Angers vs Strasbourg – 10 May 2026

Ligue 1 Gameweek 33 Sun, May 10 · 20:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers

Angers 13th · 34 pts · 32 played DLDLL

1–1Full time

Strasbourg 8th · 46 pts · 31 played WWLWL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

Strasbourg were slight favourites.

Strasbourg were the stronger side on L90 Strength (46 vs 19). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Angers. Angers had 7.2 days of rest, Strasbourg 7.2 and had to travel 629 km.

Away travel629 kmRest days7.2 · 7.2Matches / 14d1 · 1

Angers30%

Draw26%

Strasbourg44%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.57

Angers26%

Draw26%

Strasbourg48%

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.60

Angers30%

Draw26%

Strasbourg44%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.57

Angers24%

Draw25%

Strasbourg52%

Expected goals 1.12 – 1.76

Angers31%

Draw26%

Strasbourg43%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.57

Over 2.5 54% Both score 57% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Angers)

No weather data yet

Referee · FranceHakim Ben el Salem Hadj

Cards per match 3.7
Penalties per match 0.38
Matches 13

Team strength

Angers

Strasbourg

19 L90 StrengthIn forecast 46

19 Current StrengthIn forecast 45

22 AttackIn forecast 40

12 DefenceIn forecast 37

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Angers

Attack—

Defense risk—

Strasbourg

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Angers

Strasbourg

0.84 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.61

1.44 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.32

0.90 xGVia Att/Def 1.42

1.59 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.25

-0.06 Goals minus xGContext +0.19

63% Scored inContext 81%

31% Clean sheetsContext 29%

8.81 ShotsContext 10.77

3.45 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.53

36% On target shareContext 41%

5.71 Shots in the boxContext 7.57

60% Box shareContext 68%

10% ConversionContext 15%

2.04 OffsidesContext 2.00

14.00 Shots allowedContext 12.03

5.45 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.53

2.84 BlocksContext 3.28

4.00 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.17

74% Save rateContext 70%

42% PossessionIn forecast 54%

395 PassesContext 509

329 Accurate passesContext 450

83% Pass accuracyContext 88%

6.73 Team ratingContext 6.85

10.75 FoulsContext 11.06

10.88 Fouls sufferedContext 12.35

1.47 Yellow cardsContext 1.74

0.03 Red cardsContext 0.13

This league season, per match · 32 and 31 games

0.50 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.50

1.90 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.50

0.91 xGVia Att/Def 1.27

1.71 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.45

-0.41 Goals minus xGContext +0.23

50% Scored inContext 60%

20% Clean sheetsContext 10%

8.20 ShotsContext 10.30

3.00 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.44

33% On target shareContext 39%

6.38 Shots in the boxContext 6.89

67% Box shareContext 61%

6% ConversionContext 15%

2.57 OffsidesContext 2.44

14.90 Shots allowedContext 16.10

6.30 On target allowedVia Att/Def 6.22

2.80 BlocksContext 4.40

4.50 Goalkeeper savesContext 4.44

71% Save rateContext 71%

40% PossessionIn forecast 57%

365 PassesContext 489

301 Accurate passesContext 426

83% Pass accuracyContext 87%

6.65 Team ratingContext 6.87

10.70 FoulsContext 10.60

10.70 Fouls sufferedContext 14.00

1.70 Yellow cardsContext 2.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Angers

Rest7.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km622 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Strasbourg

Rest7.2 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel629 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Angers	Strasbourg
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.2Ligue 1 2025-2026, 3 May	7.2Ligue 1 2025-2026, 3 May
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	629 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	622 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 3	0 / 1 / 3
Next matchdays after this one	7	2.9

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Angers Confirmed XI

3-5-1-1

12H. Koffi(G)

21J. Lefort 4O. Camara 20Marius Louer

3J. Ekomié 93H. Belkebla 8B. van den Boomen 15P. Capelle 27L. Rao-Lisoa

6L. Mouton

35P. Peter

+4 more reported missing outside this XI

Strasbourg Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

39M. Penders(G)

42A. Ouattara 6I. Doukouré 24L. Høgsberg 22G. Doué

8M. Oyedele 17M. Amougou

20B. Godo 19J. Enciso 27S. Amo-Ameyaw

34Y. Dieme

+7 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Angers Scores -0.04 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Strasbourg Scores -0.02 · concedes +0.04 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Angers+0.1 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Strasbourg-0.1 pp

