Football / The bigger picture

Insights.

Go beyond the result. Follow the patterns. See the evidence.

How to read the signals →

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Competition selects current clubs. Result windows include all recorded competitions; points comparisons use covered current-league matches.

League insights

Süper Lig · 76 signals · 18 clubs in this view

Explore all signals ↓

Automatically selected connections · one story per club · experimental Insight Score orders stories, not teams.

FenerbahceGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score70/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.4
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.23
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 70/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
82.0
Recency
46.8
Context
80.0
Quality
70.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.57; xG against 1.34. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
TrabzonsporWinning, and exceeding expectationsInsight Score68/100

A winning run and points above forecast expectations stand out together. Separate the recorded results from the chance balance; the points comparison covers a different set of league matches.

Wins in a rowLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
3
Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+4.6
Goals scored / matchLast 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
1.8
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.12
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.1
Recency
66.7
Context
100.0
Quality
61.7

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Wins in a row — A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.
  • Points minus expected — Points 16; xPts 11.4. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Goals scored / match — Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.58; xG against 1.46. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
AmedGoals accompanied by a positive chance balanceInsight Score62/100

Goals scored exceed the current league reference, alongside a positive observed xG profile. The sources have different windows; both describe past performances rather than the next result.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.3
Observed xG difference / match8-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+1.09
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
67.1
Recency
46.8
Context
80.0
Quality
56.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.84; xG against 0.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
GoztepeGoals at both endsInsight Score60/100

Scoring and conceding are both above the current league reference, with both teams scoring regularly. The result window spans all competitions; this comparison is not adjusted for opposition.

Goals scored / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.1
Goals conceded / matchLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
2.0
Both teams scoredLast 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Recorded scores · all competitions
75%
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
+0.27
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
56.4
Recency
48.4
Context
80.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Goals scored / match — Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Goals conceded / match — Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Both teams scored — Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.
KasimpasaPoints ahead. Chance balance tells another story.Insight Score51/100

Points exceed the stored forecasts, while the observed xG profile has no positive balance. Results and chances tell different stories; this does not establish that a reversal is due.

Points minus expected8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC
Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games
+3.5
Observed xG difference / match10-match profile · exact dates unavailable
Observed match xG · available averages
−0.07
Sources, limitations & score
Insight Score 51/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.4
Recency
48.4
Context
80.0
Quality
42.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

  • Points minus expected — Points 13; xPts 9.5. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.
  • Observed xG difference / match — Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.1; xG against 1.17. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Each signal belongs to one category. Categories sum to All signals; stories combine related evidence across categories.

All signals76 signals · 18 clubs

Select a row to explore the evidence. Scroll to see all columns →

Trabzonspor Clean sheets in a row 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak64

Consecutive matches without conceding start with the latest recorded result. Any goal conceded ends the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheets in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15KasimpasaA1–1DNo
2026-08-20Ferencvarosi TCH0–1LNo
2026-08-23Istanbul BasaksehirH2–1WNo
2026-08-27Ferencvarosi TCA0–4LNo
2026-08-31AmedA1–2LNo
2026-09-06GenclerbirligiH5–0WYes
2026-09-12KonyasporA0–1LNo
2026-09-19GalatasarayH4–0WYes
2026-10-10SamsunsporA3–0WYes
2026-10-19BesiktasH2–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Samsunspor Losses in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Samsunspor’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-17GoztepeH3–3DNo
2026-08-22RizesporA2–0WNo
2026-08-30FenerbahceH0–2LYes
2026-09-06KocaelisporA0–1LYes
2026-09-12Çorum FKH1–5LYes
2026-09-20Erzurumspor FKA0–1LYes
2026-10-10TrabzonsporH0–3LYes
2026-10-18KasimpasaA1–4LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Erzurumspor FK Clean sheets in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak57

Consecutive matches without conceding start with the latest recorded result. Any goal conceded ends the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Erzurumspor FK’s perspective. Event: Clean sheets in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16AmedA0–3LNo
2026-08-21GalatasarayH0–4LNo
2026-08-28GenclerbirligiA1–1DNo
2026-09-05KonyasporH1–0WYes
2026-09-11BesiktasA0–3LNo
2026-09-20SamsunsporH1–0WYes
2026-10-10AlanyasporA0–0DYes
2026-10-17EyüpsporH2–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Samsunspor Points below expected −6.5 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast67

