Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Tue, Sep 23 2025 · 19:30 Lotto Park, Brussel
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.51 – 0.98
  • M. Stroeykens 68’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Stroeykens goal decides it for Anderlecht

Anderlecht entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Stroeykens goal. Anderlecht finished with the higher xG (1.51 vs 0.98). On the chances created, Gent deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Anderlecht ✓46%
Draw26%
Gent28%

Model vs reality

Anderlecht goals
1
Model 1.59 · xG 1.51
Gent goals
0
Model 1.18 · xG 0.98
Total goals
1
Model 2.78 · xG 2.49
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 52%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. StroeykensAnderlecht · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeNicolas Laforge
  • VenueLotto Park
  • Table before kick-offAnderlecht 6th · Gent 7th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ Leonardo LopesFor M. Delorge-Knieper
    46’
  3. A. KadriYellow card
    52’
  4. N. SalibaYellow card
    57’
  5. ⇄ B. GooreFor O. Gandelman
    59’
  6. ⇄ M. SamoiseFor Hatim Essaouabi
    59’
  7. M. Stroeykens 1–0Assist N. Saliba
    68’
  8. ⇄ Y. VerschaerenFor C. Huerta
    70’
  9. Leonardo LopesYellow card
    74’
  10. ⇄ F. SurdezFor A. Ito
    77’
  11. ⇄ D. VanzeirFor M. Skóraś
    77’
  12. ⇄ E. LlansanaFor M. Stroeykens
    79’
  13. ⇄ I. CamaraFor A. Maamar
    79’
  14. M. KanaYellow card
    80’
  15. J. DuverneYellow card
    83’
  16. N. AnguloYellow card
    85’
  17. ⇄ M. IlićFor N. Saliba
    90+3’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Anderlecht17 shots · 13 in box, 4 outside
Gent7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
AnderlechtGent
55% Possession 45%
1.51 Expected goals (xG) 0.98
1.75 Expected points (xPts) 1.00
17 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
13 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 3
501 Passes 405
80% Pass accuracy 80%
7 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
16 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.02 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

Anderlecht 3-4-3

266.6 C. Coosemans(G)
57.3 M. N'Diaye 556.9 M. Kana 37.2 L. Hey
797.2 A. Maamar ↓79’ 747.2 N. De Cat 298.2★ M. Stroeykens ↓79’ 197.0 N. Angulo
216.6 C. Huerta ↓70’ 206.3 L. Vázquez 137.0 N. Saliba A↓90’
  • 26C. Coosemans (G)6.6
  • 5M. N'Diaye7.3
  • 55M. Kana6.9
  • 3L. Hey7.2
  • 79A. Maamar↓79’7.2
  • 74N. De Cat7.2
  • 29M. Stroeykens ★↓79’8.2
  • 19N. Angulo7.0
  • 21C. Huerta↓70’6.6
  • 20L. Vázquez6.3
  • 13N. SalibaA↓90’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 10Y. Verschaeren↑70’6.6
  • 15M. Ilić↑90’
  • 24E. Llansana↑79’6.5
  • 7I. Camara↑79’6.3

Unused: M. Kikkenborg, Y. Özcan, H. Augustinsson, I. Kanaté, M. Cvetković

Gent 3-4-2-1

336.9 D. Roef(G)
446.5 S. Van der Heyden 37.9 M. Paskotši 257.3 Hatim Essaouabi ↓59’
87.9 M. Skóraś ↓77’ 156.5 A. Ito ↓77’ 176.3 M. Delorge-Knieper ↓46’ 296.6 J. Duverne
376.7 A. Kadri 66.2 O. Gandelman ↓59’
76.3 A. Kanga
  • 33D. Roef (G)6.9
  • 44S. Van der Heyden6.5
  • 3M. Paskotši7.9
  • 25Hatim Essaouabi↓59’7.3
  • 8M. Skóraś↓77’7.9
  • 15A. Ito↓77’6.5
  • 17M. Delorge-Knieper↓46’6.3
  • 29J. Duverne6.6
  • 37A. Kadri6.7
  • 6O. Gandelman↓59’6.2
  • 7A. Kanga6.3

Substitutes used

  • 22Leonardo Lopes↑46’6.3
  • 18M. Samoise↑59’6.2
  • 45B. Goore↑59’6.0
  • 14D. Vanzeir↑77’6.3
  • 19F. Surdez↑77’6.6

Unused: K. Peersman, Tiago Araújo, M. Sonko, M. El Âdfaoui

Player stats

Top rated
M. StroeykensAnderlecht8.2
2nd
M. PaskotšiGent7.9
3rd
M. SkóraśGent7.9

Anderlecht

Gent

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.