ADO Den Haag vs Groningen – 16 Aug 2026

Eredivisie Gameweek 2 Sun, Aug 16 · 11:15 Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage

ADO Den Haag 15th · 0 pts · 1 played L

1–4Full time

Groningen 9th · 3 pts · 1 played W

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Groningen were slight favourites.

Groningen were the stronger side on L90 Strength (28 vs 15). ADO Den Haag had 7.6 days of rest, Groningen 6.9 and had to travel.

Rest days7.6 · 6.9Matches / 14d1 · 1

ADO Den Haag33%

Draw25%

Groningen42%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.51

ADO Den Haag33%

Draw26%

Groningen41%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.43

ADO Den Haag33%

Draw25%

Groningen42%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.51

ADO Den Haag27%

Draw24%

Groningen49%

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.69

ADO Den Haag33%

Draw25%

Groningen42%

Expected goals 1.33 – 1.50

Over 2.5 54% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (‘s-Gravenhage)

No weather data yet

Referee · NetherlandsJeroen Manschot

Cards per match 3.4
Penalties per match 0.27
Matches 56

Team strength

ADO Den Haag

Groningen

15 L90 StrengthIn forecast 28

15 Current StrengthIn forecast 30

15 AttackIn forecast 41

18 DefenceIn forecast 21

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

ADO Den Haag

Attack—

Defense risk—

Groningen

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

ADO Den Haag

Groningen

— Goals scoredVia Att/Def —

— Goals concededVia Att/Def —

— xGVia Att/Def —

— xG allowedVia Att/Def —

— Goals minus xGContext —

— Scored inContext —

— Clean sheetsContext —

— ShotsContext —

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def —

— On target shareContext —

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

— ConversionContext —

— OffsidesContext —

— Shots allowedContext —

— On target allowedVia Att/Def —

— BlocksContext —

— Goalkeeper savesContext —

— Save rateContext —

— PossessionIn forecast —

— PassesContext —

— Accurate passesContext —

— Pass accuracyContext —

— Team ratingContext —

— FoulsContext —

— Fouls sufferedContext —

— Yellow cardsContext —

— Red cardsContext —

This league season, per match

0.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.67 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.20

— xGVia Att/Def 1.50

— xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.63

— Goals minus xGContext +0.00

0% Scored inContext 80%

0% Clean sheetsContext 30%

12.67 ShotsContext 14.70

2.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 5.20

16% On target shareContext 35%

7.67 Shots in the boxContext 9.40

61% Box shareContext 63%

0% ConversionContext 10%

1.00 OffsidesContext 1.80

9.33 Shots allowedContext 12.50

3.00 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.60

3.33 BlocksContext 3.33

1.33 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.20

44% Save rateContext 70%

58% PossessionIn forecast 50%

431 PassesContext 403

346 Accurate passesContext 315

80% Pass accuracyContext 78%

6.75 Team ratingContext 6.92

15.67 FoulsContext 10.60

11.67 Fouls sufferedContext 10.60

1.33 Yellow cardsContext 1.30

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 3 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

ADO Den Haag L

Rest7.6 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 39 · 0 pts vs 1.3 for an average club · -0.7 vs expected

L8 AugA · AZ Alkmaar0–20.7 xPts

Groningen W

Rest6.9 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel—0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

Form 61 · 3 pts vs 1.8 for an average club · +1.6 vs expected

W9 AugH · Utrecht2–11.4 xPts

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	ADO Den Haag	Groningen
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.6Eredivisie 2026-2027, 8 Aug	6.9Eredivisie 2026-2027, 9 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	—
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	0 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 1	1 / 1 / 1
Next matchdays after this one	7	7.1

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context. Some venues have no coordinates yet.

Squad & lineups

ADO Den Haag Confirmed XI

4-4-2

1K. Nikiéma(G)

18S. Sylla 4M. Waem 3P. Mulder 15M. Hokke

10I. de Ruijter 25J. Kilo 8J. Žambůrek 7D. van Mieghem

46Y. Eduardo 9J. Bal

Groningen Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

1E. Vaessen(G)

2W. Prins 15Elvis Van der Laan 3T. Blokzijl 14J. Schreuders

18T. Land 8T. de Jonge

24P. Clement 26T. van Bergen 17D. van der Werff

9B. Willumsson

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

ADO Den Haag Absences are shown before kick-off

Groningen Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

ADO Den Haag+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Groningen+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

ADO Den Haag · Home No home games yet this season.

Groningen · Away No away games yet this season.

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head

No earlier meetings in our data.

Goals & match trends

	ADO Den Haag	Groningen	Forecast
Scored per game	0.00	2.00
Conceded per game	2.00	1.00
Match goals	2.00	3.00	2.84
Over 1.5	100%	100%
Over 2.5	0%	100%	54%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Both teams scored	0%	100%	57%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Failed to score	100%	0%
Games	1	1

	ADO Den Haag	Groningen	Forecast
Scored per game	0.00	1.80
Conceded per game	2.00	1.10
Match goals	2.00	2.90	2.84
Over 1.5	100%	90%
Over 2.5	0%	70%	54%
Over 3.5	0%	30%
Both teams scored	0%	70%	57%
Clean sheets	0%	30%
Failed to score	100%	10%
Games	1	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	ADO Den Haag	Groningen	League
Corners
Corners won	7.00	5.00
Corners conceded	9.00	1.00
Match total	16.00	6.00	11.23
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Over 10.5	100% 1/1	0% 0/1
Cards
Cards	1.00	0.00
Opponent cards	0.00	2.00
Match total	1.00	2.00	2.62
Over 3.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1
Over 4.5	0% 0/1	0% 0/1

	ADO Den Haag	Groningen	League
Corners
Corners won	5.00	5.67
Corners conceded	5.33	5.56
Match total	10.33	11.23	11.23
Over 8.5	33% 1/3	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	33% 1/3	67% 6/9
Over 10.5	33% 1/3	56% 5/9
Cards
Cards	1.33	1.30
Opponent cards	1.67	0.60
Match total	3.00	1.90	2.62
Over 3.5	33% 1/3	10% 1/10
Over 4.5	33% 1/3	10% 1/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Jeroen Manschot Netherlands · 56 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.29league 2.50

Red cards0.14league 0.07

Cards 5+29%league 14%

Fouls19.5league 21.9

Penalties0.27league 0.00

Home wins45%league 36%

ADO Den Haag

No previous matches with this referee.

Groningen4 with this referee

Record1-3-0 Cards · opp.3.5 · 1.3 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

W16 Aug 25H · Heerenveen2–14
D14 May 25H · Ajax2–24
D8 Dec 24H · PEC Zwolle0–03
D25 Aug 24H · AZ Alkmaar0–03

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.