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 4; xPts 10.5. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
75.0
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
4.0
xPts
10.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Eyüpspor Goals conceded per match 2.8 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
42.5
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Eyüpspor’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16BesiktasA0–1L
2026-08-23Gazişehir GaziantepH0–1L
2026-08-30AlanyasporH2–1W
2026-09-06Çorum FKA0–3L
2026-09-12RizesporH0–2L
2026-09-20FenerbahceA0–8L
2026-10-12GoztepeH0–4L
2026-10-17Erzurumspor FKA0–2L
Full club analysis →
Eyüpspor Losses in a row 5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak64

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.2
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Eyüpspor’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16BesiktasA0–1LYes
2026-08-23Gazişehir GaziantepH0–1LYes
2026-08-30AlanyasporH2–1WNo
2026-09-06Çorum FKA0–3LYes
2026-09-12RizesporH0–2LYes
2026-09-20FenerbahceA0–8LYes
2026-10-12GoztepeH0–4LYes
2026-10-17Erzurumspor FKA0–2LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce xG difference per match +1.23 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG45

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.57; xG against 1.34. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 45/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
82.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.57
xG against
1.34

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Eyüpspor xG difference per match −1.04 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG40

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.74; xG against 1.78. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 40/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
69.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.74
xG against
1.78

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce Clean sheets 5 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores65

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 65/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fenerbahce’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-22KonyasporH4–2WNo
2026-08-26LyonA2–1WNo
2026-08-30SamsunsporA2–0WYes
2026-09-05BesiktasH1–2LNo
2026-09-10AS RomaH1–1DNo
2026-09-14Gazişehir GaziantepA0–0DYes
2026-09-20EyüpsporH8–0WYes
2026-10-10RizesporA3–0WYes
2026-10-14Aston VillaA0–6LNo
2026-10-17AlanyasporH3–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor Wins in a row 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Streak64

Consecutive wins start with the latest recorded result. A draw or defeat ends the run within the available window.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.0
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective. Event: Wins in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15KasimpasaA1–1DNo
2026-08-20Ferencvarosi TCH0–1LNo
2026-08-23Istanbul BasaksehirH2–1WYes
2026-08-27Ferencvarosi TCA0–4LNo
2026-08-31AmedA1–2LNo
2026-09-06GenclerbirligiH5–0WYes
2026-09-12KonyasporA0–1LNo
2026-09-19GalatasarayH4–0WYes
2026-10-10SamsunsporA3–0WYes
2026-10-19BesiktasH2–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Amed Unbeaten in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak67

The latest recorded sequence contains wins and draws without a defeat. It counts results, without adjusting for the opposition.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective. Event: Unbeaten in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16Erzurumspor FKH3–0WYes
2026-08-24KocaelisporA0–2LNo
2026-08-31TrabzonsporH2–1WYes
2026-09-06KasimpasaA2–2DYes
2026-09-13Istanbul BasaksehirH5–0WYes
2026-09-20BesiktasH3–2WYes
2026-10-10GenclerbirligiA2–2DYes
2026-10-17KonyasporH1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep Losses in a row 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak58

Consecutive defeats start with the latest recorded result. The sequence describes the results, without claiming a cause.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
27.7
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gazişehir Gaziantep’s perspective. Event: Losses in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15AlanyasporH1–1DNo
2026-08-23EyüpsporA1–0WNo
2026-08-29RizesporH1–2LYes
2026-09-07GoztepeA4–2WNo
2026-09-14FenerbahceH0–0DNo
2026-09-19KocaelisporA0–2LYes
2026-10-11Çorum FKH0–3LYes
2026-10-18Istanbul BasaksehirA1–2LYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Eyüpspor Points below expected −5.3 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast62

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 3; xPts 8.3. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
61.2
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
3.0
xPts
8.3

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Samsunspor xG difference per match −0.87 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG36

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.94; xG against 1.81. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 36/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
58.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.94
xG against
1.81

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Samsunspor Goals conceded per match 2.4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores59

