Ligue 1 Gameweek 33 Sun, May 10 2026 · 20:00 Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.19 – 1.54
  • D. Methalie 10’
  • W. Kamanzi 78’
  • A. Dønnum 79’
  • 71’ C. Tolisso
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Toulouse beat Lyon

Lyon entered as narrow favourites, but Toulouse won 2–1 through goals from Methalie and Kamanzi. Lyon replied through a Tolisso goal. Toulouse played with ten men from the 79th minute after Dønnum was sent off. Toulouse won despite the lower xG; Lyon created the better chances (1.54 vs 1.19). On the chances created, Lyon deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Toulouse ✓30%
Draw27%
Lyon43%

Model vs reality

Toulouse goals
2
Model 1.21 · xG 1.19
Lyon goals
1
Model 1.49 · xG 1.54
Total goals
3
Model 2.71 · xG 2.73
Score 2–1
7%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. GbohoToulouse · 1 assist
7.9
  • RefereeBastien Dechepy
  • VenueStadium de Toulouse
  • Table before kick-offToulouse 10th · Lyon 3rd

Timeline

  1. D. Methalie 1–0Assist G. Gboho
    10’
  2. A. DønnumYellow card · Foul
    26’
  3. D. MethalieYellow card · Roughing
    44’
  4. A. VossahYellow card · Diving
    45+2’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. M. McKenzieYellow card · Tripping
    46’
  7. EndrickYellow card · Foul
    57’
  8. C. CresswellYellow card · Roughing
    58’
  9. ⇄ W. KamanziFor D. Methalie
    60’
  10. ⇄ Pape DiopFor A. Vossah
    61’
  11. ⇄ EmersonnFor J. Russell-Rowe
    61’
  12. ⇄ P. ŠulcFor Khalis Merah
    67’
  13. R. YaremchukYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    70’
  14. C. Tolisso 1–1Assist Endrick
    71’
  15. W. Kamanzi 2–1Assist S. Hidalgo
    78’
  16. A. DønnumSecond yellow · Holding
    79’
  17. ⇄ D. SidibéFor S. Hidalgo
    82’
  18. ⇄ N. NarteyFor T. Morton
    83’
  19. ⇄ E. NuamahFor R. Yaremchuk
    83’
  20. ⇄ M. FofanaFor A. Maitland-Niles
    89’
  21. ⇄ S. KoumbassaFor G. Gboho
    90+1’
  22. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Toulouse14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
Lyon18 shots · 13 in box, 5 outside
ToulouseLyon
39% Possession 61%
1.19 Expected goals (xG) 1.54
1.13 Expected points (xPts) 1.61
14 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 3
5 Shots off target 7
3 Blocked shots 8
10 Shots inside the box 13
4 Shots outside the box 5
304 Passes 480
82% Pass accuracy 87%
7 Corners 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
20 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
7.03 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Toulouse 3-4-2-1

16.7 G. Restes(G)
27.5 R. Nicolaisen 47.3 C. Cresswell 36.9 M. McKenzie
247.6 D. Methalie ↓60’ 237.3 C. Cásseres 456.2 A. Vossah ↓61’ 156.3 A. Dønnum
107.9★ G. Gboho A↓90’ 117.2 S. Hidalgo A↓82’
136.2 J. Russell-Rowe ↓61’
  • 1G. Restes (G)6.7
  • 2R. Nicolaisen7.5
  • 4C. Cresswell7.3
  • 3M. McKenzie6.9
  • 24D. Methalie↓60’7.6
  • 23C. Cásseres7.3
  • 45A. Vossah↓61’6.2
  • 15A. Dønnum6.3
  • 10G. Gboho ★A↓90’7.9
  • 11S. HidalgoA↓82’7.2
  • 13J. Russell-Rowe↓61’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 19D. Sidibé↑82’6.5
  • 35S. Koumbassa↑90’
  • 18Pape Diop↑61’6.3
  • 12W. Kamanzi↑60’7.3
  • 20Emersonn↑61’6.9

Unused: C. Haug, A. Francis, Julián Vignolo, Ilyas Azizi

Lyon 4-2-3-1

17.2 D. Greif(G)
166.3 Abner 197.9 M. Niakhaté 226.5 Clinton Mata 986.9 A. Maitland-Niles ↓89’
87.9 C. Tolisso 236.9 T. Morton ↓83’
177.3 Afonso Moreira 446.5 Khalis Merah ↓67’ 96.5 Endrick A
776.2 R. Yaremchuk ↓83’
  • 1D. Greif (G)7.2
  • 16Abner6.3
  • 19M. Niakhaté7.9
  • 22Clinton Mata6.5
  • 98A. Maitland-Niles↓89’6.9
  • 8C. Tolisso7.9
  • 23T. Morton↓83’6.9
  • 17Afonso Moreira7.3
  • 44Khalis Merah↓67’6.5
  • 9EndrickA6.5
  • 77R. Yaremchuk↓83’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 11M. Fofana↑89’
  • 99N. Nartey↑83’6.3
  • 37E. Nuamah↑83’6.7
  • 10P. Šulc↑67’6.2

Unused: R. Descamps, H. Hateboer, N. Tagliafico, R. Kluivert, Mathys de Carvalho

Player stats

Top rated
G. GbohoToulouse7.9
2nd
M. NiakhatéLyon7.9
3rd
C. TolissoLyon7.9

Toulouse

Lyon

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.