Alanyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Alanyaspor were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards Konyaspor. Alanyaspor had 5.9 days of rest, Konyaspor 6 and had to travel 191 km.
Away travel191 kmRest days5.9 · 6Matches / 14d1 · 2
Alanyaspor45%
Draw27%
Konyaspor28%
Alanyaspor49%
Draw26%
Konyaspor25%
Alanyaspor45%
Draw27%
Konyaspor28%
Alanyaspor37%
Draw28%
Konyaspor35%
Alanyaspor45%
Draw27%
Konyaspor28%
Over 2.5 49%
Both score 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Antalya)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeAli Yilmaz
- Cards per match 4.3
- Penalties per match 0.27
- Matches 15
Team strength
Alanyaspor
Konyaspor
22
L90 StrengthIn forecast
16
24
Current StrengthIn forecast
18
18
AttackIn forecast
13
24
DefenceIn forecast
31
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKonyaspor
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AlanyasporKonyaspor
1.05
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.14
1.14
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.57
0.98
xGVia Att/Def
1.17
1.23
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.43
+0.07
Goals minus xGContext
-0.03
71%
Scored inContext
76%
33%
Clean sheetsContext
14%
11.90
ShotsContext
13.33
3.81
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.14
32%
On target shareContext
31%
7.52
Shots in the boxContext
8.00
63%
Box shareContext
60%
9%
ConversionContext
9%
1.73
OffsidesContext
2.06
10.52
Shots allowedContext
12.62
4.05
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.20
2.80
BlocksContext
3.15
3.05
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.63
73%
Save rateContext
62%
47%
PossessionIn forecast
54%
389
PassesContext
401
325
Accurate passesContext
330
84%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.82
Team ratingContext
6.81
12.33
FoulsContext
11.38
14.38
Fouls sufferedContext
13.14
2.29
Yellow cardsContext
2.14
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.10
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
0.60
1.30
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.50
0.87
xGVia Att/Def
1.13
1.01
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.44
+0.23
Goals minus xGContext
-0.53
80%
Scored inContext
60%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
13.40
ShotsContext
12.60
4.10
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
3.40
31%
On target shareContext
27%
8.50
Shots in the boxContext
7.50
65%
Box shareContext
60%
8%
ConversionContext
5%
1.80
OffsidesContext
1.88
9.90
Shots allowedContext
12.50
3.70
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.67
2.75
BlocksContext
3.10
2.89
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.78
72%
Save rateContext
60%
49%
PossessionIn forecast
55%
401
PassesContext
423
344
Accurate passesContext
348
86%
Pass accuracyContext
82%
6.83
Team ratingContext
6.74
11.80
FoulsContext
10.90
13.90
Fouls sufferedContext
13.20
2.40
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Alanyaspor
Rest5.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel123 km1,126 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Konyaspor
Rest6 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel191 km926 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Alanyaspor |
Konyaspor |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 5.9Süper Lig 2025-2026, 8 Feb | 6Süper Lig 2025-2026, 8 Feb |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 123 km | 191 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,126 km | 926 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 1 / 4 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7 | 7.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Alanyaspor
Confirmed XI
48Paulo Victor(G)
50Ü. Akdağ
5F. Aliti
20F. Aksoy
11Ruan
17N. Janvier
42G. Makouta
94F. Hadërgjonaj
16U. Hwang
14I. Hagi
10G. Yalçın
Konyaspor
Confirmed XI
13B. Güngördü(G)
12G. Sityá
4A. Demirbağ
39A. Nagalo
70K. Olaigbe
18B. Kutlu
77M. İbrahimoğlu
23Y. Andzouana
40J. Muleka
9D. Türüç
99B. Kramer
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Alanyaspor
Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.03 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Konyaspor
Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Alanyaspor+0.0 pp
- Draw-0.2 pp
- Konyaspor+0.2 pp
Home / Away this season
