Bundesliga Gameweek 21 Sun, Feb 8 2026 · 14:30 RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln
1.FC Köln
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.05 – 1.79
RB Leipzig
  • J. Thielmann 51’
  • 29’, 56’ C. Baumgartner
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

RB Leipzig beat 1.FC Köln

RB Leipzig entered as narrow favourites and won 2–1 through two Baumgartner goals. 1.FC Köln replied through a Thielmann goal. RB Leipzig finished with the higher xG (1.79 vs 1.05). On the chances created, 1.FC Köln deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1.FC Köln30%
Draw25%
RB Leipzig ✓45%

Model vs reality

1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 1.30 · xG 1.05
RB Leipzig goals
2
Model 1.63 · xG 1.79
Total goals
3
Model 2.94 · xG 2.84
Score 1–2
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 56%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. BaumgartnerRB Leipzig · 2 goals
9.7
  • RefereeFrank Willenborg
  • VenueRheinEnergieSTADION
  • Table before kick-off1.FC Köln 10th · RB Leipzig 6th

Timeline

  1. C. Baumgartner 0–1Assist D. Raum
    29’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. J. Thielmann 1–1
    51’
  4. C. Baumgartner 1–2Assist X. Schlager
    56’
  5. J. ThielmannYellow card · Holding
    58’
  6. ⇄ C. HarderFor Rômulo
    64’
  7. ⇄ R. BakuFor B. Henrichs
    64’
  8. ⇄ M. BülterFor Í. Jóhannesson
    68’
  9. C. BaumgartnerYellow card · Roughing
    77’
  10. D. RaumYellow card
    77’
  11. ⇄ G. WaldschmidtFor K. Lund
    78’
  12. ⇄ E. BanzuziFor B. Gruda
    82’
  13. ⇄ Tidiam GomisFor Y. Diomande
    82’
  14. ⇄ Fynn SchentenFor R. Ache
    90’
  15. ⇄ Felipe Marlon ChávezFor J. Thielmann
    90’
  16. E. BanzuziYellow card · Roughing
    90+1’
  17. P. GulácsiYellow card · Delay of game
    90+4’
  18. ⇄ M. FinkgräfeFor A. Nusa
    90+6’
  19. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

1.FC Köln10 shots · 10 in box, 1 outside
RB Leipzig17 shots · 12 in box, 5 outside
1.FC KölnRB Leipzig
45% Possession 55%
1.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.79
0.89 Expected points (xPts) 1.87
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 7
10 Shots inside the box 12
1 Shots outside the box 5
321 Passes 412
74% Pass accuracy 82%
4 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.79 Team rating 7.24

Line-ups

1.FC Köln 5-3-2

17.5 M. Schwäbe(G)
327.2 K. Lund ↓78’ 396.3 C. Özkacar 66.2 E. Martel 286.0 S. Sebulonsen 297.0 J. Thielmann ↓90’
167.0 J. Kamiński 57.6 T. Krauß 186.9 Í. Jóhannesson ↓68’
136.3 S. El Mala 96.9 R. Ache ↓90’
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G)7.5
  • 32K. Lund↓78’7.2
  • 39C. Özkacar6.3
  • 6E. Martel6.2
  • 28S. Sebulonsen6.0
  • 29J. Thielmann↓90’7.0
  • 16J. Kamiński7.0
  • 5T. Krauß7.6
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson↓68’6.9
  • 13S. El Mala6.3
  • 9R. Ache↓90’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 27Felipe Marlon Chávez↑90’
  • 30M. Bülter↑68’6.7
  • 40Fynn Schenten↑90’
  • 7G. Waldschmidt↑78’6.3

Unused: R. Zieler, R. van den Berg, Joel Schmied, D. Huseinbašić, Y. Niang

RB Leipzig 4-3-3

16.7 P. Gulácsi(G)
227.3 D. Raum A 136.9 N. Seiwald 47.6 V. Orbán 396.5 B. Henrichs ↓64’
149.7★ C. Baumgartner 247.2 X. Schlager A 106.3 B. Gruda ↓82’
76.9 A. Nusa ↓90’ 407.2 Rômulo ↓64’ 497.7 Y. Diomande ↓82’
  • 1P. Gulácsi (G)6.7
  • 22D. RaumA7.3
  • 13N. Seiwald6.9
  • 4V. Orbán7.6
  • 39B. Henrichs↓64’6.5
  • 14C. Baumgartner ★9.7
  • 24X. SchlagerA7.2
  • 10B. Gruda↓82’6.3
  • 7A. Nusa↓90’6.9
  • 40Rômulo↓64’7.2
  • 49Y. Diomande↓82’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 35M. Finkgräfe↑90’
  • 17R. Baku↑64’6.3
  • 6E. Banzuzi↑82’6.6
  • 27Tidiam Gomis↑82’6.5
  • 11C. Harder↑64’6.5

Unused: M. Vandevoordt, E. Bitshiabu, L. Klostermann, S. Bakayoko

Player stats

Top rated
C. BaumgartnerRB Leipzig9.7
2nd
Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig7.7
3rd
T. Krauß1.FC Köln7.6

1.FC Köln

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Schwäbe G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 74% 43 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
K. Lund D 78 0 0 1 (0) 2 86% 22 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
C. Özkacar D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 50 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
E. Martel M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 38 2 2 0/0 0/1 6.2
S. Sebulonsen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 72% 18 3 0 0/2 0/1 6.0
J. Thielmann M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 68% 22 1 0 2/3 1/1 7.0
J. Kamiński M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 67% 30 2 1 0/1 2/1 7.0
T. Krauß M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 37 6 1 1/1 1/2 7.6
Í. Jóhannesson M 68 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 18 2 1 0/0 1/2 6.9
S. El Mala F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 63% 16 1 0 1/5 0/0 6.3
R. Ache F 90 0 0 3 (1) 1 44% 16 0 0 2/4 1/1 6.9
Felipe Marlon Chávez M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 —
M. Bülter F 22 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 6 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Fynn Schenten 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
G. Waldschmidt F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
P. Gulácsi G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 82% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
D. Raum D 90 0 1 0 (0) 5 84% 64 2 1 1/2 0/0 7.3
N. Seiwald M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 60 2 3 0/0 1/0 6.9
V. Orbán D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 51 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.6
B. Henrichs D 64 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 25 2 2 0/1 0/0 6.5
C. Baumgartner M 90 2 0 3 (3) 1 74% 50 5 1 0/1 2/1 9.7
X. Schlager M 90 0 1 1 (0) 2 86% 51 1 0 1/1 1/1 7.2
B. Gruda M 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 3 0 1/1 2/0 6.3
A. Nusa M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 17 1 0 2/5 2/2 6.9
Rômulo F 64 0 0 2 (0) 1 100% 5 0 1 1/3 1/0 7.2
Y. Diomande F 82 0 0 2 (1) 2 90% 21 1 0 8/10 0/1 7.7
M. Finkgräfe D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
R. Baku M 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
E. Banzuzi M 8 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 5 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
Tidiam Gomis F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
C. Harder F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.