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
30.3
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Samsunspor’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-17GoztepeH3–3D
2026-08-22RizesporA2–0W
2026-08-30FenerbahceH0–2L
2026-09-06KocaelisporA0–1L
2026-09-12Çorum FKH1–5L
2026-09-20Erzurumspor FKA0–1L
2026-10-10TrabzonsporH0–3L
2026-10-18KasimpasaA1–4L
Full club analysis →
Amed xG difference per match +1.09 Underlying performance · 8-match window Observed xG38

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.84; xG against 0.75. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 38/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
67.1
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
32.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 8-match window

xG for
1.84
xG against
0.75

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor Points above expected +4.6 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast61

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 16; xPts 11.4. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 61/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
53.1
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
16.0
xPts
11.4

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce Goals scored per match 2.4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores63

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-22 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 63/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.7
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Fenerbahce’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-22KonyasporH4–2W
2026-08-26LyonA2–1W
2026-08-30SamsunsporA2–0W
2026-09-05BesiktasH1–2L
2026-09-10AS RomaH1–1D
2026-09-14Gazişehir GaziantepA0–0D
2026-09-20EyüpsporH8–0W
2026-10-10RizesporA3–0W
2026-10-14Aston VillaA0–6L
2026-10-17AlanyasporH3–0W
Full club analysis →
Amed Points above expected +4.5 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast59

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 17; xPts 12.5. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
51.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
12.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Goals conceded away per match 1.8 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores47

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-21 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 47/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
9.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0W
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2W
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4L
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Goztepe Goals conceded away per match 1.8 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores48

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
9.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-17SamsunsporA3–3D
2026-08-29GalatasarayA2–3L
2026-09-12AlanyasporA2–2D
2026-10-12EyüpsporA4–0W
2026-10-18KocaelisporA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Besiktas Points above expected +4.1 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Forecast59

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Points 21; xPts 16.9. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 59/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
41.0
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

10/10 covered matches · current leagues

Points
21.0
xPts
16.9

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Erzurumspor FK Clean sheets 4 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
35.9
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Erzurumspor FK’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16AmedA0–3LNo
2026-08-21GalatasarayH0–4LNo
2026-08-28GenclerbirligiA1–1DNo
2026-09-05KonyasporH1–0WYes
2026-09-11BesiktasA0–3LNo
2026-09-20SamsunsporH1–0WYes
2026-10-10AlanyasporA0–0DYes
2026-10-17EyüpsporH2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Besiktas Goals scored per match 2.2 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.6
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Besiktas’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-23AlanyasporA0–1L
2026-08-27Kauno ŽalgirisA0–1L
2026-08-31Çorum FKH6–2W
2026-09-05FenerbahceA2–1W
2026-09-11Erzurumspor FKH3–0W
2026-09-17MarseilleH4–1W
2026-09-20AmedA2–3L
2026-10-11KocaelisporH2–1W
2026-10-151899 HoffenheimA3–2W
2026-10-19TrabzonsporA0–2L
Full club analysis →
Konyaspor Points below expected −4.0 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast57

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 5; xPts 9. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
46.2
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
5.0
xPts
9.0

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Besiktas xG difference per match +0.79 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG34

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 2.06; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 34/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
52.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
2.06
xG against
1.27

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
15.7
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15KasimpasaA1–1D
2026-08-20Ferencvarosi TCH0–1L
2026-08-23Istanbul BasaksehirH2–1W
2026-08-27Ferencvarosi TCA0–4L
2026-08-31AmedA1–2L
2026-09-06GenclerbirligiH5–0W
2026-09-12KonyasporA0–1L
2026-09-19GalatasarayH4–0W
2026-10-10SamsunsporA3–0W
2026-10-19BesiktasH2–0W
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray xG difference per match +0.75 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG34

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.97; xG against 1.22. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 34/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
50.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.97
xG against
1.22

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Amed Goals scored per match 2.3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.2
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16Erzurumspor FKH3–0W
2026-08-24KocaelisporA0–2L
2026-08-31TrabzonsporH2–1W
2026-09-06KasimpasaA2–2D
2026-09-13Istanbul BasaksehirH5–0W
2026-09-20BesiktasH3–2W
2026-10-10GenclerbirligiA2–2D
2026-10-17KonyasporH1–0W
Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor Goals conceded away per match 1.6 Last 5 recorded away matches Scores40

An away-only conceding average that meets the descriptive threshold. Home results are excluded from this club window; the league reference includes both venues and does not adjust opposition.

