Premier League Gameweek 24 Sun, Feb 1 2026 · 14:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.40 – 0.38
Brentford
  • 45’ D. Ouattara
  • 42’ K. Schade
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ouattara goal decides it for Brentford

Aston Villa entered as favourites, but Brentford won 1–0 through a Ouattara goal. Brentford played with ten men from the 42nd minute after Schade was sent off. Brentford won despite the lower xG; Aston Villa created the better chances (2.40 vs 0.38). On the chances created, Aston Villa deserved more: 2.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa53%
Draw23%
Brentford ✓24%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
0
Model 1.96 · xG 2.40
Brentford goals
1
Model 1.25 · xG 0.38
Total goals
1
Model 3.21 · xG 2.78
Score 0–1
5%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 62%
Both scored
No
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. KelleherBrentford
7.9
  • RefereeTim Robinson
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 3rd · Brentford 9th

Timeline

  1. K. AjerYellow card · Foul
    35’
  2. K. SchadeRed card · Violent conduct
    42’
  3. D. Ouattara 0–1
    45’
  4. M. KayodeYellow card · Argument
    45+5’
  5. Half time · 0–1
  6. ⇄ L. BaileyFor L. Bogarde
    46’
  7. VAR T. AbrahamGoal cancelled
    52’
  8. ⇄ N. CollinsFor J. Henderson
    60’
  9. ⇄ Y. YarmoliukFor D. Ouattara
    60’
  10. ⇄ K. Lewis-PotterFor M. Jensen
    76’
  11. ⇄ H. ElliottFor J. Sancho
    77’
  12. ⇄ A. HickeyFor R. Henry
    84’
  13. V. JaneltYellow card · Argument
    90+1’
  14. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Aston Villa27 shots · 17 in box, 10 outside
Brentford6 shots · 5 in box, 1 outside
Aston VillaBrentford
72% Possession 28%
2.40 Expected goals (xG) 0.38
2.61 Expected points (xPts) 0.26
27 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
11 Shots off target 3
11 Blocked shots 1
17 Shots inside the box 5
10 Shots outside the box 1
636 Passes 256
88% Pass accuracy 72%
12 Corners 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 6
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
6.97 Team rating 6.94

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

236.7 E. Martínez(G)
227.3 I. Maatsen 147.2 Pau Torres 47.5 E. Konsa 27.7 M. Cash
266.6 L. Bogarde ↓46’ 216.6 Douglas Luiz
106.2 E. Buendía 277.3 M. Rogers 197.2 J. Sancho ↓77’
186.2 T. Abraham
  • 23E. Martínez (G)6.7
  • 22I. Maatsen7.3
  • 14Pau Torres7.2
  • 4E. Konsa7.5
  • 2M. Cash7.7
  • 26L. Bogarde↓46’6.6
  • 21Douglas Luiz6.6
  • 10E. Buendía6.2
  • 27M. Rogers7.3
  • 19J. Sancho↓77’7.2
  • 18T. Abraham6.2

Substitutes used

  • 31L. Bailey↑46’7.0
  • 9H. Elliott↑77’6.7

Unused: M. Bizot, R. Barkley, V. Lindelöf, T. Mings, A. Onana, L. Digne, George Hemmings

Brentford 4-2-3-1

17.9★ C. Kelleher(G)
36.3 R. Henry ↓84’ 47.2 S. van den Berg 207.6 K. Ajer 337.2 M. Kayode
277.2 V. Janelt 66.3 J. Henderson ↓60’
75.3 K. Schade 86.7 M. Jensen ↓76’ 197.9 D. Ouattara ↓60’
96.2 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G) ★7.9
  • 3R. Henry↓84’6.3
  • 4S. van den Berg7.2
  • 20K. Ajer7.6
  • 33M. Kayode7.2
  • 27V. Janelt7.2
  • 6J. Henderson↓60’6.3
  • 7K. Schade5.3
  • 8M. Jensen↓76’6.7
  • 19D. Ouattara↓60’7.9
  • 9Thiago6.2

Substitutes used

  • 22N. Collins↑60’6.9
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↑76’6.9
  • 2A. Hickey↑84’6.9
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↑60’6.2

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, E. Pinnock, M. Damsgaard, R. Donovan, Luka Bentt

Player stats

Top rated
C. KelleherBrentford7.9
2nd
D. OuattaraBrentford7.9
3rd
M. CashAston Villa7.7

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 83% 24 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
I. Maatsen D 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 91% 74 6 0 1/1 0/0 7.3
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 83 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 99% 80 2 1 1/1 0/2 7.5
M. Cash D 90 0 0 4 (1) 2 84% 73 4 0 0/0 1/1 7.7
L. Bogarde M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 21 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.6
Douglas Luiz M 90 0 0 2 (1) 5 87% 76 2 1 2/2 1/0 6.6
E. Buendía M 90 0 0 3 (1) 2 90% 48 3 0 0/0 2/1 6.2
M. Rogers F 90 0 0 2 (1) 2 78% 50 1 0 2/4 2/2 7.3
J. Sancho F 77 0 0 0 (0) 2 84% 50 0 1 2/3 0/0 7.2
T. Abraham F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 54% 13 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
L. Bailey M 44 0 0 1 (0) 3 89% 27 0 0 0/2 1/0 7.0
H. Elliott M 13 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Brentford

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
C. Kelleher G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 40% 48 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.9
R. Henry D 84 0 0 1 (0) 0 72% 18 0 1 0/1 0/1 6.3
S. van den Berg D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
K. Ajer D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 24 1 0 0/0 4/0 7.6
M. Kayode D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 55% 22 3 2 1/3 1/2 7.2
V. Janelt M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 34 0 5 0/0 0/1 7.2
J. Henderson M 60 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 26 1 2 0/0 0/0 6.3
K. Schade M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 8 0 1 0/1 1/2 5.3
M. Jensen M 76 0 0 1 (0) 0 65% 20 0 1 0/1 0/1 6.7
D. Ouattara F 60 1 0 1 (1) 0 63% 8 0 0 1/3 0/0 7.9
Thiago F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.2
N. Collins D 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
K. Lewis-Potter F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
A. Hickey D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
Y. Yarmoliuk M 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 1 0/2 0/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.