Serie A Gameweek 13 Sun, Nov 30 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.56 – 1.03
  • 36’ David Neres
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Neres goal decides it for Napoli

AS Roma entered as narrow favourites, but Napoli won 1–0 through a Neres goal. Napoli finished with the higher xG (1.03 vs 0.56). On the chances created, AS Roma deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AS Roma43%
Draw27%
Napoli ✓29%

Model vs reality

AS Roma goals
0
Model 1.45 · xG 0.56
Napoli goals
1
Model 1.15 · xG 1.03
Total goals
1
Model 2.60 · xG 1.59
Score 0–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDavid NeresNapoli · 1 goal
9.3
  • RefereeDavide Massa
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offAS Roma 3rd · Napoli 4th

Timeline

  1. David Neres 0–1Assist R. Højlund
    36’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ T. BaldanziFor E. Ferguson
    46’
  4. B. CristanteYellow card · Roughing
    55’
  5. ⇄ N. El AynaouiFor B. Cristante
    62’
  6. ⇄ P. DybalaFor M. Soulé
    62’
  7. S. LobotkaYellow card · Tripping
    63’
  8. S. BeukemaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    64’
  9. ⇄ M. PolitanoFor N. Lang
    69’
  10. T. BaldanziYellow card · Tripping
    73’
  11. ⇄ E. ElmasFor R. Højlund
    80’
  12. ⇄ L. BaileyFor L. Pellegrini
    80’
  13. ⇄ S. El ShaarawyFor Wesley
    82’
  14. ⇄ L. LuccaFor David Neres
    85’
  15. O. NdickaYellow card · Holding
    86’
  16. S. El ShaarawyYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+3’
  17. M. OliveraYellow card · Tripping
    90+6’
  18. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

AS Roma8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
Napoli7 shots · 3 in box, 4 outside
AS RomaNapoli
56% Possession 44%
0.56 Expected goals (xG) 1.03
0.93 Expected points (xPts) 1.73
8 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
5 Shots inside the box 3
3 Shots outside the box 4
537 Passes 433
83% Pass accuracy 79%
4 Corners 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 3
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.70 Team rating 7.00

Line-ups

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

997.7 M. Svilar(G)
226.6 Hermoso 56.9 O. Ndicka 236.7 G. Mancini
436.6 Wesley ↓82’ 176.9 K. Koné 46.6 B. Cristante ↓62’ 196.7 M. Çelik
76.2 L. Pellegrini ↓80’ 186.5 M. Soulé ↓62’
116.2 E. Ferguson ↓46’
  • 99M. Svilar (G)7.7
  • 22Hermoso6.6
  • 5O. Ndicka6.9
  • 23G. Mancini6.7
  • 43Wesley↓82’6.6
  • 17K. Koné6.9
  • 4B. Cristante↓62’6.6
  • 19M. Çelik6.7
  • 7L. Pellegrini↓80’6.2
  • 18M. Soulé↓62’6.5
  • 11E. Ferguson↓46’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 35T. Baldanzi↑46’6.3
  • 8N. El Aynaoui↑62’6.9
  • 21P. Dybala↑62’6.3
  • 31L. Bailey↑80’6.3
  • 92S. El Shaarawy↑82’6.5

Unused: P. Gollini, D. Vásquez, D. Ghilardi, K. Tsimikas, J. Ziółkowski, Buba Sangaré, D. Rensch, N. Pisilli

Napoli 3-4-3

327.3 V. Milinković-Savić(G)
46.5 A. Buongiorno 137.0 A. Rrahmani 316.5 S. Beukema
177.0 M. Olivera 86.2 S. McTominay 686.6 S. Lobotka 227.6 G. Di Lorenzo
707.0 N. Lang ↓69’ 196.3 R. Højlund A↓80’ 79.3★ David Neres ↓85’
  • 32V. Milinković-Savić (G)7.3
  • 4A. Buongiorno6.5
  • 13A. Rrahmani7.0
  • 31S. Beukema6.5
  • 17M. Olivera7.0
  • 8S. McTominay6.2
  • 68S. Lobotka6.6
  • 22G. Di Lorenzo7.6
  • 70N. Lang↓69’7.0
  • 19R. HøjlundA↓80’6.3
  • 7David Neres ★↓85’9.3

Substitutes used

  • 20E. Elmas↑80’6.3
  • 21M. Politano↑69’6.6
  • 27L. Lucca↑85’6.3

Unused: N. Contini, Mathias Ferrante, L. Marianucci, L. Spinazzola, Juan Jesus, P. Mazzocchi, G. Ambrosino, A. Vergara

Player stats

Top rated
David NeresNapoli9.3
2nd
M. SvilarAS Roma7.7
3rd
G. Di LorenzoNapoli7.6

AS Roma

Napoli

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.