Recorded scores · away only · Last 5 recorded away matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-10 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. League reference includes home and away games; this club window is away only. Context only, without opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 40/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
4.1
Recency
74.1
Context
40.0
Quality
62.5

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 5 recorded away matches

Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15KasimpasaA1–1D
2026-08-27Ferencvarosi TCA0–4L
2026-08-31AmedA1–2L
2026-09-12KonyasporA0–1L
2026-10-10SamsunsporA3–0W
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK Goals scored per match 2.3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
26.2
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-14GalatasarayA2–2D
2026-08-22KasimpasaH0–1L
2026-08-31BesiktasA2–6L
2026-09-06EyüpsporH3–0W
2026-09-12SamsunsporA5–1W
2026-09-19AlanyasporH1–2L
2026-10-11Gazişehir GaziantepA3–0W
2026-10-16RizesporH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Goztepe Both teams scored 75% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores68

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
56.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-17SamsunsporA3–3DYes
2026-08-23GenclerbirligiH0–1LNo
2026-08-29GalatasarayA2–3LYes
2026-09-07Gazişehir GaziantepH2–4LYes
2026-09-12AlanyasporA2–2DYes
2026-09-20RizesporH2–2DYes
2026-10-12EyüpsporA4–0WNo
2026-10-18KocaelisporA2–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Kasimpasa Both teams scored 75% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores68

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
56.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Kasimpasa’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15TrabzonsporH1–1DYes
2026-08-22Çorum FKA1–0WNo
2026-08-30Istanbul BasaksehirA1–1DYes
2026-09-06AmedH2–2DYes
2026-09-13GenclerbirligiA2–1WYes
2026-09-18KonyasporH0–0DNo
2026-10-09GalatasarayA1–3LYes
2026-10-18SamsunsporH4–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Kocaelispor Goals conceded per match 1.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

This conceding average meets the low-goals signal threshold. Compare it with the league reference; opponent strength and chance quality are not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
14.5
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Kocaelispor’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16Istanbul BasaksehirA0–2L
2026-08-24AmedH2–0W
2026-08-29KonyasporA2–1W
2026-09-06SamsunsporH1–0W
2026-09-13GalatasarayA0–1L
2026-09-19Gazişehir GaziantepH2–0W
2026-10-11BesiktasA1–2L
2026-10-18GoztepeH1–2L
Full club analysis →
Kasimpasa Points above expected +3.5 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast55

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 13; xPts 9.5. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
40.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
9.5

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Goztepe Goals scored per match 2.1 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.2
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-17SamsunsporA3–3D
2026-08-23GenclerbirligiH0–1L
2026-08-29GalatasarayA2–3L
2026-09-07Gazişehir GaziantepH2–4L
2026-09-12AlanyasporA2–2D
2026-09-20RizesporH2–2D
2026-10-12EyüpsporA4–0W
2026-10-18KocaelisporA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Goztepe Scoring in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak68

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 68/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-17SamsunsporA3–3DYes
2026-08-23GenclerbirligiH0–1LNo
2026-08-29GalatasarayA2–3LYes
2026-09-07Gazişehir GaziantepH2–4LYes
2026-09-12AlanyasporA2–2DYes
2026-09-20RizesporH2–2DYes
2026-10-12EyüpsporA4–0WYes
2026-10-18KocaelisporA2–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Amed Scoring in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak67

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 67/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16Erzurumspor FKH3–0WYes
2026-08-24KocaelisporA0–2LNo
2026-08-31TrabzonsporH2–1WYes
2026-09-06KasimpasaA2–2DYes
2026-09-13Istanbul BasaksehirH5–0WYes
2026-09-20BesiktasH3–2WYes
2026-10-10GenclerbirligiA2–2DYes
2026-10-17KonyasporH1–0WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Kocaelispor Points above expected +3.4 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast55

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 12; xPts 8.6. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
39.2
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
12.0
xPts
8.6

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Çorum FK Scoring in a row 6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Streak66

The club has scored in consecutive recorded matches, starting with the latest result. One goal is enough to extend the run.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. A run of 10 is a lower bound. Related result sequences share one evidence family.

