Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Jul 27 2025 · 15:00 King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
2–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.20 – 1.31
  • M. Maertens 3’
  • Y. Maziz 79’
  • 90’ A. Bernier
  • 90’ V. Dragsnes
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Charleroi fight back from two goals down

OH Leuven entered as narrow favourites and led 2–0 after 79 minutes through goals from Maertens and Maziz. But Bernier and Dragsnes scored to rescue a draw for Charleroi. The chances were even, with xG of 1.20 and 1.31.

OH Leuven44%
Draw ✓27%
Charleroi29%

Model vs reality

OH Leuven goals
2
Model 1.50 · xG 1.20
Charleroi goals
2
Model 1.18 · xG 1.31
Total goals
4
Model 2.68 · xG 2.51
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. MaertensOH Leuven · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeNathan Verboomen
  • VenueKing Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Timeline

  1. M. Maertens 1–0Assist T. Verlinden
    3’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. M. MaertensYellow card · Foul
    61’
  4. ⇄ C. TerhoFor T. Verlinden
    62’
  5. ⇄ Y. MazizFor M. Maertens
    62’
  6. ⇄ J. PétrisFor Ž. Rogelj
    62’
  7. ⇄ A. DescotteFor N. Štulić
    62’
  8. ⇄ J. RomsaasFor Y. Titraoui
    62’
  9. Óscar GilYellow card · Foul
    70’
  10. ⇄ J. MijatovićFor A. Traoré
    71’
  11. ⇄ A. BernierFor P. Guiagon
    74’
  12. É. CamaraYellow card · Foul
    77’
  13. Y. Maziz 2–0Assist J. Mijatović
    79’
  14. ⇄ M. SowFor É. Camara
    80’
  15. ⇄ N. NsingiFor W. Balikwisha
    87’
  16. A. Bernier 2–1
    90’
  17. V. Dragsnes 2–2
    90’
  18. J. RomsaasYellow card · Foul
    90+5’
  19. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

OH Leuven7 shots · 6 in box, 1 outside
Charleroi15 shots · 13 in box, 2 outside
OH LeuvenCharleroi
44% Possession 56%
1.20 Expected goals (xG) 1.31
1.29 Expected points (xPts) 1.44
7 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
3 Shots off target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 13
1 Shots outside the box 2
338 Passes 419
78% Pass accuracy 83%
4 Corners 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
15 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.80 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

OH Leuven 4-2-3-1

17.3 T. Leysen(G)
306.6 T. Akimoto 56.9 T. Ominami 286.3 E. Pletinckx 276.3 Óscar Gil
86.3 S. Schrijvers 47.2 B. Verstraete
77.2 T. Verlinden A↓62’ 337.7★ M. Maertens ↓62’ 216.6 W. Balikwisha ↓87’
96.7 A. Traoré ↓71’
  • 1T. Leysen (G)7.3
  • 30T. Akimoto6.6
  • 5T. Ominami6.9
  • 28E. Pletinckx6.3
  • 27Óscar Gil6.3
  • 8S. Schrijvers6.3
  • 4B. Verstraete7.2
  • 7T. VerlindenA↓62’7.2
  • 33M. Maertens ★↓62’7.7
  • 21W. Balikwisha↓87’6.6
  • 9A. Traoré↓71’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 20N. Nsingi↑87’6.3
  • 22J. MijatovićA↑71’6.9
  • 11C. Terho↑62’6.5
  • 10Y. Maziz↑62’7.3

Unused: R. Nyakossi, T. Vlietinck, M. Prévot, W. George, R. Monticelli

Charleroi 4-2-3-1

556.2 M. Delavallée(G)
157.5 V. Dragsnes 956.3 C. Keita 47.0 A. Ousou 296.9 Ž. Rogelj ↓62’
56.9 É. Camara ↓80’ 567.0 A. Boukamir
106.9 P. Guiagon ↓74’ 226.3 Y. Titraoui ↓62’ 76.6 I. Mbenza
196.3 N. Štulić ↓62’
  • 55M. Delavallée (G)6.2
  • 15V. Dragsnes7.5
  • 95C. Keita6.3
  • 4A. Ousou7.0
  • 29Ž. Rogelj↓62’6.9
  • 5É. Camara↓80’6.9
  • 56A. Boukamir7.0
  • 10P. Guiagon↓74’6.9
  • 22Y. Titraoui↓62’6.3
  • 7I. Mbenza6.6
  • 19N. Štulić↓62’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 44M. Sow↑80’6.3
  • 17A. Bernier↑74’7.2
  • 98J. Pétris↑62’6.2
  • 99A. Descotte↑62’6.5
  • 8J. Romsaas↑62’6.7

Unused: M. Boukamir, Y. Khalifi, F. Mbemba, M. Koné

Player stats

Top rated
M. MaertensOH Leuven7.7
2nd
V. DragsnesCharleroi7.5
3rd
T. LeysenOH Leuven7.3

OH Leuven

Charleroi

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.