Amed
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Amed were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Amed had ? days of rest, Erzurumspor FK ? and had to travel 240 km.
Away travel240 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Amed45%
Draw25%
Erzurumspor FK30%
Amed44%
Draw26%
Erzurumspor FK30%
Amed45%
Draw25%
Erzurumspor FK30%
Amed37%
Draw26%
Erzurumspor FK37%
Amed45%
Draw25%
Erzurumspor FK30%
Over 2.5 52%
Both score 56%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Diyarbakır)
No weather data yet
Referee · TürkiyeHalil Umut Meler
- Cards per match 4.7
- Penalties per match 0.34
- Matches 38
Team strength
Amed
Erzurumspor FK
27
L90 StrengthIn forecast
27
34
Current StrengthIn forecast
27
38
AttackIn forecast
17
46
DefenceIn forecast
38
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Form indexContext
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In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisErzurumspor FK
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AmedErzurumspor FK
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
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PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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Goals concededVia Att/Def
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xGVia Att/Def
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xG allowedVia Att/Def
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Goals minus xGContext
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Scored inContext
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Clean sheetsContext
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ShotsContext
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Shots on targetVia Att/Def
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On target shareContext
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Shots in the boxContext
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Box shareContext
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ConversionContext
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OffsidesContext
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Shots allowedContext
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On target allowedVia Att/Def
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BlocksContext
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Goalkeeper savesContext
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Save rateContext
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PossessionIn forecast
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PassesContext
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Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
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Red cardsContext
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In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Amed
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Erzurumspor FK
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel240 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Amed |
Erzurumspor FK |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 240 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8 | 5 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Amed
Confirmed XI
40A. Lafont(G)
5L. Dellova
4D. Bates
21Mehmet Yeşil
11Y. Sor
6Cem Üstündag
22R. Raveloson
7E. Krasniqi
99G. Orban
91D. Sabi'a
45M. Diagne
Erzurumspor FK
Confirmed XI
31M. Orbanić(G)
18N. Mujakić
3Y. Kırtay
4A. Gerxhaliu
53O. Ovacıklı
6B. Baiye
99M. Fettahoğlu
8S. Akgün
65M. Rodríguez
11Fernando Andrade
10E. Tozlu
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Amed
Absences are shown before kick-off
Erzurumspor FK
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Amed+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Erzurumspor FK+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Amed · Home
No home games yet this season.
Erzurumspor FK · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head
No earlier meetings in our data.
Goals & match trends
| Amed | Erzurumspor FK | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.77 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 56% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Amed | Erzurumspor FK | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.77 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 56% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Amed | Erzurumspor FK | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 10.60 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 2.80 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Amed | Erzurumspor FK | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 10.60 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 2.80 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Halil Umut Meler Türkiye · 38 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.50league 3.17
Red cards0.24league 0.17
Cards 5+47%league 33%
Fouls23.9league 24.3
Penalties0.34league 0.33
Home wins34%league 33%
AmedNo previous matches with this referee.
Erzurumspor FKNo previous matches with this referee.
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
AmedErzurumspor FKAmedErzurumspor FKscored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