Insight Score 66/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
55.4
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective. Event: Scoring in a row.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-14GalatasarayA2–2DYes
2026-08-22KasimpasaH0–1LNo
2026-08-31BesiktasA2–6LYes
2026-09-06EyüpsporH3–0WYes
2026-09-12SamsunsporA5–1WYes
2026-09-19AlanyasporH1–2LYes
2026-10-11Gazişehir GaziantepA3–0WYes
2026-10-16RizesporH2–1WYes

Consecutive known results, starting with the latest recorded match. Missing or special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound within this window.

Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor Clean sheets 4 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores60

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 60/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.9
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15KasimpasaA1–1DNo
2026-08-20Ferencvarosi TCH0–1LNo
2026-08-23Istanbul BasaksehirH2–1WNo
2026-08-27Ferencvarosi TCA0–4LNo
2026-08-31AmedA1–2LNo
2026-09-06GenclerbirligiH5–0WYes
2026-09-12KonyasporA0–1LNo
2026-09-19GalatasarayH4–0WYes
2026-10-10SamsunsporA3–0WYes
2026-10-19BesiktasH2–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir xG difference per match +0.57 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.75; xG against 1.18. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
38.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.75
xG against
1.18

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Alanyaspor Points above expected +2.8 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast52

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 12; xPts 9.2. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
32.3
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
12.0
xPts
9.2

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Alanyaspor xG difference per match −0.56 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.04; xG against 1.6. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.04
xG against
1.60

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep xG difference per match −0.56 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.99; xG against 1.55. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
37.3
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.99
xG against
1.55

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Goztepe Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores55

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 55/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.1
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Goztepe’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-17SamsunsporA3–3D
2026-08-23GenclerbirligiH0–1L
2026-08-29GalatasarayA2–3L
2026-09-07Gazişehir GaziantepH2–4L
2026-09-12AlanyasporA2–2D
2026-09-20RizesporH2–2D
2026-10-12EyüpsporA4–0W
2026-10-18KocaelisporA2–1W
Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16KocaelisporH2–0WYes
2026-08-23TrabzonsporA1–2LNo
2026-08-30KasimpasaH1–1DNo
2026-09-04GalatasarayH2–3LNo
2026-09-13AmedA0–5LNo
2026-09-19GenclerbirligiH4–0WYes
2026-10-11KonyasporA0–0DYes
2026-10-18Gazişehir GaziantepH2–1WNo
Full club analysis →
Genclerbirligi xG difference per match −0.55 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG29

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.13; xG against 1.68. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 29/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
36.7
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.13
xG against
1.68

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Konyaspor Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Konyaspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15RizesporH0–1LNo
2026-08-22FenerbahceA2–4LNo
2026-08-29KocaelisporH1–2LNo
2026-09-05Erzurumspor FKA0–1LNo
2026-09-12TrabzonsporH1–0WYes
2026-09-18KasimpasaA0–0DYes
2026-10-11Istanbul BasaksehirH0–0DYes
2026-10-17AmedA0–1LNo
Full club analysis →
Alanyaspor Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Alanyaspor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-15Gazişehir GaziantepA1–1DNo
2026-08-23BesiktasH1–0WYes
2026-08-30EyüpsporA1–2LNo
2026-09-07RizesporA1–0WYes
2026-09-12GoztepeH2–2DNo
2026-09-19Çorum FKA2–1WNo
2026-10-10Erzurumspor FKH0–0DYes
2026-10-17FenerbahceA0–3LNo
Full club analysis →
Genclerbirligi Goals conceded per match 2.0 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores54

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 54/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Genclerbirligi’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15FenerbahceH2–1W
2026-08-23GoztepeA1–0W
2026-08-28Erzurumspor FKH1–1D
2026-09-06TrabzonsporA0–5L
2026-09-13KasimpasaH1–2L
2026-09-19Istanbul BasaksehirA0–4L
2026-10-10AmedH2–2D
2026-10-17GalatasarayH0–1L
Full club analysis →
Kocaelispor Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores53

