Antalyaspor vs Gazişehir Gaziantep – 13 Mar 2026

Süper Lig Gameweek 26 Fri, Mar 13 · 17:00 Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya

Antalyaspor 14th · 24 pts · 25 played LWLDL

1–4Full time

Gazişehir Gaziantep 10th · 30 pts · 25 played WLLDD

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

The two sides are close in strength. Antalyaspor had 5.3 days of rest, Gazişehir Gaziantep 5.3 and had to travel 594 km.

Away travel594 kmRest days5.3 · 5.3Matches / 14d2 · 2

Antalyaspor37%

Draw28%

Gazişehir Gaziantep35%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.22

Antalyaspor38%

Draw27%

Gazişehir Gaziantep35%

Expected goals 1.37 – 1.30

Antalyaspor37%

Draw29%

Gazişehir Gaziantep35%

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.21

Antalyaspor30%

Draw28%

Gazişehir Gaziantep42%

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.37

Antalyaspor37%

Draw28%

Gazişehir Gaziantep35%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.23

Over 2.5 46% Both score 52% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Antalya)

No weather data yet

Referee · TürkiyeGurcan Hasova

Cards per match 6.0
Penalties per match 0.67
Matches 3

Team strength

Antalyaspor

Gazişehir Gaziantep

14 L90 StrengthIn forecast 19

13 Current StrengthIn forecast 16

11 AttackIn forecast 15

14 DefenceIn forecast 18

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Antalyaspor

Attack—

Defense risk—

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Antalyaspor

Gazişehir Gaziantep

0.96 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.24

1.56 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.64

0.75 xGVia Att/Def 1.25

1.40 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.41

+0.21 Goals minus xGContext -0.01

64% Scored inContext 72%

20% Clean sheetsContext 20%

8.32 ShotsContext 12.76

3.42 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.38

39% On target shareContext 33%

5.50 Shots in the boxContext 7.76

63% Box shareContext 60%

12% ConversionContext 10%

2.09 OffsidesContext 1.79

13.60 Shots allowedContext 13.48

4.72 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.96

3.08 BlocksContext 3.40

3.20 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.29

68% Save rateContext 64%

44% PossessionIn forecast 51%

327 PassesContext 379

257 Accurate passesContext 313

78% Pass accuracyContext 83%

6.73 Team ratingContext 6.80

11.80 FoulsContext 13.04

14.08 Fouls sufferedContext 16.56

2.12 Yellow cardsContext 3.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.16

This league season, per match · 25 and 25 games

1.00 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 0.80

1.40 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.70

0.79 xGVia Att/Def 1.06

1.45 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.29

+0.21 Goals minus xGContext -0.26

60% Scored inContext 70%

10% Clean sheetsContext 10%

8.90 ShotsContext 11.80

2.80 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.00

32% On target shareContext 31%

5.30 Shots in the boxContext 7.60

59% Box shareContext 64%

11% ConversionContext 7%

2.22 OffsidesContext 1.56

11.90 Shots allowedContext 13.30

4.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.90

3.00 BlocksContext 3.80

2.90 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.22

71% Save rateContext 60%

44% PossessionIn forecast 47%

310 PassesContext 341

236 Accurate passesContext 274

76% Pass accuracyContext 80%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.70

11.80 FoulsContext 13.20

13.78 Fouls sufferedContext 16.90

1.80 Yellow cardsContext 3.00

0.00 Red cardsContext 0.20

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Antalyaspor

Rest5.3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel0 km1,928 km in 14d

Schedule load5%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Gazişehir Gaziantep

Rest5.3 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d2all competitions

Travel594 km956 km in 14d

Schedule load6%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Antalyaspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 5	Low · 6
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	5.3Süper Lig 2025-2026, 8 Mar	5.3Süper Lig 2025-2026, 8 Mar
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	594 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,928 km	956 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	1 / 2 / 4	1 / 2 / 4
Next matchdays after this one	5	4

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Antalyaspor Confirmed XI

4-3-3

1Julián(G)

3K. Paal 4H. Türkmen 89V. Sarı 7B. Balcı

88D. Šarić 23Jesper Ceesay 6S. Dikmen

26N. Storm 22S. van de Streek 11S. Ballet

+3 more reported missing outside this XI

Gazişehir Gaziantep Confirmed XI

5-3-2

71M. Bozan(G)

11C. Lungoyi 4A. Kızıldağ 14L. Abena 30N. Sangaré 2Luis Pérez

17K. Gassama 61O. Özçiçek 10K. Kozłowski

44A. Maxim 9M. Bayo

+6 more reported missing outside this XI

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Antalyaspor Scores -0.01 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Gazişehir Gaziantep Scores 0.00 · concedes +0.02 goals Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Antalyaspor+0.0 pp
Draw-0.2 pp
Gazişehir Gaziantep+0.2 pp

