UEFA Champions League Matchday 2 Wed, Oct 14 2026 · 20:00 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
3–4 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.50 – 1.86
  • M. de Roon 20’
  • D. Malen 51’, 57’
  • 25’ K. Mbappé
  • 83’ Carlos Espí
  • 85’ Endrick
  • 90’ A. Rüdiger
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Real Madrid come from two goals down to win

Real Madrid entered as narrow favourites, yet AS Roma led 3–1 after 57 minutes through goals from de Roon and Malen. But Espí, Endrick and Rüdiger scored to turn it around for Real Madrid, who won 4–3. Real Madrid finished with the higher xG (1.86 vs 1.50). On the chances created, AS Roma deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

AS Roma34%
Draw23%
Real Madrid ✓43%

Model vs reality

AS Roma goals
3
Model 1.49 · xG 1.50
Real Madrid goals
4
Model 1.72 · xG 1.86
Total goals
7
Model 3.22 · xG 3.36
Score 3–4
1%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 64%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. MalenAS Roma · 2 goals
8.9
  • RefereeFrançois Letexier
  • CoachesG. Gasperini · José Mourinho
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offAS Roma 23rd · Real Madrid 16th
  • Weather at kick-off20°C · Clear · wind 3 km/h

Timeline

  1. ⇄ N. PisilliFor K. Koné
    17’
  2. M. de Roon 1–0Assist M. Soulé
    20’
  3. K. Mbappé 1–1Assist Y. Diomande
    25’
  4. ⇄ Rodrigo MoraFor P. Dybala
    45’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. D. Malen 2–1Assist Rodrigo Mora
    51’
  7. D. Malen 3–1Assist M. Soulé
    57’
  8. VAR D. MalenGoal confirmed
    58’
  9. ⇄ EndrickFor Vinícius
    59’
  10. ⇄ A. GülerFor D. Dumfries
    59’
  11. G. ManciniYellow card · Foul
    60’
  12. ⇄ L. PellegriniFor M. Soulé
    63’
  13. ⇄ L. BalerdiFor G. Mancini
    63’
  14. WesleyYellow card · Foul
    69’
  15. ⇄ Bernardo SilvaFor A. Tchouaméni
    70’
  16. ⇄ Álvaro FernándezFor Marc Cucurella
    78’
  17. ⇄ Carlos EspíFor Y. Diomande
    78’
  18. ⇄ K. KoulierakisFor Hermoso
    81’
  19. Carlos Espí 3–2
    83’
  20. VAR Carlos EspíGoal confirmed
    83’
  21. Endrick 3–3Assist A. Güler
    85’
  22. L. PellegriniYellow card · Foul
    89’
  23. A. Rüdiger 3–4Assist A. Güler
    90’
  24. Álvaro FernándezYellow card · Foul
    90+6’
  25. Full time · 3–4

Team stats

AS Roma14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Real Madrid16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
AS RomaReal Madrid
54% Possession 46%
1.50 Expected goals (xG) 1.86
1.16 Expected points (xPts) 1.61
14 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 8
4 Shots off target 8
3 Blocked shots 0
9 Shots inside the box 11
5 Shots outside the box 5
544 Passes 457
87% Pass accuracy 84%
5 Corners 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.68 Team rating 6.65

Line-ups

AS Roma 3-4-2-1

956.6 P. Gollini(G)
226.7 Hermoso ↓81’ 56.2 O. Ndicka 235.2 G. Mancini ↓63’
206.3 N. Molina 176.0 K. Koné ↓17’ 157.1 M. de Roon 436.5 Wesley
216.0 P. Dybala ↓45’ 188.5 M. Soulé AA↓63’
148.9★ D. Malen
  • 95P. Gollini (G)6.6
  • 22Hermoso↓81’6.7
  • 5O. Ndicka6.2
  • 23G. Mancini↓63’5.2
  • 20N. Molina6.3
  • 17K. Koné↓17’6.0
  • 15M. de Roon7.1
  • 43Wesley6.5
  • 21P. Dybala↓45’6.0
  • 18M. SouléA×2↓63’8.5
  • 14D. Malen ★8.9

Substitutes used

  • 86Rodrigo MoraA↑45’6.3
  • 7L. Pellegrini↑63’5.7
  • 61N. Pisilli↑17’6.4
  • 26L. Balerdi↑63’5.5
  • 3K. Koulierakis↑81’5.7

Unused: Emanuele Lulli, D. Rensch, D. Vásquez, S. Castro, Giorgio De Marzi, D. Ghilardi

Coach: G. Gasperini

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

16.5 T. Courtois(G)
176.4 Marc Cucurella ↓78’ 227.2 A. Rüdiger 166.3 I. Konaté 245.7 D. Dumfries ↓59’
146.0 A. Tchouaméni ↓70’ 86.5 F. Valverde
75.8 Vinícius ↓59’ 56.4 J. Bellingham 257.1 Y. Diomande A↓78’
108.0 K. Mbappé
  • 1T. Courtois (G)6.5
  • 17Marc Cucurella↓78’6.4
  • 22A. Rüdiger7.2
  • 16I. Konaté6.3
  • 24D. Dumfries↓59’5.7
  • 14A. Tchouaméni↓70’6.0
  • 8F. Valverde6.5
  • 7Vinícius↓59’5.8
  • 5J. Bellingham6.4
  • 25Y. DiomandeA↓78’7.1
  • 10K. Mbappé8.0

Substitutes used

  • 20Bernardo Silva↑70’5.9
  • 18Álvaro Fernández↑78’6.0
  • 9Endrick↑59’8.2
  • 19Carlos Espí↑78’7.4
  • 15A. GülerA×2↑59’7.0

Unused: Brahim Díaz, D. Huijsen, A. Lunin, Sergio Mestre, Thiago Pitarch, T. Alexander-Arnold, E. Camavinga

Coach: José Mourinho

Player stats

Top rated
D. MalenAS Roma8.9
2nd
M. SouléAS Roma8.5
3rd
EndrickReal Madrid8.2

AS Roma

Real Madrid

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.