Bundesliga Gameweek 18 Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 14:30 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
1899 Hoffenheim
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.31 – 1.08
Bayer Leverkusen
  • W. Burger 9’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Burger goal decides it for 1899 Hoffenheim

Bayer Leverkusen entered as narrow favourites, but 1899 Hoffenheim won 1–0 through a Burger goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.31 and 1.08. On the chances created, Bayer Leverkusen deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

1899 Hoffenheim ✓30%
Draw25%
Bayer Leverkusen45%

Model vs reality

1899 Hoffenheim goals
1
Model 1.36 · xG 1.31
Bayer Leverkusen goals
0
Model 1.71 · xG 1.08
Total goals
1
Model 3.07 · xG 2.39
Score 1–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchW. Burger1899 Hoffenheim · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeDaniel Schlager
  • VenuePreZero Arena
  • Table before kick-off1899 Hoffenheim 5th · Bayer Leverkusen 6th

Timeline

  1. W. Burger 1–0
    9’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ I. MazaFor Arthur
    46’
  4. ⇄ Christian KofaneFor E. Fernández
    46’
  5. W. BurgerYellow card · Holding
    48’
  6. ⇄ J. BlaswichFor M. Flekken
    60’
  7. R. HranáčYellow card · Tripping
    62’
  8. ⇄ G. PrömelFor F. Asllani
    69’
  9. ⇄ N. TellaFor E. Poku
    74’
  10. ⇄ V. GendreyFor A. Prass
    79’
  11. ⇄ M. MoerstedtFor A. Kramarić
    79’
  12. ⇄ J. HofmannFor N. Tella
    81’
  13. J. QuansahYellow card · Roughing
    84’
  14. ⇄ I. BebouFor T. Lemperle
    90+1’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

1899 Hoffenheim19 shots · 12 in box, 7 outside
Bayer Leverkusen8 shots · 4 in box, 4 outside
1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
38% Possession 62%
1.31 Expected goals (xG) 1.08
1.53 Expected points (xPts) 1.20
19 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
7 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
12 Shots inside the box 4
7 Shots outside the box 4
338 Passes 553
76% Pass accuracy 82%
2 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
17 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.89

Line-ups

1899 Hoffenheim 4-2-3-1

17.2 O. Baumann(G)
137.5 Bernardo 217.5 A. Hajdari 26.9 R. Hranáč 346.3 V. Coufal
187.9★ W. Burger 77.2 L. Avdullahu
226.9 A. Prass ↓79’ 116.6 F. Asllani ↓69’ 276.9 A. Kramarić ↓79’
196.2 T. Lemperle ↓90’
  • 1O. Baumann (G)7.2
  • 13Bernardo7.5
  • 21A. Hajdari7.5
  • 2R. Hranáč6.9
  • 34V. Coufal6.3
  • 18W. Burger ★7.9
  • 7L. Avdullahu7.2
  • 22A. Prass↓79’6.9
  • 11F. Asllani↓69’6.6
  • 27A. Kramarić↓79’6.9
  • 19T. Lemperle↓90’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 6G. Prömel↑69’6.5
  • 15V. Gendrey↑79’6.2
  • 33M. Moerstedt↑79’6.3
  • 9I. Bebou↑90’

Unused: L. Philipp, K. Akpoguma, O. Kabak, M. Damar, B. Toure

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

17.5 M. Flekken(G) ↓60’
47.0 J. Quansah 57.6 L. Badé 86.9 R. Andrich
206.3 Álex Grimaldo 247.2 Aleix García 67.0 E. Fernández ↓46’ 136.7 Arthur ↓46’
196.5 E. Poku ↓74’ 106.9 M. Tillman
146.3 P. Schick
  • 1M. Flekken (G)↓60’7.5
  • 4J. Quansah7.0
  • 5L. Badé7.6
  • 8R. Andrich6.9
  • 20Álex Grimaldo6.3
  • 24Aleix García7.2
  • 6E. Fernández↓46’7.0
  • 13Arthur↓46’6.7
  • 19E. Poku↓74’6.5
  • 10M. Tillman6.9
  • 14P. Schick6.3

Substitutes used

  • 30I. Maza↑46’7.0
  • 35Christian Kofane↑46’6.7
  • 28J. Blaswich (G)↑60’7.0
  • 23N. Tella
  • 7J. Hofmann↑81’6.5

Unused: Lucas Vázquez, J. Belocian, Alejo Sarco, M. Terrier

Player stats

Top rated
W. Burger1899 Hoffenheim7.9
2nd
L. BadéBayer Leverkusen7.6
3rd
Bernardo1899 Hoffenheim7.5

1899 Hoffenheim

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
O. Baumann G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 67% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
Bernardo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 33 6 3 0/1 0/2 7.5
A. Hajdari D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 25 3 1 0/0 1/1 7.5
R. Hranáč D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 26 1 1 0/0 2/0 6.9
V. Coufal D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 69% 26 1 2 0/0 1/1 6.3
W. Burger M 90 1 0 2 (2) 5 75% 48 0 1 0/1 4/0 7.9
L. Avdullahu M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 81% 42 2 2 0/0 2/0 7.2
A. Prass M 79 0 0 3 (1) 2 88% 26 3 0 0/1 2/0 6.9
F. Asllani F 69 0 0 2 (2) 1 79% 19 1 0 0/2 2/1 6.6
A. Kramarić F 79 0 0 1 (0) 1 70% 27 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
T. Lemperle F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 71% 24 1 1 0/1 3/1 6.2
G. Prömel M 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
V. Gendrey D 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
M. Moerstedt F 11 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3
I. Bebou F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Bayer Leverkusen

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Flekken G 60 0 0 5 sv 0 72% 32 0 0 0/0 0/2 7.5
J. Quansah D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 73 2 1 1/1 2/2 7.0
L. Badé D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 70 3 1 1/1 0/0 7.6
R. Andrich M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 57 1 0 1/1 1/1 6.9
Álex Grimaldo D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 79% 61 1 1 1/2 0/1 6.3
Aleix García M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 74 2 1 0/1 0/1 7.2
E. Fernández M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 29 3 1 1/1 0/1 7.0
Arthur D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 0 2 2/4 0/1 6.7
E. Poku F 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 75% 24 1 1 1/5 0/0 6.5
M. Tillman M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 78% 32 1 0 1/3 0/1 6.9
P. Schick F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 50% 20 0 0 2/5 2/1 6.3
I. Maza F 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 20 1 1 0/1 0/4 7.0
Christian Kofane M 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 11 0 0 0/0 2/2 6.7
J. Blaswich G 30 0 0 2 sv 0 87% 23 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
N. Tella M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
J. Hofmann M 9 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.