Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 17:15 Bosuilstadion, Deurne
First leg0–1 1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.97 – 0.64
  • A. Valencia 51’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Valencia goal decides it for Antwerp

St. Truiden entered as narrow favourites, but Antwerp won 1–0 through a Valencia goal. Antwerp finished with the higher xG (0.97 vs 0.64). On the chances created, St. Truiden deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Antwerp ✓32%
Draw27%
St. Truiden41%

Model vs reality

Antwerp goals
1
Model 1.25 · xG 0.97
St. Truiden goals
0
Model 1.45 · xG 0.64
Total goals
1
Model 2.70 · xG 1.61
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchA. ValenciaAntwerp · 1 goal
7.5
  • RefereeWesli De Cremer
  • VenueBosuilstadion
  • Table before kick-offAntwerp 11th · St. Truiden 2nd

Timeline

  1. A. MujaYellow card
    3’
  2. V. JanssenYellow card · misses next match
    26’
  3. Z. Van Den BoschYellow card · misses next match
    45’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. A. Valencia 1–0
    51’
  6. ⇄ T. HataFor S. Jukleroed
    59’
  7. ⇄ Kaito MatsuzawaFor A. Muja
    59’
  8. ⇄ R. MerlenFor A. Sissako
    72’
  9. ⇄ O. DioufFor R. Ito
    84’
  10. ⇄ L. SchelfhoutFor S. Renders
    85’
  11. ⇄ Y. HamdaouiFor A. Valencia
    85’
  12. ⇄ Orseer AchihiFor G. Kerk
    90+2’
  13. ⇄ G. VandeplasFor V. Janssen
    90+2’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Antwerp12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
St. Truiden10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
AntwerpSt. Truiden
30% Possession 70%
0.97 Expected goals (xG) 0.64
1.61 Expected points (xPts) 1.05
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
4 Shots off target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
8 Shots inside the box 4
4 Shots outside the box 6
232 Passes 544
68% Pass accuracy 86%
3 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 6.77

Line-ups

Antwerp 3-4-2-1

417.2 Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
237.2 G. Bijl 46.9 Yuto Tsunashima 337.2 Z. Van Den Bosch
56.6 D. Foulon 306.9 C. Scott 87.3 D. Praet 176.7 S. Renders ↓85’
76.2 G. Kerk ↓90’ 147.5★ A. Valencia ↓85’
186.6 V. Janssen ↓90’
  • 41Taishi Brandon Nozawa (G)7.2
  • 23G. Bijl7.2
  • 4Yuto Tsunashima6.9
  • 33Z. Van Den Bosch7.2
  • 5D. Foulon6.6
  • 30C. Scott6.9
  • 8D. Praet7.3
  • 17S. Renders↓85’6.7
  • 7G. Kerk↓90’6.2
  • 14A. Valencia ★↓85’7.5
  • 18V. Janssen↓90’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 43Y. Hamdaoui↑85’6.6
  • 79G. Vandeplas↑90’
  • 76Orseer Achihi↑90’

Unused: Y. Thoelen, E. Tuypens, M. Diawara, Xander Dierickx, I. Babadi

St. Truiden 4-3-3

167.3 L. Kokubo(G)
186.2 S. Juklerød 47.2 L. Mbe Soh 57.3 S. Taniguchi 606.3 R. Vanwesemael
87.0 A. Sissako ↓72’ 136.7 R. Ito ↓84’ 66.9 R. Yamamoto
106.7 I. Sebaoui 426.2 Keisuke Goto 76.5 A. Muja ↓59’
  • 16L. Kokubo (G)7.3
  • 18S. Juklerød6.2
  • 4L. Mbe Soh7.2
  • 5S. Taniguchi7.3
  • 60R. Vanwesemael6.3
  • 8A. Sissako↓72’7.0
  • 13R. Ito↓84’6.7
  • 6R. Yamamoto6.9
  • 10I. Sebaoui6.7
  • 42Keisuke Goto6.2
  • 7A. Muja↓59’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 3T. Hata↑59’6.5
  • 14R. Merlen↑72’6.9
  • 38Kaito Matsuzawa↑59’7.3

Unused: M. Lendfers, J. Pupe, W. Janssens, I. Delpupo, A. Diriken, O. Diouf

Player stats

Top rated
A. ValenciaAntwerp7.5
2nd
D. PraetAntwerp7.3
3rd
L. KokuboSt. Truiden7.3

Antwerp

St. Truiden

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.