Bundesliga Gameweek 6 Fri, Oct 3 2025 · 19:30 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
1899 Hoffenheim
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.35 – 0.92
1.FC Köln
  • 16’ S. El Mala
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Mala goal decides it for 1.FC Köln

1899 Hoffenheim entered as favourites, but 1.FC Köln won 1–0 through a Mala goal. 1.FC Köln won despite the lower xG; 1899 Hoffenheim created the better chances (1.35 vs 0.92). On the chances created, 1899 Hoffenheim deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1899 Hoffenheim48%
Draw25%
1.FC Köln ✓27%

Model vs reality

1899 Hoffenheim goals
0
Model 1.69 · xG 1.35
1.FC Köln goals
1
Model 1.23 · xG 0.92
Total goals
1
Model 2.93 · xG 2.27
Score 0–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. Schwäbe1.FC Köln
8.3
  • RefereeFelix Zwayer
  • VenuePreZero Arena
  • Table before kick-off1899 Hoffenheim 10th · 1.FC Köln 7th

Timeline

  1. B. ToureYellow card · Roughing
    10’
  2. S. El Mala 0–1Assist E. Martel
    16’
  3. BernardoYellow card · Roughing
    20’
  4. W. BurgerYellow card · Tripping
    39’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ R. AcheFor J. Thielmann
    46’
  7. ⇄ G. PrömelFor L. Avdullahu
    65’
  8. ⇄ I. BebouFor T. Lemperle
    65’
  9. ⇄ M. MoerstedtFor F. Asllani
    70’
  10. ⇄ A. KramarićFor M. Damar
    71’
  11. ⇄ L. MainaFor S. El Mala
    72’
  12. ⇄ C. ÖzkacarFor D. Heintz
    72’
  13. ⇄ T. KraußFor K. Lund
    84’
  14. ⇄ D. HuseinbašićFor Í. Jóhannesson
    84’
  15. ⇄ A. PrassFor Bernardo
    90’
  16. S. SebulonsenYellow card · Roughing
    90+5’
  17. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

1899 Hoffenheim14 shots · 11 in box, 3 outside
1.FC Köln9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
1899 Hoffenheim1.FC Köln
61% Possession 39%
1.35 Expected goals (xG) 0.92
1.68 Expected points (xPts) 1.04
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
11 Shots inside the box 6
3 Shots outside the box 3
485 Passes 318
84% Pass accuracy 76%
11 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.66 Team rating 7.13

Line-ups

1899 Hoffenheim 4-2-3-1

16.7 O. Baumann(G)
137.3 Bernardo ↓90’ 217.0 A. Hajdari 26.7 R. Hranáč 346.9 V. Coufal
186.2 W. Burger 77.2 L. Avdullahu ↓65’
296.2 B. Toure 116.2 F. Asllani ↓70’ 106.2 M. Damar ↓71’
196.9 T. Lemperle ↓65’
  • 1O. Baumann (G)6.7
  • 13Bernardo↓90’7.3
  • 21A. Hajdari7.0
  • 2R. Hranáč6.7
  • 34V. Coufal6.9
  • 18W. Burger6.2
  • 7L. Avdullahu↓65’7.2
  • 29B. Toure6.2
  • 11F. Asllani↓70’6.2
  • 10M. Damar↓71’6.2
  • 19T. Lemperle↓65’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 6G. Prömel↑65’6.7
  • 9I. Bebou↑65’6.3
  • 27A. Kramarić↑71’6.3
  • 33M. Moerstedt↑70’6.5
  • 22A. Prass↑90’

Unused: L. Philipp, K. Akpoguma, Arthur Chaves, U. Tohumcu

1.FC Köln 3-4-2-1

18.3★ M. Schwäbe(G)
36.9 D. Heintz ↓72’ 47.0 T. Hübers 27.0 Joel Schmied
326.6 K. Lund ↓84’ 67.5 E. Martel A 187.3 Í. Jóhannesson ↓84’ 286.9 S. Sebulonsen
137.3 S. El Mala ↓72’ 297.0 J. Thielmann ↓46’
166.9 J. Kamiński
  • 1M. Schwäbe (G) ★8.3
  • 3D. Heintz↓72’6.9
  • 4T. Hübers7.0
  • 2Joel Schmied7.0
  • 32K. Lund↓84’6.6
  • 6E. MartelA7.5
  • 18Í. Jóhannesson↓84’7.3
  • 28S. Sebulonsen6.9
  • 13S. El Mala↓72’7.3
  • 29J. Thielmann↓46’7.0
  • 16J. Kamiński6.9

Substitutes used

  • 9R. Ache↑46’6.9
  • 37L. Maina↑72’6.7
  • 39C. Özkacar↑72’6.5
  • 8D. Huseinbašić↑84’
  • 5T. Krauß↑84’

Unused: R. Zieler, F. Kainz, A. Castro-Montes, G. Waldschmidt

Player stats

Top rated
M. Schwäbe1.FC Köln8.3
2nd
E. Martel1.FC Köln7.5
3rd
Bernardo1899 Hoffenheim7.3

1899 Hoffenheim

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
O. Baumann G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 71% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Bernardo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 63 3 1 0/1 2/0 7.3
A. Hajdari D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 73 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.0
R. Hranáč D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 63 3 2 0/0 2/0 6.7
V. Coufal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 29 3 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
W. Burger M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 41 1 1 0/1 5/1 6.2
L. Avdullahu M 65 0 0 0 (0) 2 94% 36 1 0 1/1 0/0 7.2
B. Toure F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 78% 32 0 0 1/4 3/1 6.2
F. Asllani F 70 0 0 3 (1) 2 79% 19 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.2
M. Damar M 71 0 0 1 (1) 2 83% 30 1 1 1/2 1/0 6.2
T. Lemperle F 65 0 0 0 (0) 2 78% 18 1 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
G. Prömel M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 13 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
I. Bebou F 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
A. Kramarić F 19 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 12 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
M. Moerstedt F 20 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
A. Prass M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

1.FC Köln

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Schwäbe G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 70% 50 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.3
D. Heintz D 72 0 0 0 (0) 1 60% 25 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
T. Hübers D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 33 4 1 1/1 2/0 7.0
Joel Schmied D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 32 0 1 0/0 1/1 7.0
K. Lund D 84 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 24 0 1 1/2 0/0 6.6
E. Martel M 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 76% 34 3 2 0/0 1/2 7.5
Í. Jóhannesson M 84 0 0 1 (0) 2 84% 38 2 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
S. Sebulonsen D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 61% 18 2 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
S. El Mala F 72 1 0 3 (2) 0 60% 10 0 1 3/7 0/0 7.3
J. Thielmann M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 0 0 1/3 0/5 7.0
J. Kamiński M 90 0 0 3 (2) 0 81% 16 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.9
R. Ache F 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Maina M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
C. Özkacar D 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
D. Huseinbašić M 6 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 —
T. Krauß M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.