyasporA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-12 | EyüpsporA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | KocaelisporA | 2–1W |
Besiktas
Points above expected
+4.1
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast59
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 21; xPts 16.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 41.0
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 21.0
- xPts
- 16.9
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Erzurumspor FK
Clean sheets
4
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 35.9
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Erzurumspor FK’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | AmedA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-08-21 | GalatasarayH | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-28 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-05 | KonyasporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | BesiktasA | 0–3L | No |
| 2026-09-20 | SamsunsporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | AlanyasporA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | EyüpsporH | 2–0W | Yes |
Besiktas
Goals scored per match
2.2
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.6
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Besiktas’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | AlanyasporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-27 | Kauno ŽalgirisA | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-31 | Çorum FKH | 6–2W |
| 2026-09-05 | FenerbahceA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-11 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-17 | MarseilleH | 4–1W |
| 2026-09-20 | AmedA | 2–3L |
| 2026-10-11 | KocaelisporH | 2–1W |
| 2026-10-15 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–2L |
Konyaspor
Points below expected
−4.0
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast57
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 5; xPts 9. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 46.2
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 5.0
- xPts
- 9.0
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Besiktas
xG difference per match
+0.79
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.06; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 52.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 2.06
- xG against
- 1.27
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 15.7
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | KasimpasaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-20 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-23 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-27 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-31 | AmedA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-06 | GenclerbirligiH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | KonyasporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-19 | GalatasarayH | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | SamsunsporA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-19 | BesiktasH | 2–0W |
Galatasaray
xG difference per match
+0.75
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG34
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.97; xG against 1.22. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 50.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.97
- xG against
- 1.22
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Amed
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.2
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W |
| 2026-08-24 | KocaelisporA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-31 | TrabzonsporH | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-06 | KasimpasaA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-13 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-20 | BesiktasH | 3–2W |
| 2026-10-10 | GenclerbirligiA | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | KonyasporH | 1–0W |
Trabzonspor
Goals conceded away per match
1.6
Last 5 recorded away matches
Scores40
An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.
Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 4.1
- Recency
- 74.1
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 62.5
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 5 recorded away matches
Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | KasimpasaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-27 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-31 | AmedA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-12 | KonyasporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-10-10 | SamsunsporA | 3–0W |
Çorum FK
Goals scored per match
2.3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 26.2
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | GalatasarayA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-22 | KasimpasaH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-31 | BesiktasA | 2–6L |
| 2026-09-06 | EyüpsporH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | SamsunsporA | 5–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | AlanyasporH | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | Gazişehir GaziantepA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-16 | RizesporH | 2–1W |
Goztepe
Both teams scored
75%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores68
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 56.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | SamsunsporA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | GenclerbirligiH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | GalatasarayA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-07 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AlanyasporA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RizesporH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | EyüpsporA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-10-18 | KocaelisporA | 2–1W | Yes |
Kasimpasa
Both teams scored
75%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores68
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 56.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Kasimpasa’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | TrabzonsporH | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | Çorum FKA | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-08-30 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 1–1D | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | AmedH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GenclerbirligiA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | KonyasporH | 0–0D | No |
| 2026-10-09 | GalatasarayA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | SamsunsporH | 4–1W | Yes |
Kocaelispor
Goals conceded per match
1.0
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 14.5
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Kocaelispor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 0–2L |
| 2026-08-24 | AmedH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | KonyasporA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-06 | SamsunsporH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-13 | GalatasarayA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-19 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | BesiktasA | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-18 | GoztepeH | 1–2L |
Kasimpasa
Points above expected
+3.5
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast55
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 13; xPts 9.5. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 40.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 13.0
- xPts
- 9.5
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Goztepe
Goals scored per match
2.1
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 22.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | SamsunsporA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-23 | GenclerbirligiH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-29 | GalatasarayA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-07 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–4L |
| 2026-09-12 | AlanyasporA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-20 | RizesporH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-12 | EyüpsporA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | KocaelisporA | 2–1W |
Goztepe
Scoring in a row
6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak68
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | SamsunsporA | 3–3D | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | GenclerbirligiH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | GalatasarayA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-07 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–4L | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | AlanyasporA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | RizesporH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-12 | EyüpsporA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | KocaelisporA | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Amed
Scoring in a row
