Süper Lig Gameweek 6 Sun, Sep 20 2026 · 15:00 Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
Erzurumspor FK
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.77 – 0.40
Samsunspor
  • Miguel Cardoso 45’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Cardoso goal decides it for Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Cardoso goal. Erzurumspor FK finished with the higher xG (0.77 vs 0.40). On the chances created, Samsunspor deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Erzurumspor FK ✓45%
Draw25%
Samsunspor30%

Model vs reality

Erzurumspor FK goals
1
Model 1.60 · xG 0.77
Samsunspor goals
0
Model 1.26 · xG 0.40
Total goals
1
Model 2.86 · xG 1.17
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMiguel CardosoErzurumspor FK · 1 goal
7.6
  • RefereeAbdullah Bugra Taskinsoy
  • CoachesSerkan Ozbalta · Thorsten Fink
  • VenueKazım Karabekir Stadyumu
  • Table before kick-offErzurumspor FK 16th · Samsunspor 15th

Timeline

  1. Miguel CardosoYellow card
    18’
  2. E. OwusuYellow card
    33’
  3. Miguel Cardoso 1–0
    45’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ T. CoulibalyFor Saikuba Jarju
    46’
  6. ⇄ S. AkgünFor M. Rodríguez
    57’
  7. S. OnurYellow card
    64’
  8. ⇄ Y. SekongoFor Elliot Watt
    65’
  9. ⇄ G. KerkFor E. Tozlu
    66’
  10. ⇄ I. DiabateFor Miguel Cardoso
    66’
  11. B. BaiyeYellow card
    77’
  12. ⇄ Y. KayanFor S. Onur
    79’
  13. ⇄ F. EboseleFor O. Ovacıklı
    81’
  14. E. KılınçYellow card
    86’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Erzurumspor FK8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
Samsunspor8 shots · 2 in box, 6 outside
Erzurumspor FKSamsunspor
43% Possession 57%
0.77 Expected goals (xG) 0.40
1.65 Expected points (xPts) 0.94
8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 6
2 Blocked shots 0
6 Shots inside the box 2
2 Shots outside the box 6
405 Passes 553
82% Pass accuracy 87%
3 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 6.50

Line-ups

Erzurumspor FK 5-4-1

16.3 M. Taşkıran(G)
156.5 G. Giorbelidze 186.9 N. Mujakić 226.3 M. Yumlu 47.3 A. Gerxhaliu 537.2 O. Ovacıklı ↓81’
207.6★ Miguel Cardoso ↓66’ 66.9 B. Baiye 426.7 E. Owusu 656.3 M. Rodríguez ↓57’
106.7 E. Tozlu ↓66’
  • 1M. Taşkıran (G)6.3
  • 15G. Giorbelidze6.5
  • 18N. Mujakić6.9
  • 22M. Yumlu6.3
  • 4A. Gerxhaliu7.3
  • 53O. Ovacıklı↓81’7.2
  • 20Miguel Cardoso ★↓66’7.6
  • 6B. Baiye6.9
  • 42E. Owusu6.7
  • 65M. Rodríguez↓57’6.3
  • 10E. Tozlu↓66’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 2F. Ebosele↑81’
  • 8S. Akgün↑57’6.3
  • 19I. Diabate↑66’6.7
  • 9G. Kerk↑66’6.7

Unused: M. Orbanić, Y. Kırtay, C. Bayrak, L. Agyekum, M. Fettahoğlu, N. Axundzadə

Coach: Serkan Ozbalta

Samsunspor 4-2-3-1

16.3 O. Kocuk(G)
176.0 L. Tómasson 346.9 G. Guarino 166.9 S. Eraković 26.2 J. Mendes
46.7 Elliot Watt ↓65’ 56.9 C. Yüksel
116.2 E. Kılınç 86.6 S. Onur ↓79’ 306.5 Saikuba Jarju ↓46’
186.2 M. Bayo
  • 1O. Kocuk (G)6.3
  • 17L. Tómasson6.0
  • 34G. Guarino6.9
  • 16S. Eraković6.9
  • 2J. Mendes6.2
  • 4Elliot Watt↓65’6.7
  • 5C. Yüksel6.9
  • 11E. Kılınç6.2
  • 8S. Onur↓79’6.6
  • 30Saikuba Jarju↓46’6.5
  • 18M. Bayo6.2

Substitutes used

  • 20Y. Kayan↑79’7.2
  • 10T. Coulibaly↑46’6.7
  • 42Y. Sekongo↑65’6.3

Unused: B. Bayazıt, Efe Üstün, Y. Çift, I. Drapiński, E. Albak, H. Tan

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Player stats

Top rated
Miguel CardosoErzurumspor FK7.6
2nd
A. GerxhaliuErzurumspor FK7.3
3rd
O. OvacıklıErzurumspor FK7.2

Erzurumspor FK

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Taşkıran G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 53% 34 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
G. Giorbelidze D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 39 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.5
N. Mujakić D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 43 2 0 0/0 1/2 6.9
M. Yumlu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 31 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
A. Gerxhaliu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 50 2 2 0/0 0/0 7.3
O. Ovacıklı D 81 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 36 0 0 3/5 1/2 7.2
Miguel Cardoso M 66 1 0 1 (1) 2 93% 27 1 0 1/1 1/1 7.6
B. Baiye M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 39 5 2 0/1 3/3 6.9
E. Owusu M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
M. Rodríguez M 57 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 29 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.3
E. Tozlu F 66 0 0 1 (1) 1 77% 22 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
F. Ebosele D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 1/0 —
S. Akgün M 33 0 0 1 (0) 1 83% 12 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
I. Diabate 24 0 0 2 (0) 0 100% 2 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
G. Kerk F 24 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 6 0 0 2/3 1/0 6.7

Samsunspor

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
O. Kocuk G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 75% 24 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
L. Tómasson D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 55 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.0
G. Guarino D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 74 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
S. Eraković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 74 1 1 1/1 0/0 6.9
J. Mendes D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 33 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.2
Elliot Watt M 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 65 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.7
C. Yüksel M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 80% 51 0 1 2/2 2/2 6.9
E. Kılınç M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 76% 45 0 1 0/1 2/1 6.2
S. Onur M 79 0 0 2 (0) 0 87% 62 1 0 0/0 2/2 6.6
Saikuba Jarju F 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/0 2/1 6.5
M. Bayo F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 14 0 0 2/5 2/1 6.2
Y. Kayan M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 1 3/3 0/2 7.2
T. Coulibaly M 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 25 1 0 1/2 0/1 6.7
Y. Sekongo M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.