Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 20:00 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Ajax
First leg2–2 1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.48 – 1.06
NEC Nijmegen
  • M. Godts 39’
  • 57’ D. Nejašmić
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen share the points

Ajax entered as favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Godts goal. But Nejašmić scored to rescue a draw for NEC Nijmegen. Ajax finished with the higher xG (1.48 vs 1.06).

Ajax52%
Draw ✓24%
NEC Nijmegen24%

Model vs reality

Ajax goals
1
Model 1.86 · xG 1.48
NEC Nijmegen goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 1.06
Total goals
2
Model 3.08 · xG 2.54
Score 1–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. GodtsAjax · 1 goal
8.7
  • RefereeJeroen Manschot
  • VenueJohan Cruijff Arena
  • Table before kick-offAjax 4th · NEC Nijmegen 3rd

Timeline

  1. Rayane BounidaYellow card · Holding
    23’
  2. VAR S. OuaissaGoal Disallowed - offside
    24’
  3. M. Godts 1–0
    39’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. D. Nejašmić 1–1
    57’
  6. N. LebretonYellow card · Holding
    63’
  7. ⇄ Y. El KachatiFor B. Önal
    64’
  8. ⇄ DaniloFor B. Linssen
    64’
  9. ⇄ W. WeghorstFor K. Dolberg
    65’
  10. ⇄ J. MokioFor K. Fitz-Jim
    65’
  11. ⇄ T. TomiyasuFor O. Wijndal
    65’
  12. ⇄ D. FonvilleFor P. Sandler
    69’
  13. ⇄ O. GloukhFor Y. Regeer
    77’
  14. ⇄ S. BerghuisFor Rayane Bounida
    84’
  15. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Ajax9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
NEC Nijmegen17 shots · 8 in box, 9 outside
AjaxNEC Nijmegen
49% Possession 51%
1.48 Expected goals (xG) 1.06
1.67 Expected points (xPts) 1.07
9 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 8
2 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 8
1 Shots outside the box 9
388 Passes 398
79% Pass accuracy 81%
5 Corners 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.06 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Ajax 4-3-3

267.2 M. Paes(G)
57.2 O. Wijndal ↓65’ 156.3 Y. Baas 376.6 J. Šutalo 27.2 Lucas Rosa
487.2 Sean Steur 67.7 Y. Regeer ↓77’ 287.7 K. Fitz-Jim ↓65’
118.7★ M. Godts 95.9 K. Dolberg ↓65’ 436.6 Rayane Bounida ↓84’
  • 26M. Paes (G)7.2
  • 5O. Wijndal↓65’7.2
  • 15Y. Baas6.3
  • 37J. Šutalo6.6
  • 2Lucas Rosa7.2
  • 48Sean Steur7.2
  • 6Y. Regeer↓77’7.7
  • 28K. Fitz-Jim↓65’7.7
  • 11M. Godts ★8.7
  • 9K. Dolberg↓65’5.9
  • 43Rayane Bounida↓84’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 24J. Mokio↑65’6.3
  • 25W. Weghorst↑65’6.6
  • 32T. Tomiyasu↑65’6.3
  • 10O. Gloukh↑77’6.3
  • 23S. Berghuis↑84’

Unused: P. Reverson, Jesse Joeri Heerkens, A. Bouwman, A. Gaaei, Abdellah Ouazane, O. Edvardsen, Maher Carrizo

NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1

18.0 G. Crettaz(G)
46.9 A. Kaplan 36.9 P. Sandler ↓69’ 146.7 E. Dasa
116.5 B. Önal ↓64’ 68.2 D. Nejašmić 235.9 K. Sano 256.9 S. Ouaissa
206.2 N. Lebreton 106.3 T. Chery
306.2 B. Linssen ↓64’
  • 1G. Crettaz (G)8.0
  • 4A. Kaplan6.9
  • 3P. Sandler↓69’6.9
  • 14E. Dasa6.7
  • 11B. Önal↓64’6.5
  • 6D. Nejašmić8.2
  • 23K. Sano5.9
  • 25S. Ouaissa6.9
  • 20N. Lebreton6.2
  • 10T. Chery6.3
  • 30B. Linssen↓64’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 34Y. El Kachati↑64’6.5
  • 9Danilo↑64’6.2
  • 24D. Fonville↑69’6.9

Unused: J. Cillessen, B. Pereira, J. Willems, B. Nuytinck, I. Hansen-Aarøen, D. Proper, W. Willumsson, K. Ogawa, V. Misidjan

Player stats

Top rated
M. GodtsAjax8.7
2nd
D. NejašmićNEC Nijmegen8.2
3rd
G. CrettazNEC Nijmegen8.0

Ajax

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Paes G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 54% 48 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
O. Wijndal D 65 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 27 0 0 0/0 1/1 7.2
Y. Baas D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 45 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
J. Šutalo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 38 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.6
Lucas Rosa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 43 4 2 1/1 2/2 7.2
Sean Steur M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 38 1 1 0/0 0/1 7.2
Y. Regeer M 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 22 3 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
K. Fitz-Jim M 65 0 0 2 (2) 1 74% 19 1 1 3/3 1/4 7.7
M. Godts F 90 1 0 3 (2) 2 87% 30 2 0 1/4 1/1 8.7
K. Dolberg F 65 0 0 1 (0) 0 63% 16 1 1 0/1 0/1 5.9
Rayane Bounida M 84 0 0 0 (0) 1 68% 31 0 0 0/3 1/3 6.6
J. Mokio D 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 55% 11 1 1 0/2 0/0 6.3
W. Weghorst F 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
T. Tomiyasu D 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
O. Gloukh M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
S. Berghuis F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

NEC Nijmegen

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Crettaz G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 38% 47 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.0
A. Kaplan D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 88% 40 0 1 0/0 3/2 6.9
P. Sandler D 69 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 29 2 1 0/0 3/0 6.9
E. Dasa D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 44 3 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
B. Önal F 64 0 0 0 (0) 3 88% 16 0 1 0/1 0/1 6.5
D. Nejašmić M 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 87% 52 5 2 0/0 0/0 8.2
K. Sano M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 52 2 2 0/2 1/0 5.9
S. Ouaissa M 90 0 0 2 (0) 3 82% 38 0 0 2/2 0/1 6.9
N. Lebreton M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 95% 19 3 1 0/1 3/1 6.2
T. Chery M 90 0 0 2 (2) 3 91% 34 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
B. Linssen F 64 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 4 0 1 0/0 3/0 6.2
Y. El Kachati F 26 0 0 1 (1) 0 75% 4 0 0 1/1 2/0 6.5
Danilo F 26 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
D. Fonville D 21 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 2 0 1/1 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.