Anderlecht
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Anderlecht were clear favourites.
Anderlecht were the stronger side on L90 Strength (50 vs 21). Anderlecht had ? days of rest, KVC Westerlo ? and had to travel 48 km.
Away travel48 kmMatches / 14d0 · 0
Anderlecht63%
Draw22%
KVC Westerlo15%
Anderlecht63%
Draw22%
KVC Westerlo15%
Anderlecht63%
Draw22%
KVC Westerlo15%
Anderlecht56%
Draw24%
KVC Westerlo20%
Anderlecht63%
Draw22%
KVC Westerlo15%
Over 2.5 55%
Both score 51%
Likeliest score 2–0
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Brussel)
No weather data yet
RefereeSimon Bourdeaud'hui
- Cards per match 3.8
- Penalties per match 0.38
- Matches 8
Team strength
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
50
L90 StrengthIn forecast
21
43
Current StrengthIn forecast
33
37
AttackIn forecast
42
52
DefenceIn forecast
32
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Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisKVC Westerlo
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
AnderlechtKVC Westerlo
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Goals scoredVia Att/Def
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—
Goals concededVia Att/Def
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—
xGVia Att/Def
—
—
xG allowedVia Att/Def
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—
Goals minus xGContext
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—
Scored inContext
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—
Clean sheetsContext
—
—
ShotsContext
—
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
—
—
On target shareContext
—
—
Shots in the boxContext
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—
Box shareContext
—
—
ConversionContext
—
—
OffsidesContext
—
—
Shots allowedContext
—
—
On target allowedVia Att/Def
—
—
BlocksContext
—
—
Goalkeeper savesContext
—
—
Save rateContext
—
—
PossessionIn forecast
—
—
PassesContext
—
—
Accurate passesContext
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Pass accuracyContext
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Team ratingContext
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FoulsContext
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Fouls sufferedContext
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Yellow cardsContext
—
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Red cardsContext
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1.60
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.20
1.70
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.90
1.17
xGVia Att/Def
—
1.26
xG allowedVia Att/Def
—
+0.43
Goals minus xGContext
—
80%
Scored inContext
60%
10%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
12.40
ShotsContext
11.40
4.30
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.44
35%
On target shareContext
35%
7.10
Shots in the boxContext
8.33
57%
Box shareContext
68%
13%
ConversionContext
11%
2.00
OffsidesContext
1.56
11.80
Shots allowedContext
12.10
4.20
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.90
3.00
BlocksContext
4.00
2.60
Goalkeeper savesContext
2.33
62%
Save rateContext
55%
55%
PossessionIn forecast
48%
498
PassesContext
415
419
Accurate passesContext
321
84%
Pass accuracyContext
77%
6.99
Team ratingContext
6.83
10.60
FoulsContext
11.20
14.60
Fouls sufferedContext
12.30
1.60
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Anderlecht
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
KVC Westerlo
Rest—since last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel48 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Anderlecht |
KVC Westerlo |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | — | — |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 48 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 7.1 | 6.1 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Anderlecht
Confirmed XI
26C. Coosemans(G)
6H. Augustinsson
4J. Šimić
3L. Hey
79A. Maamar
24E. Llansana
74N. De Cat
19N. Angulo
11T. Hazard
83T. Degreef
20L. Vázquez
KVC Westerlo
Confirmed XI
99A. Jungdal(G)
25T. Rommens
33R. Neustädter
40E. Bayram
22B. Reynolds
8S. Sydorchuk
34D. Haspolat
77J. Alcócer
13I. Sakamoto
39T. Van den Keybus
9M. Frigan
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Anderlecht
Absences are shown before kick-off
KVC Westerlo
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Anderlecht+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- KVC Westerlo+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Anderlecht · Home
No home games yet this season.
KVC Westerlo · Away
No away games yet this season.
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
2 Anderlecht wins0 draws0 KVC Westerlo wins
Goals per game2.50 – 1.00
Over 2.5100%
Both scored100%
Clean sheets0% · 0%
- 1 Dec 2023KVC Westerlo1–3Anderlecht
- 20 Aug 2023Anderlecht2–1KVC Westerlo
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Anderlecht | KVC Westerlo | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.89 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 51% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
| Anderlecht | KVC Westerlo | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | — | — | |
| Conceded per game | — | — | |
| Match goals | — | — | 2.89 |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | |
| Over 2.5 | — | — | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Both teams scored | — | — | 51% |
| Clean sheets | — | — | |
| Failed to score | — | — | |
| Games | 0 | 0 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Anderlecht | KVC Westerlo | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | — | — | |
| Corners conceded | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 8.75 |
| Over 8.5 | — | — | |
| Over 9.5 | — | — | |
| Over 10.5 | — | — | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | — | — | |
| Opponent cards | — | — | |
| Match total | — | — | 4.25 |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | |
| Anderlecht | KVC Westerlo | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.22 | 4.67 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.89 | 4.78 | |
| Match total | 10.11 | 9.45 | 8.75 |
| Over 8.5 | 67% 6/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 9.5 | 67% 6/9 | 33% 3/9 | |
| Over 10.5 | 56% 5/9 | 22% 2/9 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.20 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.80 | 2.10 | |
| Match total | 4.50 | 4.30 | 4.25 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Simon Bourdeaud'hui 8 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.63league 4.25
Red cards0.13league 0.00
Cards 5+25%league 50%
Fouls24.7league 23.5
Penalties0.38league 0.50
Home wins38%league 0%
AnderlechtNo previous matches with this referee.
KVC Westerlo2 with this referee
Record1-1-0
Cards · opp.7.0 · 2.5
Pens for · against2 · 0
- D27 Jan 24A · Gent2–27
- W4 Nov 23A · OH Leuven2–07
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
AnderlechtKVC WesterloAnderlecht10 games · scored 16 · conceded 17
1
4
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
3
76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 12 · conceded 19
2
4
0-15
3
16-30
2
6
31-45
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
4
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
