Primeira Liga Gameweek 28 Mon, Apr 6 2026 · 18:45 Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Arouca
3–2 Full time · HT 2–2 xG 1.98 – 1.00
Estoril
  • Barbero 13’
  • José Fontán 45+2’
  • Pablo Gozálbez 55’
  • 3’ Xeka
  • 32’ Y. Begraoui
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arouca come from behind to beat Estoril

Arouca entered as favourites, yet Estoril led 1–0 after 3 minutes through a Xeka goal. But Barbero, Fontán and Gozálbez scored to turn it around for Arouca, who won 3–2. Arouca finished with the higher xG (1.98 vs 1.00). On the chances created, Estoril deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Arouca ✓48%
Draw26%
Estoril26%

Model vs reality

Arouca goals
3
Model 1.60 · xG 1.98
Estoril goals
2
Model 1.11 · xG 1.00
Total goals
5
Model 2.71 · xG 2.98
Score 3–2
3%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBarberoArouca · 1 goal · 1 assist
8.0
  • RefereeAntonio Nobre
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Table before kick-offArouca 12th · Estoril 7th

Timeline

  1. Xeka 0–1Assist João Carvalho
    3’
  2. Barbero 1–1Assist N. Djouahra
    13’
  3. J. HolsgroveYellow card
    23’
  4. Y. Begraoui 1–2Assist André Lacximicant
    32’
  5. José Fontán 2–2Assist Barbero
    45+2’
  6. Half time · 2–2
  7. Pablo Gozálbez 3–2Assist Tiago Esgaio
    55’
  8. Pablo GozálbezYellow card
    56’
  9. ⇄ A. MarquésFor Xeka
    65’
  10. ⇄ PizziFor João Carvalho
    65’
  11. ⇄ Pedro CarvalhoFor Pedro Amaral
    65’
  12. André LacximicantYellow card
    71’
  13. ⇄ PeixinhoFor André Lacximicant
    74’
  14. ⇄ Miguel PucheFor Pablo Gozálbez
    77’
  15. ⇄ Pedro SantosFor Barbero
    83’
  16. ⇄ Brian MansillaFor T. Fukui
    83’
  17. ⇄ F. MayuluFor N. Djouahra
    90’
  18. ⇄ Mateo FloresFor Lee Hyun-Ju
    90’
  19. I. de ArruabarrenaYellow card · misses next match
    90+1’
  20. Miguel PucheYellow card
    90+7’
  21. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Arouca12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
Estoril11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
AroucaEstoril
46% Possession 54%
1.98 Expected goals (xG) 1.00
2.02 Expected points (xPts) 0.77
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 7
3 Shots outside the box 4
413 Passes 482
82% Pass accuracy 83%
3 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 6.46

Line-ups

Arouca 4-2-3-1

125.6 I. de Arruabarrena(G)
256.7 B. Kuipers 37.2 José Fontán 156.6 Javi Sánchez 287.0 Tiago Esgaio A
216.9 T. Fukui ↓83’ 226.7 E. van Ee
77.7 N. Djouahra A↓90’ 146.9 Lee Hyun-Ju ↓90’ 107.2 Pablo Gozálbez ↓77’
178.0★ Barbero A↓83’
  • 12I. de Arruabarrena (G)5.6
  • 25B. Kuipers6.7
  • 3José Fontán7.2
  • 15Javi Sánchez6.6
  • 28Tiago EsgaioA7.0
  • 21T. Fukui↓83’6.9
  • 22E. van Ee6.7
  • 7N. DjouahraA↓90’7.7
  • 14Lee Hyun-Ju↓90’6.9
  • 10Pablo Gozálbez↓77’7.2
  • 17Barbero ★A↓83’8.0

Substitutes used

  • 9F. Mayulu↑90’
  • 46Mateo Flores↑90’
  • 11Miguel Puche↑77’6.5
  • 89Pedro Santos↑83’6.6
  • 24Brian Mansilla↑83’6.3

Unused: B. Popović, Diogo Monteiro, João Valido, A. Dante

Estoril 4-3-1-2

15.9 Joel Robles(G)
245.7 Pedro Amaral ↓65’ 256.3 F. Bacher 56.0 A. Tsoungui 26.2 Ricard Sánchez
106.9 J. Holsgrove 87.5 Xeka ↓65’ 66.3 Jandro Orellana
126.3 João Carvalho A↓65’
196.5 André Lacximicant A↓74’ 147.6 Y. Begraoui
  • 1Joel Robles (G)5.9
  • 24Pedro Amaral↓65’5.7
  • 25F. Bacher6.3
  • 5A. Tsoungui6.0
  • 2Ricard Sánchez6.2
  • 10J. Holsgrove6.9
  • 8Xeka↓65’7.5
  • 6Jandro Orellana6.3
  • 12João CarvalhoA↓65’6.3
  • 19André LacximicantA↓74’6.5
  • 14Y. Begraoui7.6

Substitutes used

  • 22Pedro Carvalho↑65’6.3
  • 70Peixinho↑74’6.5
  • 9A. Marqués↑65’6.3
  • 21Pizzi↑65’6.5

Unused: Luís Gomes, M. Turk, Diogo Dias, N. Lominadze

Player stats

Top rated
BarberoArouca8.0
2nd
N. DjouahraArouca7.7
3rd
Y. BegraouiEstoril7.6

Arouca

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. de Arruabarrena G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 63% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.6
B. Kuipers D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 15 3 0 0/1 0/2 6.7
José Fontán D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 84% 57 1 1 0/0 1/0 7.2
Javi Sánchez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 52 1 3 0/0 0/1 6.6
Tiago Esgaio D 90 0 1 1 (0) 2 78% 36 0 1 0/0 2/1 7.0
T. Fukui M 83 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 40 0 2 0/0 0/1 6.9
E. van Ee M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 48 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
N. Djouahra F 90 0 1 0 (0) 4 83% 23 1 1 1/3 0/1 7.7
Lee Hyun-Ju M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 33 0 1 1/2 4/6 6.9
Pablo Gozálbez M 77 1 0 2 (1) 0 75% 24 4 1 0/1 0/1 7.2
Barbero F 83 1 1 4 (2) 1 86% 14 0 0 0/0 3/1 8.0
F. Mayulu F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 1/1 0/0 —
Mateo Flores M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Miguel Puche F 13 0 0 2 (0) 0 83% 6 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.5
Pedro Santos M 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.6
Brian Mansilla F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3

Estoril

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Joel Robles G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 80% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.9
Pedro Amaral D 65 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 27 0 0 0/1 0/0 5.7
F. Bacher D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 74 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
A. Tsoungui D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 59 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.0
Ricard Sánchez D 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 94% 31 3 0 1/2 1/1 6.2
J. Holsgrove M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 79% 90 0 1 0/0 2/1 6.9
Xeka M 65 1 0 1 (1) 0 78% 36 2 1 0/0 2/1 7.5
Jandro Orellana M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 39 0 2 0/1 4/2 6.3
João Carvalho M 65 0 1 1 (0) 2 68% 28 1 0 2/3 1/1 6.3
André Lacximicant F 74 0 1 2 (1) 1 70% 10 0 0 0/1 3/0 6.5
Y. Begraoui F 90 1 0 3 (1) 0 77% 26 1 0 4/4 1/1 7.6
Pedro Carvalho D 25 0 0 1 (0) 2 86% 7 1 0 0/2 1/1 6.3
Peixinho F 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.5
A. Marqués F 25 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 9 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
Pizzi M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 12 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.