Alanyaspor · Home
1.20points per game · 10 home games
- W-D-L
- 3-3-4
- Scored
- 0.90
- Conceded
- 0.90
Konyaspor · Away
0.90points per game · 10 away games
- W-D-L
- 2-3-5
- Scored
- 1.20
- Conceded
- 1.90
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 16 this season
| Opponent | Alanyaspor | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas | D 2–2 AW 2–0 H | L 1–2 AL 0–2 H |
| Eyüpspor | L 1–3 HL 1–2 A | D 1–1 HW 4–1 A |
| Rizespor | D 1–1 AD 0–0 H | D 1–1 H |
| Fenerbahce | L 2–3 HD 2–2 A | L 0–4 A |
| Fatih Karagümrük | W 2–0 H | L 0–2 A |
| Kayserispor | D 0–0 A | D 1–1 H |
| Antalyaspor | D 0–0 H | D 0–0 H |
| Samsunspor | D 1–1 A | L 1–3 H |
| Kasimpasa | L 1–2 H | D 1–1 A |
| Trabzonspor | D 1–1 A | L 1–3 A |
| Gazişehir Gaziantep | D 0–0 H | D 1–1 AW 3–0 H |
| Kocaelispor | L 0–2 A | L 2–3 H |
| Goztepe | W 1–0 H | D 0–0 HD 1–1 A |
| Genclerbirligi | D 2–2 A | W 2–1 A |
| Galatasaray | L 0–1 H | L 1–3 A |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | D 1–1 A | W 2–1 H |
| Points | 20 of 60 · 1.00 per game | 20 of 60 · 1.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings
4 Alanyaspor wins1 draws0 Konyaspor wins
Goals per game2.00 – 1.00
Over 2.580%
Both scored80%
Clean sheets20% · 0%
- 13 Sep 2025Konyaspor1–2Alanyaspor
- 25 May 2025Konyaspor1–2Alanyaspor
- 3 Jan 2025Alanyaspor2–1Konyaspor
- 20 Apr 2024Konyaspor0–2Alanyaspor
- 2 Dec 2023Alanyaspor2–2Konyaspor
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Alanyaspor | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.05 | 1.14 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.14 | 1.57 | |
| Match goals | 2.19 | 2.71 | 2.63 |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 90% | |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 52% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 29% | |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 71% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 14% | |
| Failed to score | 29% | 24% | |
| Games | 21 | 21 |
| Alanyaspor | Konyaspor | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.10 | 0.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.30 | 1.50 | |
| Match goals | 2.40 | 2.10 | 2.63 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 30% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Alanyaspor | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.72 | 5.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 3.67 | 4.62 | |
| Match total | 8.39 | 9.72 | 9.41 |
| Over 8.5 | 44% 8/18 | 48% 10/21 | |
| Over 9.5 | 39% 7/18 | 48% 10/21 | |
| Over 10.5 | 39% 7/18 | 38% 8/21 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.33 | 2.19 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.86 | 2.48 | |
| Match total | 4.19 | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 52% 11/21 | 62% 13/21 | |
| Over 4.5 | 38% 8/21 | 33% 7/21 | |
| Alanyaspor | Konyaspor | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.60 | 4.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 2.80 | 3.90 | |
| Match total | 8.40 | 8.00 | 9.41 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 40% 4/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.40 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 3.90 | 4.70 | 4.67 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 30% 3/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Ali Yilmaz Türkiye · 15 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.20league 4.42
Red cards0.13league 0.23
Cards 5+47%league 46%
Fouls25.3league 25.9
Penalties0.27league 0.27
Home wins47%league 36%
Alanyaspor1 with this referee
Record1-0-0
Cards · opp.3.0 · 5.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- W19 Oct 25H · Goztepe1–03
KonyasporNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Alanyaspor21 games · scored 22 · conceded 24
5
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
6
46-60
3
4
61-75
6
7
76-90
Konyaspor21 games · scored 24 · conceded 33
1
2
0-15
6
6
16-30
3
9
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
7
4
76-90
Alanyaspor10 games · scored 11 · conceded 13
4
3
0-15
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
5
46-60
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
Konyaspor10 games · scored 6 · conceded 15
0-15
2
2
16-30
7
31-45
3
46-60
2
61-75
2
3
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
