Süper Lig Gameweek 22 Mon, Feb 16 2026 · 17:00 Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
Kasimpasa
3–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.62 – 0.84
Fatih Karagümrük
  • K. Demirbay 19’
  • C. Tosun 62’
  • İ. Kahveci 71’
  • 80’ F. Mladenović
  • 90+2’ T. Ahmed
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Kasimpasa beat Fatih Karagümrük

Kasimpasa entered as narrow favourites and won 3–2 through goals from Demirbay, Tosun and Kahveci. Fatih Karagümrük replied through goals from Mladenović and Ahmed. Kasimpasa finished with the higher xG (1.62 vs 0.84). On the chances created, Fatih Karagümrük deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Kasimpasa ✓43%
Draw28%
Fatih Karagümrük29%

Model vs reality

Kasimpasa goals
3
Model 1.39 · xG 1.62
Fatih Karagümrük goals
2
Model 1.10 · xG 0.84
Total goals
5
Model 2.49 · xG 2.46
Score 3–2
2%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 45%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchİ. KahveciKasimpasa · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.5
  • RefereeBatuhan Kolak
  • CoachesS. Arveladze · O. Korkmaz
  • VenueRecep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
  • Table before kick-offKasimpasa 16th · Fatih Karagümrük 18th

Timeline

  1. K. Demirbay 1–0Assist A. Ben Ouanes
    19’
  2. E. BelozogluYellow card
    30’
  3. C. Winck NetoYellow card · misses next match
    34’
  4. İ. KahveciYellow card
    45+1’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. M. KranevitterYellow card
    60’
  7. C. Tosun 2–0Assist İ. Kahveci
    62’
  8. ⇄ T. ÇukurFor Serginho
    66’
  9. ⇄ D. VerdeFor S. Babicka
    67’
  10. ⇄ B. ElmazFor M. Kranevitter
    67’
  11. İ. Kahveci 3–0Assist A. Benedyczak
    71’
  12. Rodrigo BecãoYellow card
    71’
  13. ⇄ CafúFor K. Demirbay
    76’
  14. ⇄ F. DiabatéFor C. Tosun
    76’
  15. ⇄ P. GuèyeFor İ. Kahveci
    76’
  16. ⇄ T. AhmedFor Baris Kalayci
    79’
  17. F. Mladenović 3–1Assist S. Larsson
    80’
  18. S. LarssonYellow card
    81’
  19. ⇄ J. AllevinahFor A. Benedyczak
    87’
  20. P. GuèyeYellow card · misses next match
    89’
  21. T. Ahmed 3–2Assist D. Verde
    90+2’
  22. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Kasimpasa11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
Fatih Karagümrük11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
KasimpasaFatih Karagümrük
44% Possession 56%
1.62 Expected goals (xG) 0.84
1.92 Expected points (xPts) 0.83
11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
7 Shots inside the box 8
4 Shots outside the box 3
343 Passes 443
79% Pass accuracy 84%
2 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
20 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 6.62

Line-ups

Kasimpasa 4-2-3-1

16.2 A. Gianniotis(G)
215.9 G. Frimpong 46.6 Adem Arous 506.9 Rodrigo Becão 26.9 C. Winck Neto
267.6 K. Demirbay ↓76’ 166.6 A. Baldursson
196.9 A. Benedyczak A↓87’ 126.9 A. Ben Ouanes A 718.5★ İ. Kahveci A↓76’
237.6 C. Tosun ↓76’
  • 1A. Gianniotis (G)6.2
  • 21G. Frimpong5.9
  • 4Adem Arous6.6
  • 50Rodrigo Becão6.9
  • 2C. Winck Neto6.9
  • 26K. Demirbay↓76’7.6
  • 16A. Baldursson6.6
  • 19A. BenedyczakA↓87’6.9
  • 12A. Ben OuanesA6.9
  • 71İ. Kahveci ★A↓76’8.5
  • 23C. Tosun↓76’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 8Cafú↑76’6.5
  • 18J. Allevinah↑87’6.9
  • 34F. Diabaté↑76’6.5
  • 77P. Guèye↑76’6.3

