La Liga Gameweek 38 Sat, May 23 2026 · 20:00 Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
1–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.63 – 1.34
  • Toni Martínez 13’
  • 73’ Sergio Camello
  • 90’ R. Nteka
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Rayo Vallecano come from behind to beat Alaves

Alaves entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Martínez goal. But Camello and Nteka scored to turn it around for Rayo Vallecano, who won 2–1. The chances were even, with xG of 1.63 and 1.34. On the chances created, Alaves deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Alaves42%
Draw28%
Rayo Vallecano ✓30%

Model vs reality

Alaves goals
1
Model 1.37 · xG 1.63
Rayo Vallecano goals
2
Model 1.13 · xG 1.34
Total goals
3
Model 2.50 · xG 2.97
Score 1–2
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 46%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDani CárdenasRayo Vallecano
8.6
  • RefereeJ. Manzano
  • VenueEstadio de Mendizorroza
  • Table before kick-offAlaves 13th · Rayo Vallecano 8th

Timeline

  1. Toni Martínez 1–0
    13’
  2. ⇄ C. BenavídezFor Víctor Parada
    33’
  3. ⇄ Sergio CamelloFor Carlos Martín
    38’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ Jorge de FrutosFor Álvaro García
    46’
  6. Sergio CamelloYellow card · Foul
    54’
  7. ⇄ AlemãoFor Óscar Valentín
    61’
  8. ⇄ P. CissFor A. Mumin
    61’
  9. P. CissYellow card · Foul
    64’
  10. Ángel PérezYellow card · Time wasting
    69’
  11. Sergio Camello 1–1Assist P. Ciss
    73’
  12. ⇄ Denis SuárezFor Pablo Ibáñez
    74’
  13. A. RebbachYellow card · Foul
    79’
  14. ⇄ I. DiabateFor L. Boyé
    84’
  15. ⇄ Ander GuevaraFor Jon Guridi
    84’
  16. F. TenagliaYellow card · Time wasting
    87’
  17. ⇄ A. RațiuFor I. Balliu
    88’
  18. R. Nteka 1–2Assist Sergio Camello
    90’
  19. A. EspinoYellow card · Time wasting
    90+4’
  20. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Alaves19 shots · 11 in box, 8 outside
Rayo Vallecano15 shots · 8 in box, 7 outside
AlavesRayo Vallecano
48% Possession 52%
1.63 Expected goals (xG) 1.34
1.57 Expected points (xPts) 1.19
19 Shots 15
11 Shots on target 7
0 Shots off target 6
8 Blocked shots 2
11 Shots inside the box 8
8 Shots outside the box 7
345 Passes 378
80% Pass accuracy 82%
10 Corners 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 10
13 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.88 Team rating 7.16

Line-ups

Alaves 3-5-2

17.2 Antonio Sivera(G)
246.9 Víctor Parada ↓33’ 166.9 V. Koski 146.2 F. Tenaglia
216.7 A. Rebbach 187.2 Jon Guridi ↓84’ 86.9 Antonio Blanco 197.2 Pablo Ibáñez ↓74’ 76.6 Ángel Pérez
117.9 Toni Martínez 156.6 L. Boyé ↓84’
  • 1Antonio Sivera (G)7.2
  • 24Víctor Parada↓33’6.9
  • 16V. Koski6.9
  • 14F. Tenaglia6.2
  • 21A. Rebbach6.7
  • 18Jon Guridi↓84’7.2
  • 8Antonio Blanco6.9
  • 19Pablo Ibáñez↓74’7.2
  • 7Ángel Pérez6.6
  • 11Toni Martínez7.9
  • 15L. Boyé↓84’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 4Denis Suárez↑74’6.6
  • 22I. Diabate↑84’6.3
  • 23C. Benavídez↑33’6.2
  • 6Ander Guevara↑84’6.3

Unused: Raúl Fernández, Grégoire Swiderski, Jonny, A. Manas, Youssef Lekhedim, M. Díaz, Carles Aleñá, Calebe

Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1

18.6★ Dani Cárdenas(G)
227.2 A. Espino 327.2 N. Mendy 166.2 A. Mumin ↓61’ 206.6 I. Balliu ↓88’
156.7 Gerard Gumbau 237.7 Óscar Valentín ↓61’
186.5 Álvaro García ↓46’ 46.5 Pedro Díaz 146.2 Carlos Martín ↓38’
118.2 R. Nteka
  • 1Dani Cárdenas (G) ★8.6
  • 22A. Espino7.2
  • 32N. Mendy7.2
  • 16A. Mumin↓61’6.2
  • 20I. Balliu↓88’6.6
  • 15Gerard Gumbau6.7
  • 23Óscar Valentín↓61’7.7
  • 18Álvaro García↓46’6.5
  • 4Pedro Díaz6.5
  • 14Carlos Martín↓38’6.2
  • 11R. Nteka8.2

Substitutes used

  • 9Alemão↑61’6.3
  • 19Jorge de Frutos↑46’6.9
  • 6P. CissA↑61’6.9
  • 10Sergio CamelloA↑38’8.2
  • 2A. Rațiu↑88’6.9

Unused: A. Batalla, Juanpe, Ó. Trejo, F. Lejeune, Pep Chavarría, Jozhua Vertrouwd, Fran Pérez

Player stats

Top rated
Dani CárdenasRayo Vallecano8.6
2nd
R. NtekaRayo Vallecano8.2
3rd
Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano8.2

Alaves

Rayo Vallecano

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.