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 53/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Kocaelispor’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16Istanbul BasaksehirA0–2LNo
2026-08-24AmedH2–0WYes
2026-08-29KonyasporA2–1WNo
2026-09-06SamsunsporH1–0WYes
2026-09-13GalatasarayA0–1LNo
2026-09-19Gazişehir GaziantepH2–0WYes
2026-10-11BesiktasA1–2LNo
2026-10-18GoztepeH1–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK Points above expected +2.2 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49

Results have delivered more points than the stored match forecasts expected. The gap describes those results; it does not establish that a reversal is due.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Points 13; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
25.4
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
13.0
xPts
10.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir Points below expected −1.9 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast49

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 11; xPts 12.9. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
21.9
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
11.0
xPts
12.9

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Fenerbahce Points below expected −1.8 10/10 covered matches · current leagues Forecast50

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 10/10 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Points 17; xPts 18.8. Saved pre: 2; reconstructed: 8. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 50/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.0
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
60.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

10/10 covered matches · current leagues

Points
17.0
xPts
18.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 2; reconstructed: 8.

Full club analysis →
Goztepe Points below expected −1.8 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast48

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-17 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 9; xPts 10.8. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 48/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
20.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
9.0
xPts
10.8

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Goals scored per match 1.9 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
16.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-14Çorum FKH2–2D
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0W
2026-08-29GoztepeH3–2W
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2W
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-09-13KocaelisporH1–0W
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4L
2026-10-09KasimpasaH3–1W
2026-10-13BarcelonaH1–4L
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Kocaelispor xG difference per match −0.51 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG28

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.76; xG against 1.27. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 28/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
34.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.76
xG against
1.27

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Amed Clean sheets 3 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.8
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Amed’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-16Erzurumspor FKH3–0WYes
2026-08-24KocaelisporA0–2LNo
2026-08-31TrabzonsporH2–1WNo
2026-09-06KasimpasaA2–2DNo
2026-09-13Istanbul BasaksehirH5–0WYes
2026-09-20BesiktasH3–2WNo
2026-10-10GenclerbirligiA2–2DNo
2026-10-17KonyasporH1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Rizespor xG difference per match +0.33 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG24

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.36; xG against 1.03. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 24/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
22.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.36
xG against
1.03

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Goztepe xG difference per match +0.27 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG22

Chance creation is ahead of chances allowed in the observed playing-style profile. This describes the balance of chances, rather than the final scores.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.77; xG against 1.5. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 22/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
1.77
xG against
1.50

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Konyaspor xG difference per match −0.42 Underlying performance · 10-match window Observed xG26

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 10-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.91; xG against 1.33. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 26/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
28.0
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
40.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 10-match window

xG for
0.91
xG against
1.33

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Trabzonspor Goals scored per match 1.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores57

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 57/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.5
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Trabzonspor’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15KasimpasaA1–1D
2026-08-20Ferencvarosi TCH0–1L
2026-08-23Istanbul BasaksehirH2–1W
2026-08-27Ferencvarosi TCA0–4L
2026-08-31AmedA1–2L
2026-09-06GenclerbirligiH5–0W
2026-09-12KonyasporA0–1L
2026-09-19GalatasarayH4–0W
2026-10-10SamsunsporA3–0W
2026-10-19BesiktasH2–0W
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Goals conceded per match 1.8 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores56

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 56/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.5
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-14Çorum FKH2–2D
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0W
2026-08-29GoztepeH3–2W
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2W
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3L
2026-09-13KocaelisporH1–0W
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4L
2026-10-09KasimpasaH3–1W
2026-10-13BarcelonaH1–4L
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0W
Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Clean sheets 3 Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores52

Matches without conceding stand out in the recent results. Clean sheets count outcomes; they do not measure the quality of chances allowed.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 52/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective. Event: Clean sheet.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-14Çorum FKH2–2DNo
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0WYes
2026-08-29GoztepeH3–2WNo
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2WNo
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3LNo
2026-09-13KocaelisporH1–0WYes
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4LNo
2026-10-09KasimpasaH3–1WNo
2026-10-13BarcelonaH1–4LNo
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0WYes
Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep Points below expected −1.1 8/8 covered matches · current leagues Forecast46

The points return is below the stored match forecasts on the same covered games. This is a results-versus-expectations gap, not a guarantee of improvement.

