Eredivisie Gameweek 8 Sat, Oct 10 2026 · 20:00 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.86 – 1.11
  • T. Arokodare 7’
  • 19’ (P) T. Chery
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen share the points

Ajax entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 after 7 minutes through a Arokodare goal. But Chery scored to rescue a draw for NEC Nijmegen. Ajax finished with the higher xG (1.86 vs 1.11). On the chances created, Ajax deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Ajax67%
Draw ✓17%
NEC Nijmegen16%

Model vs reality

Ajax goals
1
Model 2.55 · xG 1.86
NEC Nijmegen goals
1
Model 1.20 · xG 1.11
Total goals
2
Model 3.75 · xG 2.97
Score 1–1
8%
Most likely 2–1 (9%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 72%
Both scored
Yes
Model 64%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. ArokodareAjax · 1 goal
7.9
  • RefereeSerdar Gozubuyuk
  • CoachesMíchel · —
  • VenueJohan Cruijff Arena
  • Table before kick-offAjax 5th · NEC Nijmegen 11th

Timeline

  1. T. Arokodare 1–0Assist J. Mokio
    7’
  2. J. MokioYellow card · Foul
    17’
  3. T. Chery (pen) 1–1
    19’
  4. B. LinssenYellow card · Persistent Infringement
    33’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. Gabriel BrásYellow card · Foul
    54’
  7. ⇄ Abdellah OuazaneFor O. Gloukh
    60’
  8. ⇄ S. AdingraFor V. Tsyhankov
    60’
  9. Abdellah OuazaneYellow card · Foul
    67’
  10. ⇄ A. KaplanFor P. Schuurs
    72’
  11. ⇄ M. BakkerFor B. Linssen
    73’
  12. ⇄ Marcos LeonardoFor T. Arokodare
    73’
  13. ⇄ A. BouwmanFor Lucas Rosa
    73’
  14. ⇄ D. KlaassenFor O. Wijndal
    80’
  15. ⇄ Jamiro MonteiroFor Kevin Kers
    82’
  16. ⇄ W. WillumssonFor T. Chery
    82’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Ajax18 shots · 13 in box, 5 outside
NEC Nijmegen8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
AjaxNEC Nijmegen
61% Possession 39%
1.86 Expected goals (xG) 1.11
1.87 Expected points (xPts) 0.90
18 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
8 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
13 Shots inside the box 5
5 Shots outside the box 3
487 Passes 302
83% Pass accuracy 72%
4 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.84 Team rating 6.52

Line-ups

Ajax 4-3-3

16.4 M. ter Stegen(G)
56.1 O. Wijndal ↓80’ 156.9 Y. Baas 66.8 J. Kehrer 26.6 Lucas Rosa ↓73’
87.2 J. Brandt 47.1 S. Amrabat 247.0 J. Mokio A
106.9 O. Gloukh ↓60’ 997.9★ T. Arokodare ↓73’ 116.7 V. Tsyhankov ↓60’
  • 1M. ter Stegen (G)6.4
  • 5O. Wijndal↓80’6.1
  • 15Y. Baas6.9
  • 6J. Kehrer6.8
  • 2Lucas Rosa↓73’6.6
  • 8J. Brandt7.2
  • 4S. Amrabat7.1
  • 24J. MokioA7.0
  • 10O. Gloukh↓60’6.9
  • 99T. Arokodare ★↓73’7.9
  • 11V. Tsyhankov↓60’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 7S. Adingra↑60’7.1
  • 18D. Klaassen↑80’6.2
  • 38Marcos Leonardo↑73’6.6
  • 68Abdellah Ouazane↑60’6.2
  • 30A. Bouwman↑73’6.4

Unused: Y. Bissouma, M. Paes, D. Janse, O. Edvardsen, C. Setford, Rayane Bounida, J. Torrents

Coach: Míchel

NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1

17.5 G. Crettaz(G)
246.4 D. Fonville 46.7 P. Schuurs ↓72’ 736.1 Gabriel Brás
346.4 Kevin Kers ↓82’ 206.6 N. Lebreton 66.7 D. Nejašmić 216.5 T. Storm
106.2 D. Tadić 96.8 T. Chery ↓82’
306.1 B. Linssen ↓73’
  • 1G. Crettaz (G)7.5
  • 24D. Fonville6.4
  • 4P. Schuurs↓72’6.7
  • 73Gabriel Brás6.1
  • 34Kevin Kers↓82’6.4
  • 20N. Lebreton6.6
  • 6D. Nejašmić6.7
  • 21T. Storm6.5
  • 10D. Tadić6.2
  • 9T. Chery↓82’6.8
  • 30B. Linssen↓73’6.1

Substitutes used

  • 11W. Willumsson↑82’6.3
  • 35Jamiro Monteiro↑82’6.3
  • 22A. Kaplan↑72’6.6
  • 5M. Bakker↑73’5.9

Unused: A. Tahaui, N. Polster, Y. Moslih, I. Hansen-Aarøen, F. Entius, Clement Bischoff, A. Kabar

Player stats

Top rated
T. ArokodareAjax7.9
2nd
G. CrettazNEC Nijmegen7.5
3rd
J. BrandtAjax7.2

Ajax

NEC Nijmegen

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.