Home / Away this season

Antalyaspor · Home 1.00points per game · 12 home games

W-D-L: 3-3-6
Scored: 1.42
Conceded: 2.25

Gazişehir Gaziantep · Away 1.17points per game · 12 away games

W-D-L: 3-5-4
Scored: 1.17
Conceded: 1.58

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 16 this season

Opponent	Antalyaspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep
Rizespor	L 0–1 AL 2–5 H	D 2–2 H
Fenerbahce	D 2–2 HL 0–2 A	L 0–4 H
Kayserispor	L 0–1 AD 1–1 H	W 3–0 A
Samsunspor	W 3–1 HW 2–1 A	D 0–0 AD 2–2 H
Fatih Karagümrük	L 0–1 AL 1–2 H	D 1–1 HW 2–0 A
Trabzonspor	D 1–1 HL 0–1 A	L 1–2 HD 1–1 A
Genclerbirligi	W 2–1 HW 1–0 A	L 1–2 AW 2–1 H
Kasimpasa	D 0–0 AW 2–1 H	W 2–1 HW 3–2 A
Kocaelispor	L 1–2 A	L 0–3 AW 2–0 H
Galatasaray	L 1–4 H	D 1–1 AL 0–3 H
Alanyaspor	D 0–0 A	D 0–0 A
Goztepe	L 1–2 H	L 0–1 H
Konyaspor	D 0–0 A	D 1–1 HL 0–3 A
Besiktas	L 1–3 H	D 2–2 A
Eyüpspor	W 1–0 A	L 1–2 H
Istanbul Basaksehir	L 0–4 H	L 1–5 A
Points	24 of 72 · 1.00 per game	27 of 72 · 1.13 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 5 of 5 meetings

1 Antalyaspor wins1 draws3 Gazişehir Gaziantep wins

Goals per game0.60 – 1.20 Over 2.520% Both scored20% Clean sheets40% · 60%

19 Oct 2025Gazişehir Gaziantep3–2Antalyaspor
18 May 2025Antalyaspor0–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
22 Dec 2024Gazişehir Gaziantep2–0Antalyaspor
4 Mar 2024Antalyaspor1–0Gazişehir Gaziantep
21 Oct 2023Gazişehir Gaziantep1–0Antalyaspor

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Antalyaspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Forecast
Scored per game	0.96	1.24
Conceded per game	1.56	1.64
Match goals	2.52	2.88	2.50
Over 1.5	64%	88%
Over 2.5	52%	64%	46%
Over 3.5	28%	28%
Both teams scored	56%	60%	52%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	36%	28%
Games	25	25

	Antalyaspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep	Forecast
Scored per game	1.00	0.80
Conceded per game	1.40	1.70
Match goals	2.40	2.50	2.50
Over 1.5	60%	80%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	46%
Over 3.5	30%	10%
Both teams scored	60%	70%	52%
Clean sheets	10%	10%
Failed to score	40%	30%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Antalyaspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep	League
Corners
Corners won	3.80	5.17
Corners conceded	5.80	5.04
Match total	9.60	10.21	9.36
Over 8.5	60% 15/25	54% 13/24
Over 9.5	60% 15/25	42% 10/24
Over 10.5	40% 10/25	42% 10/24
Cards
Cards	2.20	3.20
Opponent cards	2.28	3.08
Match total	4.48	6.28	4.67
Over 3.5	64% 16/25	88% 22/25
Over 4.5	44% 11/25	76% 19/25

	Antalyaspor	Gazişehir Gaziantep	League
Corners
Corners won	3.80	4.70
Corners conceded	6.50	5.70
Match total	10.30	10.40	9.36
Over 8.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 9.5	70% 7/10	50% 5/10
Over 10.5	50% 5/10	50% 5/10
Cards
Cards	1.80	3.30
Opponent cards	2.30	2.40
Match total	4.10	5.70	4.67
Over 3.5	70% 7/10	90% 9/10
Over 4.5	40% 4/10	70% 7/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Gurcan Hasova Türkiye · 3 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards5.67league 4.44

Red cards0.33league 0.21

Cards 5+100%league 45%

Fouls22.0league 26.0

Penalties0.67league 0.27

Home wins33%league 37%

Antalyaspor1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.3.0 · 3.0 Pens for · against0 · 0

L19 Dec 25A · Kocaelispor1–23

Gazişehir Gaziantep

No previous matches with this referee.

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.