Stored LOAD90 forecasts · same covered games · 8/8 current-league matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Points 8; xPts 9.1. Saved pre: 1; reconstructed: 7. No claim that the gap must reverse. This window differs from the recorded-results and xG windows.

Insight Score 46/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
12.7
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
45.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

8/8 covered matches · current leagues

Points
8.0
xPts
9.1

Points and xPts cover identical matches. xPts uses stored LOAD90 forecasts, including historical reconstructions; not observed xG. Saved: 1; reconstructed: 7.

Full club analysis →
Çorum FK Both teams scored 63% Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores58

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 58/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
33.3
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-14GalatasarayA2–2DYes
2026-08-22KasimpasaH0–1LNo
2026-08-31BesiktasA2–6LYes
2026-09-06EyüpsporH3–0WNo
2026-09-12SamsunsporA5–1WYes
2026-09-19AlanyasporH1–2LYes
2026-10-11Gazişehir GaziantepA3–0WNo
2026-10-16RizesporH2–1WYes
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK xG difference per match −0.30 Underlying performance · 8-match window Observed xG21

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 1.12; xG against 1.42. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 21/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
18.5
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
32.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 8-match window

xG for
1.12
xG against
1.42

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Erzurumspor FK xG difference per match −0.28 Underlying performance · 8-match window Observed xG20

Chances allowed exceed chances created in the observed playing-style profile. The two averages can have different xG coverage.

Observed match xG · available averages · 8-match profile · exact dates unavailable. Before next/latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC. xG for 0.82; xG against 1.1. Coverage counts are unavailable and denominators can differ. Recency receives zero for this undated source; quality is capped at 40.

Insight Score 20/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
17.2
Recency
0.0
Context
40.0
Quality
32.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Underlying performance · 8-match window

xG for
0.82
xG against
1.10

Difference of observed averages; xG coverage can differ between the two metrics. Profile is before the next or latest league fixture, not necessarily current UTC.

Full club analysis →
Galatasaray Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores62

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-17 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 62/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.1
Recency
93.6
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Galatasaray’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-14Çorum FKH2–2DYes
2026-08-21Erzurumspor FKA4–0WNo
2026-08-29GoztepeH3–2WYes
2026-09-04Istanbul BasaksehirA3–2WYes
2026-09-09Sporting CPA1–3LYes
2026-09-13KocaelisporH1–0WNo
2026-09-19TrabzonsporA0–4LNo
2026-10-09KasimpasaH3–1WYes
2026-10-13BarcelonaH1–4LYes
2026-10-17GenclerbirligiA1–0WNo
Full club analysis →
Besiktas Both teams scored 60% Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions Scores64

Both teams have scored regularly in this recorded window. It describes past scorelines, rather than the probability for the next match.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 10 recorded matches · 2026-08-23 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 64/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
31.1
Recency
100.0
Context
40.0
Quality
100.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 10 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Besiktas’s perspective. Event: Both teams scored.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GAEvent
2026-08-23AlanyasporA0–1LNo
2026-08-27Kauno ŽalgirisA0–1LNo
2026-08-31Çorum FKH6–2WYes
2026-09-05FenerbahceA2–1WYes
2026-09-11Erzurumspor FKH3–0WNo
2026-09-17MarseilleH4–1WYes
2026-09-20AmedA2–3LYes
2026-10-11KocaelisporH2–1WYes
2026-10-151899 HoffenheimA3–2WYes
2026-10-19TrabzonsporA0–2LNo
Full club analysis →
Çorum FK Goals conceded per match 1.6 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-16 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
5.9
Recency
90.5
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Çorum FK’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-14GalatasarayA2–2D
2026-08-22KasimpasaH0–1L
2026-08-31BesiktasA2–6L
2026-09-06EyüpsporH3–0W
2026-09-12SamsunsporA5–1W
2026-09-19AlanyasporH1–2L
2026-10-11Gazişehir GaziantepA3–0W
2026-10-16RizesporH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16KocaelisporH2–0W
2026-08-23TrabzonsporA1–2L
2026-08-30KasimpasaH1–1D
2026-09-04GalatasarayH2–3L
2026-09-13AmedA0–5L
2026-09-19GenclerbirligiH4–0W
2026-10-11KonyasporA0–0D
2026-10-18Gazişehir GaziantepH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-16 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Istanbul Basaksehir’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-16KocaelisporH2–0W
2026-08-23TrabzonsporA1–2L
2026-08-30KasimpasaH1–1D
2026-09-04GalatasarayH2–3L
2026-09-13AmedA0–5L
2026-09-19GenclerbirligiH4–0W
2026-10-11KonyasporA0–0D
2026-10-18Gazişehir GaziantepH2–1W
Full club analysis →
Kasimpasa Goals scored per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

