Serie A Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 23 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.35 – 0.54
  • Wesley 53’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Wesley goal decides it for AS Roma

AS Roma entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Wesley goal. AS Roma finished with the higher xG (1.35 vs 0.54).

AS Roma ✓53%
Draw26%
Bologna22%

Model vs reality

AS Roma goals
1
Model 1.67 · xG 1.35
Bologna goals
0
Model 0.99 · xG 0.54
Total goals
1
Model 2.66 · xG 1.89
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchWesleyAS Roma · 1 goal
7.5
  • RefereeLuca Zufferli
  • VenueStadio Olimpico

Timeline

  1. R. FreulerYellow card · Roughing
    19’
  2. ⇄ S. CastroFor C. Immobile
    30’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ M. VitíkFor N. Casale
    46’
  5. Wesley 1–0
    53’
  6. ⇄ N. El AynaouiFor S. El Shaarawy
    61’
  7. G. ManciniYellow card · Holding
    67’
  8. ⇄ N. ZorteaFor L. De Silvestri
    72’
  9. ⇄ G. FabbianFor J. Odgaard
    72’
  10. ⇄ A. DovbykFor E. Ferguson
    74’
  11. ⇄ P. DybalaFor M. Soulé
    74’
  12. ⇄ F. BernardeschiFor R. Freuler
    80’
  13. ⇄ D. RenschFor Angeliño
    83’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

AS Roma14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Bologna10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
AS RomaBologna
51% Possession 49%
1.35 Expected goals (xG) 0.54
1.99 Expected points (xPts) 0.73
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
9 Shots off target 7
1 Blocked shots 1
8 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 4
409 Passes 383
82% Pass accuracy 78%
2 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
15 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 6.58

Line-ups

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

997.3 M. Svilar(G)
226.6 Hermoso 57.0 O. Ndicka 237.2 G. Mancini
36.9 Angeliño ↓83’ 177.0 K. Koné 47.0 B. Cristante 437.5★ Wesley
926.2 S. El Shaarawy ↓61’ 186.7 M. Soulé ↓74’
116.9 E. Ferguson ↓74’
  • 99M. Svilar (G)7.3
  • 22Hermoso6.6
  • 5O. Ndicka7.0
  • 23G. Mancini7.2
  • 3Angeliño↓83’6.9
  • 17K. Koné7.0
  • 4B. Cristante7.0
  • 43Wesley ★7.5
  • 92S. El Shaarawy↓61’6.2
  • 18M. Soulé↓74’6.7
  • 11E. Ferguson↓74’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 2D. Rensch↑83’6.3
  • 8N. El Aynaoui↑61’6.3
  • 21P. Dybala↑74’6.2
  • 9A. Dovbyk↑74’6.9

Unused: D. Vásquez, R. Żelezny, D. Ghilardi, T. Baldanzi, N. Pisilli

Bologna 4-2-3-1

17.0 Ł. Skorupski(G)
226.9 C. Lykogiannis 266.2 J. Lucumí 166.3 N. Casale ↓46’ 296.7 L. De Silvestri ↓72’
46.7 T. Pobega 86.6 R. Freuler ↓80’
287.0 N. Cambiaghi 216.3 J. Odgaard ↓72’ 76.3 R. Orsolini
176.3 C. Immobile ↓30’
  • 1Ł. Skorupski (G)7.0
  • 22C. Lykogiannis6.9
  • 26J. Lucumí6.2
  • 16N. Casale↓46’6.3
  • 29L. De Silvestri↓72’6.7
  • 4T. Pobega6.7
  • 8R. Freuler↓80’6.6
  • 28N. Cambiaghi7.0
  • 21J. Odgaard↓72’6.3
  • 7R. Orsolini6.3
  • 17C. Immobile↓30’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 9S. Castro↑30’6.3
  • 41M. Vitík↑46’6.3
  • 20N. Zortea↑72’6.5
  • 80G. Fabbian↑72’6.6
  • 10F. Bernardeschi↑80’6.7

Unused: M. Pessina, F. Ravaglia, S. Posch, T. Heggem, N. Moro, L. Ferguson, B. Domínguez, T. Corazza, K. Karlsson, T. Dallinga

Player stats

Top rated
WesleyAS Roma7.5
2nd
M. SvilarAS Roma7.3
3rd
G. ManciniAS Roma7.2

AS Roma

Bologna

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.