6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak67
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | KocaelisporA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | TrabzonsporH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | KasimpasaA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | BesiktasH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | GenclerbirligiA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | KonyasporH | 1–0W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Kocaelispor
Points above expected
+3.4
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast55
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 12; xPts 8.6. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 39.2
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 12.0
- xPts
- 8.6
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK
Scoring in a row
6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Streak66
The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
- Deviation
- 55.4
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | GalatasarayA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | KasimpasaH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | BesiktasA | 2–6L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | EyüpsporH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | SamsunsporA | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AlanyasporH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Gazişehir GaziantepA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-16 | RizesporH | 2–1W | Yes |
Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor
Clean sheets
4
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores60
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 18.9
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | KasimpasaA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-20 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-23 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-08-27 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | AmedA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-06 | GenclerbirligiH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | KonyasporA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | GalatasarayH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-10 | SamsunsporA | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | BesiktasH | 2–0W | Yes |
Istanbul Basaksehir
xG difference per match
+0.57
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG29
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.75; xG against 1.18. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 38.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.75
- xG against
- 1.18
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Alanyaspor
Points above expected
+2.8
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast52
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 12; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 32.3
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 12.0
- xPts
- 9.2
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Alanyaspor
xG difference per match
−0.56
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG29
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.04; xG against 1.6. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 37.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.04
- xG against
- 1.60
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep
xG difference per match
−0.56
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG29
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.99; xG against 1.55. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 37.3
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.99
- xG against
- 1.55
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Goztepe
Goals conceded per match
2.0
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores55
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 18.1
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | SamsunsporA | 3–3D |
| 2026-08-23 | GenclerbirligiH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-29 | GalatasarayA | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-07 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–4L |
| 2026-09-12 | AlanyasporA | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-20 | RizesporH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-12 | EyüpsporA | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-18 | KocaelisporA | 2–1W |
Istanbul Basaksehir
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | KocaelisporH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-23 | TrabzonsporA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-08-30 | KasimpasaH | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-09-04 | GalatasarayH | 2–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | AmedA | 0–5L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | GenclerbirligiH | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | KonyasporA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-18 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–1W | No |
Genclerbirligi
xG difference per match
−0.55
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG29
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.13; xG against 1.68. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 36.7
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.13
- xG against
- 1.68
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Konyaspor
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.8
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Konyaspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | RizesporH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-22 | FenerbahceA | 2–4L | No |
| 2026-08-29 | KocaelisporH | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-05 | Erzurumspor FKA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-12 | TrabzonsporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-18 | KasimpasaA | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | AmedA | 0–1L | No |
Alanyaspor
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.8
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Alanyaspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Gazişehir GaziantepA | 1–1D | No |
| 2026-08-23 | BesiktasH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-30 | EyüpsporA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-09-07 | RizesporA | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-12 | GoztepeH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Çorum FKA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | Erzurumspor FKH | 0–0D | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | FenerbahceA | 0–3L | No |
Genclerbirligi
Goals conceded per match
2.0
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores54
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 18.1
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Genclerbirligi’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | FenerbahceH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-23 | GoztepeA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-28 | Erzurumspor FKH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-06 | TrabzonsporA | 0–5L |
| 2026-09-13 | KasimpasaH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-19 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-10 | AmedH | 2–2D |
| 2026-10-17 | GalatasarayH | 0–1L |
Kocaelispor
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores53
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Kocaelispor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-24 | AmedH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | KonyasporA | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-06 | SamsunsporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | GalatasarayA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-09-19 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–0W | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | BesiktasA | 1–2L | No |
| 2026-10-18 | GoztepeH | 1–2L | No |
Çorum FK
Points above expected
+2.2
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Points 13; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 25.4
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 13.0
- xPts
- 10.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir
Points below expected
−1.9
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast49
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.9. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 21.9
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 11.0
- xPts
- 12.9
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce
Points below expected
−1.8
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast50
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 17; xPts 18.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 18.0
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 60.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
10/10 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 17.0
- xPts
- 18.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 8.