This scoring average meets the descriptive signal threshold and includes games without a goal. Compare it with the league reference before treating it as exceptional; opposition is not adjusted.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Kasimpasa’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15TrabzonsporH1–1D
2026-08-22Çorum FKA1–0W
2026-08-30Istanbul BasaksehirA1–1D
2026-09-06AmedH2–2D
2026-09-13GenclerbirligiA2–1W
2026-09-18KonyasporH0–0D
2026-10-09GalatasarayA1–3L
2026-10-18SamsunsporH4–1W
Full club analysis →
Gazişehir Gaziantep Goals conceded per match 1.5 Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions Scores49

This conceding average meets the high-goals signal threshold. Its deviation from the league reference determines its editorial interest; the threshold alone does not establish a defensive concern.

Recorded scores · all competitions · Last 8 recorded matches · 2026-08-15 → 2026-10-18 UTC. Süper Lig 2026-2027: 1.44 goals per team/match, 72 matches · 2026-08-14 → 2026-10-19 UTC. Reference only: the club window spans all recorded competitions; no opponent adjustment.

Insight Score 49/100 Experimental · editorial interest
Deviation
1.8
Recency
96.8
Context
40.0
Quality
80.0

Uncalibrated selection heuristic. Not team strength, win probability or statistical significance. Sources keep their own windows; overlapping scorelines and forecast gaps receive reduced context credit.

Last 8 recorded matches · all competitions

Oldest → newest · scores from Gazişehir Gaziantep’s perspective.

Date (UTC)OpponentGF–GA
2026-08-15AlanyasporH1–1D
2026-08-23EyüpsporA1–0W
2026-08-29RizesporH1–2L
2026-09-07GoztepeA4–2W
2026-09-14FenerbahceH0–0D
2026-09-19KocaelisporA0–2L
2026-10-11Çorum FKH0–3L
2026-10-18Istanbul BasaksehirA1–2L
Full club analysis →

Showing 1–76 of 76 signals

About these insights
A little context goes a long way

Read the signal. Keep the context.

Insights describe what is recorded. Use club and match analysis to explore what comes next.

Insight Score · experimental editorial interest. This version uses 0.35D + 0.25R + 0.20C + 0.20Q. D measures heuristic deviation, R observation recency, C breadth of evidence families and Q data quality. These starting weights are uncalibrated. It is neither team strength, win probability, statistical significance nor forecast confidence. Related result signals share one family; different sources are not automatically statistically independent. Unknown dates receive zero recency; unknown xG coverage limits its quality component. League averages are context references, not opponent-adjusted estimates.

01

Check the window

Result signals use the last 10 recorded matches; away signals use the last 8 away matches. At least 5 are required. Missing and special results are excluded. A 10+ streak is a lower bound.

02

Read the chart

Bars run oldest to newest. Height shows goals scored or conceded, capped at 6; zero keeps a marker. Teal / amber / red means win / draw / loss. Faded bars mean the event did not happen. Open the evidence for full scores.

03

Separate the sources

xG uses observed Playing style averages before the next or latest league fixture; coverage can differ between inputs. xPts comes from stored LOAD90 forecasts on identical covered games, including labelled historical reconstructions.

Types alternate for variety. Values are ordered within their own metric, without a combined ranking. These descriptive signals do not change the LOAD90 forecast.

Explore methodology →