Primeira Liga Gameweek 8 Sun, Oct 11 2026 · 20:30 Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Arouca
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.78 – 1.48
Estrela
  • Barbero 5’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Barbero goal decides it for Arouca

Arouca entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Barbero goal. Arouca won despite the lower xG; Estrela created the better chances (1.48 vs 0.78). On the chances created, Estrela deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Arouca ✓54%
Draw22%
Estrela23%

Model vs reality

Arouca goals
1
Model 1.91 · xG 0.78
Estrela goals
0
Model 1.19 · xG 1.48
Total goals
1
Model 3.10 · xG 2.26
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. DjouahraArouca · 1 assist
7.7
  • RefereeLuis Carlos Mateus Filipe
  • Coaches— · Pepa
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Table before kick-offArouca 6th · Estrela 9th

Timeline

  1. Barbero 1–0Assist N. Djouahra
    5’
  2. ✕ I. StoicaMissed penalty
    45+4’
  3. Pablo GozálbezYellow card · Foul
    45+6’
  4. BarberoYellow card · Not Retreating
    45+8’
  5. A. MarcusYellow card · Argument
    45+8’
  6. Half time · 1–0
  7. M. ScholzeYellow card · Foul
    50’
  8. ⇄ Pedro SantosFor Pablo Gozálbez
    57’
  9. ⇄ B. SouzaFor I. Stoica
    61’
  10. ⇄ Jefferson EncadaFor M. Scholze
    62’
  11. Pedro SantosYellow card · Foul
    62’
  12. ⇄ D. NandinFor Barbero
    65’
  13. ⇄ G. RukavinaFor N. Djouahra
    65’
  14. ⇄ Lee Hyun-JuFor T. Fukui
    79’
  15. ⇄ Brian MansillaFor A. Trezza
    80’
  16. T. FukuiYellow card
    81’
  17. ⇄ E. Pedro VangaFor G. Doue
    82’
  18. José FontánYellow card · Time Wasting
    88’
  19. ⇄ Alisson SouzaFor L. Zvonarek
    90+1’
  20. ⇄ Kevin Höög JanssonFor Santiago Serra
    90+1’
  21. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Arouca7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
Estrela11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
AroucaEstrela
37% Possession 63%
0.78 Expected goals (xG) 1.48
0.86 Expected points (xPts) 1.88
7 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
2 Shots off target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 6
2 Shots outside the box 5
344 Passes 579
77% Pass accuracy 87%
5 Corners 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 3
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.86 Team rating 6.47

Line-ups

Arouca 4-2-3-1

126.7 I. de Arruabarrena(G)
186.4 O. Lebedenko 37.2 José Fontán 157.5 Javi Sánchez 286.5 Tiago Esgaio
86.8 T. Fukui ↓79’ 66.4 E. van Ee
77.7★ N. Djouahra A↓65’ 107.0 Pablo Gozálbez ↓57’ 196.6 A. Trezza ↓80’
177.5 Barbero ↓65’
  • 12I. de Arruabarrena (G)6.7
  • 18O. Lebedenko6.4
  • 3José Fontán7.2
  • 15Javi Sánchez7.5
  • 28Tiago Esgaio6.5
  • 8T. Fukui↓79’6.8
  • 6E. van Ee6.4
  • 7N. Djouahra ★A↓65’7.7
  • 10Pablo Gozálbez↓57’7.0
  • 19A. Trezza↓80’6.6
  • 17Barbero↓65’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 14Lee Hyun-Ju↑79’6.8
  • 24Brian Mansilla↑80’6.6
  • 23D. Nandin↑65’6.4
  • 89Pedro Santos↑57’6.7
  • 20G. Rukavina↑65’6.9

Unused: Mateo Flores, Mario Climent, F. Mayulu, Diogo Monteiro, B. Popović, L. Shahar, J. Vinarčík

Estrela 4-2-3-1

246.5 Léo Linck(G)
556.0 Rafa Soares 56.9 S. Leković 307.2 Patrick Luan 216.1 M. Scholze ↓62’
396.6 G. Doue ↓82’ 786.8 Santiago Serra ↓90’
106.2 I. Stoica ↓61’ 146.7 L. Zvonarek ↓90’ 995.9 A. Marcus
376.3 Leandro Antonetti
  • 24Léo Linck (G)6.5
  • 55Rafa Soares6.0
  • 5S. Leković6.9
  • 30Patrick Luan7.2
  • 21M. Scholze↓62’6.1
  • 39G. Doue↓82’6.6
  • 78Santiago Serra↓90’6.8
  • 10I. Stoica↓61’6.2
  • 14L. Zvonarek↓90’6.7
  • 99A. Marcus5.9
  • 37Leandro Antonetti6.3

Substitutes used

  • 17Jefferson Encada↑62’6.4
  • 6Kevin Höög Jansson↑90’
  • 71E. Pedro Vanga↑82’6.3
  • 93B. Souza↑61’6.2
  • 80Alisson Souza↑90’

Unused: Bernardo Schappo, A. Chernev, L. Mincarelli, R. Mitongo, T. Moustier, Diogo Pinto, Henrique Poniewas

Coach: Pepa

Player stats

Top rated
N. DjouahraArouca7.7
2nd
Javi SánchezArouca7.5
3rd
BarberoArouca7.5

Arouca

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. de Arruabarrena G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 68% 41 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
O. Lebedenko D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 59% 22 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.4
José Fontán D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 56 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
Javi Sánchez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 45 0 3 0/0 1/0 7.5
Tiago Esgaio D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 61% 28 2 1 1/1 1/0 6.5
T. Fukui M 79 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 24 1 2 0/1 1/3 6.8
E. van Ee M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 42 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.4
N. Djouahra F 65 0 1 1 (0) 1 83% 24 2 0 2/2 0/0 7.7
Pablo Gozálbez M 57 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 14 3 0 0/1 3/1 7.0
A. Trezza F 80 0 0 2 (0) 0 50% 8 3 1 0/1 0/0 6.6
Barbero F 65 1 0 1 (1) 0 78% 9 0 0 0/0 1/0 7.5
Lee Hyun-Ju M 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.8
Brian Mansilla F 10 0 0 1 (0) 0 50% 2 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
D. Nandin F 25 0 0 1 (1) 0 57% 7 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.4
Pedro Santos M 33 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 14 3 0 0/0 1/1 6.7
G. Rukavina F 25 0 0 0 (0) 2 100% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9

Estrela

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Léo Linck G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 90% 51 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Rafa Soares D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 77% 53 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
S. Leković D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 93 1 0 1/1 1/1 6.9
Patrick Luan 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 94 1 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
M. Scholze F 62 0 0 0 (0) 2 91% 23 0 0 0/0 1/2 6.1
G. Doue M 82 0 0 1 (1) 1 82% 44 1 1 1/2 0/1 6.6
Santiago Serra M 90 0 0 3 (1) 1 90% 58 2 0 2/2 0/0 6.8
I. Stoica F 61 0 0 4 (0) 0 78% 27 1 0 0/2 0/2 6.2
L. Zvonarek M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 29 0 0 1/3 1/1 6.7
A. Marcus F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 27 1 1 2/8 1/0 5.9
Leandro Antonetti F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 15 0 0 0/1 2/1 6.3
Jefferson Encada M 28 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 33 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.4
Kevin Höög Jansson M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
E. Pedro Vanga M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 13 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
B. Souza M 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 14 0 0 1/3 1/0 6.2
Alisson Souza F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.