Unused: A. Yanar, T. Aydın, E. Taşdemir, A. Kol, E. Aydin, K. Kanatsızkuş

Coach: S. Arveladze

Fatih Karagümrük 4-2-3-1

136.0 I. Grbić(G)
258.3 F. Mladenović 36.9 Igor Lichnovsky 46.2 D. Biraschi 476.7 Ricardo Esgaio
86.7 B. Özcan 56.7 M. Kranevitter ↓67’
726.3 Baris Kalayci ↓79’ 235.9 S. Larsson A 806.3 S. Babicka ↓67’
706.7 Serginho ↓66’
  • 13I. Grbić (G)6.0
  • 25F. Mladenović8.3
  • 3Igor Lichnovsky6.9
  • 4D. Biraschi6.2
  • 47Ricardo Esgaio6.7
  • 8B. Özcan6.7
  • 5M. Kranevitter↓67’6.7
  • 72Baris Kalayci↓79’6.3
  • 23S. LarssonA5.9
  • 80S. Babicka↓67’6.3
  • 70Serginho↓66’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 21T. Çukur↑66’6.5
  • 6B. Elmaz↑67’6.7
  • 10D. VerdeA↑67’6.6
  • 88T. Ahmed↑79’7.5

Unused: F. Bekleviç, Anıl Yiğit Çınar, Burhan Ersoy, Ç. Kurukalıp, Yaya Onogo, Abdul Kader Moussa Kone

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Player stats

Top rated
İ. KahveciKasimpasa8.5
2nd
F. MladenovićFatih Karagümrük8.3
3rd
K. DemirbayKasimpasa7.6

Kasimpasa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Gianniotis G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 60% 47 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
G. Frimpong D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 28 1 1 0/0 2/1 5.9
Adem Arous D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 38 4 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
Rodrigo Becão D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 39 0 1 0/1 1/3 6.9
C. Winck Neto D 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 84% 37 5 2 0/0 3/0 6.9
K. Demirbay M 76 1 0 2 (2) 0 75% 28 4 1 0/1 2/0 7.6
A. Baldursson M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 22 3 1 0/0 4/0 6.6
A. Benedyczak F 87 0 1 0 (0) 4 69% 13 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
A. Ben Ouanes M 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 81% 32 0 1 1/3 1/4 6.9
İ. Kahveci M 76 1 1 2 (2) 2 77% 30 3 1 1/3 2/0 8.5
C. Tosun F 76 1 0 2 (1) 0 75% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.6
Cafú M 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
J. Allevinah F 3 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 2 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.9
F. Diabaté F 14 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
P. Guèye F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/1 3/0 6.3

Fatih Karagümrük

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. Grbić G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 74% 39 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
F. Mladenović D 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 81% 42 0 1 0/1 0/1 8.3
Igor Lichnovsky 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 68 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
D. Biraschi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 33 1 0 0/0 0/3 6.2
Ricardo Esgaio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 31 0 1 1/1 1/2 6.7
B. Özcan M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 60 1 1 1/2 1/2 6.7
M. Kranevitter 67 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 36 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
Baris Kalayci F 79 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 16 1 0 0/0 0/3 6.3
S. Larsson F 90 0 1 1 (1) 2 79% 42 0 0 0/3 1/3 5.9
S. Babicka F 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 15 0 0 1/1 1/1 6.3
Serginho M 66 0 0 1 (0) 0 57% 14 2 0 2/4 1/4 6.7
T. Çukur F 24 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 7 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
B. Elmaz M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 22 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
D. Verde F 23 0 1 1 (1) 1 77% 13 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
T. Ahmed 11 1 0 1 (1) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.