Full club analysis →
Goztepe
Points below expected
−1.8
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast48
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 20.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 9.0
- xPts
- 10.8
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray
Goals scored per match
1.9
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 16.1
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Çorum FKH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | GoztepeH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | KocaelisporH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-09 | KasimpasaH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | BarcelonaH | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W |
Kocaelispor
xG difference per match
−0.51
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG28
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.76; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 34.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.76
- xG against
- 1.27
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Amed
Clean sheets
3
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.8
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | KocaelisporA | 0–2L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | TrabzonsporH | 2–1W | No |
| 2026-09-06 | KasimpasaA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-09-13 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 5–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | BesiktasH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-10-10 | GenclerbirligiA | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-10-17 | KonyasporH | 1–0W | Yes |
Rizespor
xG difference per match
+0.33
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG24
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.36; xG against 1.03. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 22.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.36
- xG against
- 1.03
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Goztepe
xG difference per match
+0.27
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG22
Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 18.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 1.77
- xG against
- 1.50
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Konyaspor
xG difference per match
−0.42
Underlying performance · 10-match window
Observed xG26
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.91; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 28.0
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 40.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 10-match window
- xG for
- 0.91
- xG against
- 1.33
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor
Goals scored per match
1.8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores57
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.5
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | KasimpasaA | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-20 | Ferencvarosi TCH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-23 | Istanbul BasaksehirH | 2–1W |
| 2026-08-27 | Ferencvarosi TCA | 0–4L |
| 2026-08-31 | AmedA | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-06 | GenclerbirligiH | 5–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | KonyasporA | 0–1L |
| 2026-09-19 | GalatasarayH | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-10 | SamsunsporA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-19 | BesiktasH | 2–0W |
Galatasaray
Goals conceded per match
1.8
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores56
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 12.5
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Çorum FKH | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | GoztepeH | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | KocaelisporH | 1–0W |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L |
| 2026-10-09 | KasimpasaH | 3–1W |
| 2026-10-13 | BarcelonaH | 1–4L |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W |
Galatasaray
Clean sheets
3
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores52
Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.1
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Çorum FKH | 2–2D | No |
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W | Yes |
| 2026-08-29 | GoztepeH | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W | No |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L | No |
| 2026-09-13 | KocaelisporH | 1–0W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-10-09 | KasimpasaH | 3–1W | No |
| 2026-10-13 | BarcelonaH | 1–4L | No |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W | Yes |
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Points below expected
−1.1
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
Forecast46
The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 8; xPts 9.1. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
- Deviation
- 12.7
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 45.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
8/8 covered matches · current leagues
- Points
- 8.0
- xPts
- 9.1
Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK
Both teams scored
63%
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores58
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 33.3
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | GalatasarayA | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-22 | KasimpasaH | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | BesiktasA | 2–6L | Yes |
| 2026-09-06 | EyüpsporH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-12 | SamsunsporA | 5–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-19 | AlanyasporH | 1–2L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | Gazişehir GaziantepA | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-10-16 | RizesporH | 2–1W | Yes |
Çorum FK
xG difference per match
−0.30
Underlying performance · 8-match window
Observed xG21
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.12; xG against 1.42. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 18.5
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 32.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 8-match window
- xG for
- 1.12
- xG against
- 1.42
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Erzurumspor FK
xG difference per match
−0.28
Underlying performance · 8-match window
Observed xG20
Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.
Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.82; xG against 1.1. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
- Deviation
- 17.2
- Recency
- 0.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 32.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Underlying performance · 8-match window
- xG for
- 0.82
- xG against
- 1.10
Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores62
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 31.1
- Recency
- 93.6
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Çorum FKH | 2–2D | Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | Erzurumspor FKA | 4–0W | No |
| 2026-08-29 | GoztepeH | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | Sporting CPA | 1–3L | Yes |
| 2026-09-13 | KocaelisporH | 1–0W | No |
| 2026-09-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–4L | No |
| 2026-10-09 | KasimpasaH | 3–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-13 | BarcelonaH | 1–4L | Yes |
| 2026-10-17 | GenclerbirligiA | 1–0W | No |
Besiktas
Both teams scored
60%
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores64
Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 31.1
- Recency
- 100.0
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 100.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Besiktas’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | AlanyasporA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-27 | Kauno ŽalgirisA | 0–1L | No |
| 2026-08-31 | Çorum FKH | 6–2W | Yes |
| 2026-09-05 | FenerbahceA | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Erzurumspor FKH | 3–0W | No |
| 2026-09-17 | MarseilleH | 4–1W | Yes |
| 2026-09-20 | AmedA | 2–3L | Yes |
| 2026-10-11 | KocaelisporH | 2–1W | Yes |
| 2026-10-15 | 1899 HoffenheimA | 3–2W | Yes |
| 2026-10-19 | TrabzonsporA | 0–2L | No |
Çorum FK
Goals conceded per match
1.6
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 5.9
- Recency
- 90.5
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | GalatasarayA | 2–2D |
| 2026-08-22 | KasimpasaH | 0–1L |
| 2026-08-31 | BesiktasA | 2–6L |
| 2026-09-06 | EyüpsporH | 3–0W |
| 2026-09-12 | SamsunsporA | 5–1W |
| 2026-09-19 | AlanyasporH | 1–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | Gazişehir GaziantepA | 3–0W |
| 2026-10-16 | RizesporH | 2–1W |
Istanbul Basaksehir
Goals scored per match
1.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | KocaelisporH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | TrabzonsporA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | KasimpasaH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-04 | GalatasarayH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | AmedA | 0–5L |
| 2026-09-19 | GenclerbirligiH | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | KonyasporA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-18 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–1W |
Istanbul Basaksehir
Goals conceded per match
1.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | KocaelisporH | 2–0W |
| 2026-08-23 | TrabzonsporA | 1–2L |
| 2026-08-30 | KasimpasaH | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-04 | GalatasarayH | 2–3L |
| 2026-09-13 | AmedA | 0–5L |
| 2026-09-19 | GenclerbirligiH | 4–0W |
| 2026-10-11 | KonyasporA | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-18 | Gazişehir GaziantepH | 2–1W |
Kasimpasa
Goals scored per match
1.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Kasimpasa’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | TrabzonsporH | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-22 | Çorum FKA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-30 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 1–1D |
| 2026-09-06 | AmedH | 2–2D |
| 2026-09-13 | GenclerbirligiA | 2–1W |
| 2026-09-18 | KonyasporH | 0–0D |
| 2026-10-09 | GalatasarayA | 1–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | SamsunsporH | 4–1W |
Gazişehir Gaziantep
Goals conceded per match
1.5
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Scores49
This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.
Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
- Deviation
- 1.8
- Recency
- 96.8
- Context
- 40.0
- Quality
- 80.0
Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.
Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions
Oldest → newest · scores from Gazişehir Gaziantep’s perspective.
| Date (UTC) | Opponent | GF–GA |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | AlanyasporH | 1–1D |
| 2026-08-23 | EyüpsporA | 1–0W |
| 2026-08-29 | RizesporH | 1–2L |
| 2026-09-07 | GoztepeA | 4–2W |
| 2026-09-14 | FenerbahceH | 0–0D |
| 2026-09-19 | KocaelisporA | 0–2L |
| 2026-10-11 | Çorum FKH | 0–3L |
| 2026-10-18 | Istanbul BasaksehirA | 1–2L |
About these insights
Read the signal. Keep the context.
Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.
Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.
Check the window
Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.
Read the chart
Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.
Separate the sources
xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.
Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.
Explore methodology →