Bundesliga Gameweek 31 Sat, Apr 25 2026 · 14:30 RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.41 – 1.33
  • G. Waldschmidt 78’
  • 43’ (P), 52’ P. Schick
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bayer Leverkusen beat 1.FC Köln

Bayer Leverkusen entered as favourites and won 2–1 through two Schick goals. 1.FC Köln replied through a Waldschmidt goal. Bayer Leverkusen won despite the lower xG; 1.FC Köln created the better chances (2.41 vs 1.33). On the chances created, 1.FC Köln deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1.FC Köln25%
Draw23%
Bayer Leverkusen ✓52%

Model vs reality

1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 1.36 · xG 2.41
Bayer Leverkusen goals
2
Model 2.02 · xG 1.33
Total goals
3
Model 3.38 · xG 3.74
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 66%
Both scored
Yes
Model 65%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. BlaswichBayer Leverkusen
8.9
  • RefereeRobert Hartmann
  • VenueRheinEnergieSTADION
  • Table before kick-off1.FC Köln 12th · Bayer Leverkusen 6th

Timeline

  1. E. TapsobaYellow card · Roughing
    10’
  2. P. Schick (pen) 0–1
    43’
  3. Í. JóhannessonYellow card · Roughing
    45’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. P. Schick 0–2Assist N. Tella
    52’
  6. ⇄ A. Castro-MontesFor L. Maina
    62’
  7. ⇄ J. ThielmannFor M. Bülter
    62’
  8. ⇄ M. TillmanFor I. Maza
    62’
  9. ⇄ Felipe Marlon ChávezFor K. Lund
    72’
  10. ⇄ ArthurFor Montrell Amare Culbreath
    72’
  11. ⇄ G. WaldschmidtFor Í. Jóhannesson
    73’
  12. ⇄ E. FernándezFor Aleix García
    73’
  13. ⇄ E. Ben SeghirFor N. Tella
    73’
  14. G. Waldschmidt 1–2
    78’
  15. ⇄ Y. NiangFor E. Martel
    85’
  16. ⇄ L. BadéFor J. Quansah
    86’
  17. J. BlaswichYellow card · Delay of game
    90+5’
  18. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

1.FC Köln22 shots · 17 in box, 5 outside
Bayer Leverkusen8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
1.FC KölnBayer Leverkusen
45% Possession 55%
2.41 Expected goals (xG) 1.33
2.03 Expected points (xPts) 0.79
22 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
8 Shots off target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
17 Shots inside the box 5
5 Shots outside the box 3
445 Passes 554
85% Pass accuracy 86%
0 Corners 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.76 Team rating 7.00

Line-ups

1.FC Köln 3-4-1-2

16.9 M. Schwäbe(G)
396.9 C. Özkacar 226.5 J. Simpson-Pusey 286.2 S. Sebulonsen
326.2 K. Lund ↓72’ 66.6 E. Martel ↓85’ 186.3 Í. Jóhannesson ↓73’ 376.9 L. Maina ↓62’
166.9 J. Kamiński
137.9 S. El Mala 306.5 M. Bülter ↓62’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G)6.9
  • 39C. Özkacar6.9
  • 22J. Simpson-Pusey6.5
  • 28S. Sebulonsen6.2
  • 32K. Lund↓72’6.2
  • 6E. Martel↓85’6.6
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson↓73’6.3
  • 37L. Maina↓62’6.9
  • 16J. Kamiński6.9
  • 13S. El Mala7.9
  • 30M. Bülter↓62’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 29J. Thielmann↑62’7.3
  • 27Felipe Marlon Chávez↑72’6.9
  • 17A. Castro-Montes↑62’6.7
  • 7G. Waldschmidt↑73’7.7
  • 38Y. Niang↑85’6.3

Unused: R. Zieler, Joel Schmied, R. van den Berg, T. Krauß

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

288.9★ J. Blaswich(G)
127.2 E. Tapsoba 86.5 R. Andrich 46.0 J. Quansah ↓86’
206.9 Álex Grimaldo 247.2 Aleix García ↓73’ 256.3 E. Palacios 426.9 Montrell Amare Culbreath ↓72’
237.3 N. Tella A↓73’ 306.5 I. Maza ↓62’
147.6 P. Schick
  • 28J. Blaswich (G) ★8.9
  • 12E. Tapsoba7.2
  • 8R. Andrich6.5
  • 4J. Quansah↓86’6.0
  • 20Álex Grimaldo6.9
  • 24Aleix García↓73’7.2
  • 25E. Palacios6.3
  • 42Montrell Amare Culbreath↓72’6.9
  • 23N. TellaA↓73’7.3
  • 30I. Maza↓62’6.5
  • 14P. Schick7.6

Substitutes used

  • 5L. Badé↑86’6.7
  • 10M. Tillman↑62’6.3
  • 13Arthur↑72’6.2
  • 6E. Fernández↑73’6.9
  • 17E. Ben Seghir↑73’6.7

Unused: J. Omlin, T. Oermann, J. Hofmann, E. Poku

Player stats

Top rated
J. BlaswichBayer Leverkusen8.9
2nd
S. El Mala1.FC Köln7.9
3rd
P. SchickBayer Leverkusen7.6

1.FC Köln

Bayer Leverkusen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.