Home / Away this season

Angers · Home 1.38points per game · 16 home games

W-D-L: 6-4-6
Scored: 1.06
Conceded: 1.19

Strasbourg · Away 1.27points per game · 15 away games

W-D-L: 5-4-6
Scored: 1.67
Conceded: 1.73

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 16 this season

Opponent	Angers	Strasbourg
Auxerre	L 1–3 AW 2–0 H	D 0–0 AW 3–0 H
Paris Saint Germain	L 0–3 HL 0–1 A	L 1–2 HD 3–3 A
LE Havre	D 1–1 HL 1–2 A	L 1–2 AW 1–0 H
Rennes	L 1–2 AD 1–1 H	L 0–3 HL 1–4 A
Lyon	D 0–0 HL 0–1 A	W 3–1 HL 1–2 A
Lens	L 1–5 AL 1–2 H	D 1–1 HL 0–1 A
Nice	L 0–2 HW 1–0 A	W 3–1 HD 1–1 A
Nantes	W 1–0 AW 4–1 H	W 3–2 AW 1–0 H
Monaco	L 0–2 AD 1–1 H	L 2–3 A
Lille	L 0–1 HL 0–1 A	W 4–1 AW 2–0 H
Lorient	L 0–2 AW 2–0 H	W 3–2 AD 0–0 H
Toulouse	W 1–0 HW 1–0 A	L 1–2 HL 0–1 A
Metz	W 1–0 HD 1–1 A	W 2–1 HW 1–0 A
Paris FC	D 0–0 AW 1–0 H	D 0–0 HW 3–2 A
Marseille	L 2–5 HD 2–2 A	D 2–2 AL 1–2 H
Stade Brestois 29	L 0–2 H	L 1–2 H
Points	34 of 93 · 1.10 per game	43 of 90 · 1.43 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 7 of 7 meetings

2 Angers wins1 draws4 Strasbourg wins

Goals per game1.14 – 1.86 Over 2.557% Both scored57% Clean sheets14% · 29%

5 Oct 2025Strasbourg5–0Angers
10 May 2025Angers2–1Strasbourg
15 Sep 2024Strasbourg1–1Angers
18 Feb 2023Strasbourg2–1Angers
9 Oct 2022Angers2–3Strasbourg
13 Feb 2022Angers0–1Strasbourg

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Angers	Strasbourg	Forecast
Scored per game	0.84	1.61
Conceded per game	1.44	1.32
Match goals	2.28	2.94	2.83
Over 1.5	63%	74%
Over 2.5	31%	65%	54%
Over 3.5	19%	35%
Both teams scored	38%	61%	57%
Clean sheets	31%	29%
Failed to score	38%	19%
Games	32	31

	Angers	Strasbourg	Forecast
Scored per game	0.50	1.60
Conceded per game	1.90	1.40
Match goals	2.40	3.00	2.83
Over 1.5	70%	80%
Over 2.5	40%	70%	54%
Over 3.5	20%	50%
Both teams scored	40%	70%	57%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	50%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Angers	Strasbourg	League
Corners
Corners won	3.58	4.00
Corners conceded	4.97	4.79
Match total	8.55	8.79	9.31
Over 8.5	45% 14/31	55% 16/29
Over 9.5	32% 10/31	38% 11/29
Over 10.5	19% 6/31	34% 10/29
Cards
Cards	1.53	1.94
Opponent cards	1.28	1.90
Match total	2.81	3.84	3.95
Over 3.5	38% 12/32	68% 21/31
Over 4.5	13% 4/32	29% 9/31

	Angers	Strasbourg	League
Corners
Corners won	3.50	4.20
Corners conceded	5.70	6.20
Match total	9.20	10.40	9.31
Over 8.5	50% 5/10	80% 8/10
Over 9.5	30% 3/10	70% 7/10
Over 10.5	20% 2/10	60% 6/10
Cards
Cards	1.80	2.00
Opponent cards	1.30	2.30
Match total	3.10	4.30	3.95
Over 3.5	40% 4/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	20% 2/10	40% 4/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Hakim Ben el Salem Hadj France · 13 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards3.31league 3.68

Red cards0.38league 0.27

Cards 5+31%league 36%

Fouls21.7league 23.6

Penalties0.38league 0.37

Home wins54%league 47%

Angers4 with this referee

Record1-0-3 Cards · opp.0.8 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 1

L4 Jan 26A · LE Havre1–21
W7 Dec 25A · Nice1–01
L22 Aug 25A · Paris Saint Germain0–10
L27 Apr 25H · Lille0–21

Strasbourg1 with this referee

Record1-0-0 Cards · opp.1.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

W3 May 25H · Paris Saint Germain2–11

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.