Primeira Liga Gameweek 21 Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 20:30 Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Arouca
3–2 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 1.72 – 1.67
Guimaraes
  • A. Trezza 45+1’
  • Barbero 56’
  • Lee Hyun-Ju 74’
  • 26’ N. Saviolo
  • 30’ O. Camara
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Arouca come from two goals down to win

Arouca entered as narrow favourites, yet Guimaraes led 2–0 after 30 minutes through goals from Saviolo and Camara. But Trezza, Barbero and Hyun-Ju scored to turn it around for Arouca, who won 3–2. The chances were even, with xG of 1.72 and 1.67. On the chances created, Guimaraes deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Arouca ✓38%
Draw28%
Guimaraes34%

Model vs reality

Arouca goals
3
Model 1.33 · xG 1.72
Guimaraes goals
2
Model 1.22 · xG 1.67
Total goals
5
Model 2.55 · xG 3.39
Score 3–2
2%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 47%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. SavioloGuimaraes · 1 goal
7.3
  • RefereeMiguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca
  • VenueEstádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Table before kick-offArouca 14th · Guimaraes 9th

Timeline

  1. SamuYellow card
    22’
  2. N. Saviolo 0–1
    26’
  3. O. Camara 0–2Assist Samu
    30’
  4. A. Trezza 1–2Assist José Fontán
    45+1’
  5. Half time · 1–2
  6. ⇄ Matija MitrovićFor Samu
    46’
  7. B. KuipersYellow card
    54’
  8. Barbero 2–2Assist N. Djouahra
    56’
  9. ⇄ Gustavo SilvaFor O. Camara
    65’
  10. BeniYellow card
    73’
  11. Lee Hyun-Ju 3–2
    74’
  12. ⇄ Telmo ArcanjoFor Beni
    78’
  13. ⇄ Fabio BlancoFor Nélson Oliveira
    78’
  14. ⇄ D. NandinFor Barbero
    78’
  15. Diogo SousaYellow card
    83’
  16. ⇄ Pablo GozálbezFor Lee Hyun-Ju
    84’
  17. ⇄ Brian MansillaFor A. Trezza
    84’
  18. ⇄ O. LebedenkoFor J. Teixeira Mendes
    86’
  19. R. AbascalYellow card
    88’
  20. ⇄ Yellu SantiagoFor T. Fukui
    89’
  21. ⇄ Miguel PucheFor N. Djouahra
    89’
  22. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Arouca10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Guimaraes13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
AroucaGuimaraes
51% Possession 49%
1.72 Expected goals (xG) 1.67
1.42 Expected points (xPts) 1.36
10 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 6
3 Shots off target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
8 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 4
381 Passes 364
77% Pass accuracy 77%
1 Corners 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
18 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.82 Team rating 6.38

Line-ups

Arouca 4-2-3-1

126.9 I. de Arruabarrena(G)
255.9 B. Kuipers 36.9 José Fontán A 157.0 Javi Sánchez 286.9 Tiago Esgaio
216.5 T. Fukui ↓89’ 226.9 E. van Ee
77.0 N. Djouahra A↓89’ 146.7 Lee Hyun-Ju ↓84’ 197.2 A. Trezza ↓84’
177.2 Barbero ↓78’
  • 12I. de Arruabarrena (G)6.9
  • 25B. Kuipers5.9
  • 3José FontánA6.9
  • 15Javi Sánchez7.0
  • 28Tiago Esgaio6.9
  • 21T. Fukui↓89’6.5
  • 22E. van Ee6.9
  • 7N. DjouahraA↓89’7.0
  • 14Lee Hyun-Ju↓84’6.7
  • 19A. Trezza↓84’7.2
  • 17Barbero↓78’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 23D. Nandin↑78’6.9
  • 24Brian Mansilla↑84’6.6
  • 10Pablo Gozálbez↑84’6.5
  • 20Yellu Santiago↑89’
  • 11Miguel Puche↑89’

Unused: João Valido, B. Popović, Diogo Monteiro, A. Dante

Guimaraes 4-2-3-1

275.6 Charles(G)
136.2 J. Teixeira Mendes ↓86’ 266.9 R. Abascal 35.2 M. Nóbrega 666.5 T. Strata
236.2 Diogo Sousa 166.3 Beni ↓78’
197.2 O. Camara ↓65’ 206.2 Samu A↓46’ 487.3★ N. Saviolo
76.7 Nélson Oliveira ↓78’
  • 27Charles (G)5.6
  • 13J. Teixeira Mendes↓86’6.2
  • 26R. Abascal6.9
  • 3M. Nóbrega5.2
  • 66T. Strata6.5
  • 23Diogo Sousa6.2
  • 16Beni↓78’6.3
  • 19O. Camara↓65’7.2
  • 20SamuA↓46’6.2
  • 48N. Saviolo ★7.3
  • 7Nélson Oliveira↓78’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 6Matija Mitrović↑46’6.3
  • 11Gustavo Silva↑65’6.7
  • 18Telmo Arcanjo↑78’6.6
  • 22Fabio Blanco↑78’6.2
  • 17O. Lebedenko↑86’6.3

Unused: Juan Castillo, Thiago Balieiro, M. Nogueira, Martim Guedes

Player stats

Top rated
N. SavioloGuimaraes7.3
2nd
A. TrezzaArouca7.2
3rd
BarberoArouca7.2

Arouca

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. de Arruabarrena G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 73% 33 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
B. Kuipers D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 28 0 1 0/0 0/0 5.9
José Fontán D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 88% 73 5 3 0/0 2/1 6.9
Javi Sánchez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 59 4 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
Tiago Esgaio D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 56% 27 5 3 0/0 1/0 6.9
T. Fukui M 89 0 0 1 (0) 1 73% 30 4 1 0/1 2/2 6.5
E. van Ee M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 74% 43 2 1 1/2 1/5 6.9
N. Djouahra F 89 0 1 2 (1) 2 79% 24 3 1 0/1 0/0 7.0
Lee Hyun-Ju M 84 1 0 1 (1) 1 92% 25 1 0 0/1 3/2 6.7
A. Trezza F 84 1 0 3 (2) 0 65% 17 0 1 2/3 3/1 7.2
Barbero F 78 1 0 2 (2) 1 59% 17 2 0 0/1 4/0 7.2
D. Nandin F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 1/2 6.9
Brian Mansilla F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Pablo Gozálbez M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 2 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
Yellu Santiago M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Miguel Puche F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 1 0 0/0 0/0 —

Guimaraes

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Charles G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 67% 15 0 0 0/0 0/0 5.6
J. Teixeira Mendes D 86 0 0 1 (0) 0 79% 38 2 0 0/1 0/4 6.2
R. Abascal D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 55 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
M. Nóbrega D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 35 1 0 0/0 3/0 5.2
T. Strata D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 3 1 1/3 1/4 6.5
Diogo Sousa M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 66% 44 1 0 3/3 4/0 6.2
Beni M 78 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 36 2 1 1/2 2/2 6.3
O. Camara F 65 1 0 2 (2) 0 60% 15 0 1 0/3 0/0 7.2
Samu M 46 0 1 0 (0) 2 60% 15 2 0 0/2 2/0 6.2
N. Saviolo M 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 74% 19 1 0 1/4 1/3 7.3
Nélson Oliveira F 78 0 0 2 (1) 0 100% 11 0 0 1/2 0/3 6.7
Matija Mitrović M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 33 1 0 0/0 0/2 6.3
Gustavo Silva F 25 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 3 0 0 2/3 0/0 6.7
Telmo Arcanjo M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Fabio Blanco F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/2 1/0 6.2
O. Lebedenko D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.