UEFA Europa League Matchday 5 Thu, Nov 27 2025 · 17:45 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.63 – 0.84
  • N. El Aynaoui 7’
  • S. El Shaarawy 83’
  • 87’ Paulinho
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

AS Roma beat FC Midtjylland

AS Roma entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Aynaoui and Shaarawy. FC Midtjylland replied through a Paulinho goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.63 and 0.84. On the chances created, FC Midtjylland deserved more: 1.5 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AS Roma ✓56%
Draw23%
FC Midtjylland21%

Model vs reality

AS Roma goals
2
Model 1.89 · xG 0.63
FC Midtjylland goals
1
Model 1.07 · xG 0.84
Total goals
3
Model 2.97 · xG 1.47
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. El AynaouiAS Roma · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeNikola Dabanovic
  • Coaches— · M. Tullberg
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offAS Roma 18th · FC Midtjylland 1st

Timeline

  1. N. El Aynaoui 1–0Assist M. Çelik
    7’
  2. ⇄ B. CristanteFor K. Koné
    27’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ D. OsorioFor M. Krüger-Johnsen
    46’
  5. ⇄ Júnior BrumadoFor P. Bravo
    46’
  6. B. CristanteYellow card · Holding
    53’
  7. ⇄ V. ByskovFor D. Castillo
    61’
  8. ⇄ E. FergusonFor M. Soulé
    62’
  9. ⇄ S. El ShaarawyFor L. Pellegrini
    62’
  10. ⇄ PaulinhoFor V. Bak Jensen
    67’
  11. ⇄ D. ŞimşirFor F. Gluda Djú
    76’
  12. D. OsorioYellow card · Roughing
    78’
  13. ⇄ K. TsimikasFor M. Çelik
    79’
  14. ⇄ L. BaileyFor P. Dybala
    79’
  15. M. ErlićYellow card · Roughing
    80’
  16. S. El Shaarawy 2–0Assist L. Bailey
    83’
  17. M. BechYellow card · Holding
    85’
  18. Paulinho 2–1Assist D. Şimşir
    87’
  19. G. ManciniYellow card
    89’
  20. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

AS Roma11 shots · 7 in box, 4 outside
FC Midtjylland12 shots · 9 in box, 3 outside
AS RomaFC Midtjylland
54% Possession 46%
0.63 Expected goals (xG) 0.84
1.13 Expected points (xPts) 1.50
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
2 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
7 Shots inside the box 9
4 Shots outside the box 3
443 Passes 364
81% Pass accuracy 76%
6 Corners 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.92 Team rating 6.54

Line-ups

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

996.6 M. Svilar(G)
236.6 G. Mancini 57.0 O. Ndicka 877.3 D. Ghilardi
436.2 Wesley 176.7 K. Koné ↓27’ 88.2★ N. El Aynaoui 197.2 M. Çelik A↓79’
77.0 L. Pellegrini ↓62’ 186.7 M. Soulé ↓62’
216.5 P. Dybala ↓79’
  • 99M. Svilar (G)6.6
  • 23G. Mancini6.6
  • 5O. Ndicka7.0
  • 87D. Ghilardi7.3
  • 43Wesley6.2
  • 17K. Koné↓27’6.7
  • 8N. El Aynaoui ★8.2
  • 19M. ÇelikA↓79’7.2
  • 7L. Pellegrini↓62’7.0
  • 18M. Soulé↓62’6.7
  • 21P. Dybala↓79’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 4B. Cristante↑27’6.7
  • 11E. Ferguson↑62’6.7
  • 92S. El Shaarawy↑62’7.7
  • 12K. Tsimikas↑79’6.2
  • 31L. BaileyA↑79’6.9

Unused: P. Gollini, Giorgio De Marzi, D. Rensch, Hermoso, J. Ziółkowski, N. Pisilli

FC Midtjylland 3-4-3

167.2 E. Ólafsson(G)
226.3 M. Bech 66.0 M. Erlić 45.9 O. Diao
556.5 V. Bak Jensen ↓67’ 86.9 P. Billing 196.6 P. Bravo ↓46’ 436.9 M. Mbabu
416.2 M. Krüger-Johnsen ↓46’ 76.9 F. Gluda Djú ↓76’ 216.3 D. Castillo ↓61’
  • 16E. Ólafsson (G)7.2
  • 22M. Bech6.3
  • 6M. Erlić6.0
  • 4O. Diao5.9
  • 55V. Bak Jensen↓67’6.5
  • 8P. Billing6.9
  • 19P. Bravo↓46’6.6
  • 43M. Mbabu6.9
  • 41M. Krüger-Johnsen↓46’6.2
  • 7F. Gluda Djú↓76’6.9
  • 21D. Castillo↓61’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 11D. Osorio↑46’6.3
  • 74Júnior Brumado↑46’6.9
  • 20V. Byskov↑61’5.9
  • 29Paulinho↑67’7.2
  • 58D. ŞimşirA↑76’6.9

Unused: M. Ugboh, J. Lössl, H. Lee, Dani Silva, Alamara Djabi, F. Etim, G. Cho

Coach: M. Tullberg

Player stats

Top rated
N. El AynaouiAS Roma8.2
2nd
S. El ShaarawyAS Roma7.7
3rd
D. GhilardiAS Roma7.3

AS Roma

FC Midtjylland

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.