Angers vs Rennes – 31 Aug 2025

Ligue 1 Gameweek 3 Sun, Aug 31 · 14:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers

Angers 10th · 3 pts · 2 played WL

1–1Full time

Rennes 14th · 3 pts · 2 played WL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Rennes were slight favourites.

Rennes were the stronger side on L90 Strength (36 vs 18). Rennes usually keep the ball (47% on average), which points to more chances at both ends. Angers had 8.8 days of rest, Rennes 7 and had to travel 110 km.

Away travel110 kmRest days8.8 · 7Matches / 14d2 · 1

Angers29%

Draw28%

Rennes43%

Expected goals 1.11 – 1.42

Angers30%

Draw27%

Rennes43%

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.49

Angers29%

Draw28%

Rennes43%

Expected goals 1.11 – 1.42

Angers23%

Draw26%

Rennes51%

Expected goals 0.99 – 1.60

Angers30%

Draw27%

Rennes43%

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.49

Over 2.5 47% Both score 52% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Angers)

No weather data yet

Referee · FranceMarc Bollengier

Cards per match 3.4
Penalties per match 0.31
Matches 52

Team strength

Angers

Rennes

18 L90 StrengthIn forecast 36

19 Current StrengthIn forecast 52

22 AttackIn forecast 63

12 DefenceIn forecast 39

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Angers

Attack—

Defense risk—

Rennes

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Angers

Rennes

0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.50

0.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 2.00

0.65 xGVia Att/Def 0.60

1.30 xG allowedVia Att/Def 2.49

-0.15 Goals minus xGContext -0.10

50% Scored inContext 50%

50% Clean sheetsContext 50%

5.50 ShotsContext 8.00

— Shots on targetVia Att/Def 3.00

18% On target shareContext 38%

— Shots in the boxContext —

— Box shareContext —

9% ConversionContext 6%

— OffsidesContext 3.50

19.00 Shots allowedContext 23.00

5.50 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.50

4.00 BlocksContext 8.00

5.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 2.50

91% Save rateContext 56%

25% PossessionIn forecast 39%

237 PassesContext 373

175 Accurate passesContext 310

74% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.94 Team ratingContext 6.71

11.50 FoulsContext 7.50

6.50 Fouls sufferedContext 14.50

1.00 Yellow cardsContext 1.00

0.50 Red cardsContext 1.50

This league season, per match · 2 and 2 games

0.70 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.70

1.20 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

0.67 xGVia Att/Def 1.40

1.54 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.54

+0.03 Goals minus xGContext +0.30

50% Scored inContext 80%

30% Clean sheetsContext 30%

7.60 ShotsContext 11.90

2.75 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50

29% On target shareContext 38%

5.63 Shots in the boxContext 8.50

67% Box shareContext 63%

9% ConversionContext 14%

2.67 OffsidesContext 2.00

14.80 Shots allowedContext 13.30

4.70 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.40

3.80 BlocksContext 3.89

3.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.00

75% Save rateContext 63%

34% PossessionIn forecast 51%

322 PassesContext 462

260 Accurate passesContext 402

81% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.82 Team ratingContext 6.98

11.60 FoulsContext 11.70

9.80 Fouls sufferedContext 11.30

1.50 Yellow cardsContext 1.40

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.30

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Angers

Rest8.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km529 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Rennes

Rest7 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel110 km265 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Angers	Rennes
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	8.8Ligue 1 2025-2026, 22 Aug	7Ligue 1 2025-2026, 24 Aug
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	110 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	529 km	265 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 2 / 2	1 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	14.1	14.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Angers Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

12H. Koffi(G)

3J. Ekomié 21J. Lefort 4O. Camara 2C. Arcus

93H. Belkebla 14Y. Belkhdim

11S. Chérif 6L. Mouton 27L. Rao-Lisoa

35P. Peter

Rennes Confirmed XI

3-5-2

30B. Samba(G)

3L. Brassier 97J. Jacquet 24A. Rouault

26Q. Merlin 8S. Fofana 21V. Rongier 10L. Blas 95P. Frankowski

9E. Lepaul 11Mousa Al Ta'mari

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Angers Absences are shown before kick-off

Rennes Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Angers+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Rennes+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Angers · Home 3.00points per game · 1 home games

W-D-L: 1-0-0
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 0.00

Rennes · Away 0.00points per game · 1 away games

W-D-L: 0-0-1
Scored: 0.00
Conceded: 4.00

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings

1 Angers wins0 draws5 Rennes wins

Goals per game0.83 – 2.17 Over 2.550% Both scored33% Clean sheets17% · 50%

30 Mar 2025Angers0–3Rennes
15 Dec 2024Rennes2–0Angers
30 Apr 2023Rennes4–2Angers
23 Oct 2022Angers1–2Rennes
6 Mar 2022Rennes2–0Angers
29 Aug 2021Angers2–0Rennes

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Angers	Rennes	Forecast
Scored per game	0.50	0.50
Conceded per game	0.50	2.00
Match goals	1.00	2.50	2.54
Over 1.5	0%	50%
Over 2.5	0%	50%	47%
Over 3.5	0%	50%
Both teams scored	0%	0%	52%
Clean sheets	50%	50%
Failed to score	50%	50%
Games	2	2

	Angers	Rennes	Forecast
Scored per game	0.50	0.50
Conceded per game	0.50	2.00
Match goals	1.00	2.50	2.54
Over 1.5	0%	50%
Over 2.5	0%	50%	47%
Over 3.5	0%	50%
Both teams scored	0%	0%	52%
Clean sheets	50%	50%
Failed to score	50%	50%
Games	2	2

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Angers	Rennes	League
Corners
Corners won	3.00	1.50
Corners conceded	7.00	7.00
Match total	10.00	8.50	10.15
Over 8.5	100% 1/1	50% 1/2
Over 9.5	100% 1/1	50% 1/2
Over 10.5	0% 0/1	50% 1/2
Cards
Cards	1.50	2.50
Opponent cards	0.50	4.50
Match total	2.00	7.00	3.75
Over 3.5	50% 1/2	100% 2/2
Over 4.5	0% 0/2	100% 2/2

	Angers	Rennes	League
Corners
Corners won	4.44	4.44
Corners conceded	4.56	5.33
Match total	9.00	9.77	10.15
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	78% 7/9
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	56% 5/9
Over 10.5	22% 2/9	44% 4/9
Cards
Cards	1.60	1.70
Opponent cards	1.40	2.40
Match total	3.00	4.10	3.75
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	50% 5/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Marc Bollengier France · 52 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.17league 3.32

Red cards0.27league 0.27

Cards 5+25%league 36%

Fouls26.0league 23.4

Penalties0.31league 0.50

Home wins38%league 64%

Angers4 with this referee

Record1-0-3 Cards · opp.1.5 · 1.3 Pens for · against1 · 1

L5 Apr 25A · Paris Saint Germain0–13
L7 Dec 24H · Lyon0–30
W26 Oct 24H · Saint Etienne4–21
L29 Jan 23A · Stade Brestois 290–42

Rennes4 with this referee

Record3-0-1 Cards · opp.0.3 · 1.5 Pens for · against3 · 0

L26 Apr 25A · Lyon1–40
W21 Feb 25H · Reims1–01
W30 Nov 24H · Saint Etienne5–00
W1 Feb 23H · Strasbourg3–00

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.