Premier League Gameweek 6 Sat, Oct 10 2026 · 15:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
2–2 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 1.84 – 1.31
  • N. Jackson 12’
  • J. McGinn 77’
  • 10’ Y. Yarmoliuk
  • 79’ K. Ajer
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa and Brentford share the points

Aston Villa entered as favourites, yet Brentford led 1–0 after 10 minutes through a Yarmoliuk goal. But Jackson and McGinn scored to rescue a draw for Aston Villa. Aston Villa finished with the higher xG (1.84 vs 1.31).

Aston Villa49%
Draw ✓23%
Brentford28%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
2
Model 1.82 · xG 1.84
Brentford goals
2
Model 1.31 · xG 1.31
Total goals
4
Model 3.13 · xG 3.15
Score 2–2
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 61%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. JacksonAston Villa · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeCraig Pawson
  • CoachesUnai Emery · Keith Andrews
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 16th · Brentford 4th
  • Weather at kick-off13°C · Partly cloudy · wind 20 km/h

Timeline

  1. Y. Yarmoliuk 0–1
    10’
  2. N. Jackson 1–1
    12’
  3. ThiagoYellow card · Foul
    35’
  4. ⇄ A. Wan-BissakaFor M. Ruggeri
    45’
  5. ⇄ A. HickeyFor J. Schuster
    45’
  6. E. BuendíaYellow card · Foul
    45+3’
  7. Half time · 1–1
  8. ⇄ M. SangaréFor K. Schade
    52’
  9. ⇄ I. MbayeFor E. Buendía
    64’
  10. ⇄ D. OuattaraFor K. Lewis-Potter
    67’
  11. ⇄ M. JensenFor Y. Yarmoliuk
    67’
  12. M. CashYellow card · Foul
    72’
  13. V. JaneltYellow card · Foul
    75’
  14. J. McGinn 2–1Assist J. Manzambi
    77’
  15. K. Ajer 2–2Assist J. Anthony
    79’
  16. M. KayodeYellow card · Foul
    82’
  17. K. AjerYellow card · Dissent
    84’
  18. ⇄ C. WilsonFor J. Anthony
    85’
  19. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor João Gomes
    86’
  20. ⇄ Alysson EdwardFor J. Manzambi
    86’
  21. C. WilsonYellow card · Dissent
    90+5’
  22. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Aston Villa20 shots · 15 in box, 5 outside
Brentford14 shots · 12 in box, 2 outside
Aston VillaBrentford
52% Possession 48%
1.84 Expected goals (xG) 1.31
1.72 Expected points (xPts) 1.05
20 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 7
7 Blocked shots 3
15 Shots inside the box 12
5 Shots outside the box 2
406 Passes 358
79% Pass accuracy 79%
2 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Fouls 24
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.71 Team rating 6.47

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

16.1 Z. Suzuki(G)
136.3 M. Ruggeri ↓45’ 56.2 T. Mings 36.7 V. Lindelöf 26.1 M. Cash
356.6 João Gomes ↓86’ 86.4 B. Kamara
447.7 J. Manzambi A↓86’ 105.9 E. Buendía ↓64’ 77.6 J. McGinn
118.2★ N. Jackson
  • 1Z. Suzuki (G)6.1
  • 13M. Ruggeri↓45’6.3
  • 5T. Mings6.2
  • 3V. Lindelöf6.7
  • 2M. Cash6.1
  • 35João Gomes↓86’6.6
  • 8B. Kamara6.4
  • 44J. ManzambiA↓86’7.7
  • 10E. Buendía↓64’5.9
  • 7J. McGinn7.6
  • 11N. Jackson ★8.2

Substitutes used

  • 6R. Barkley↑86’6.0
  • 19I. Mbaye↑64’6.7
  • 29A. Wan-Bissaka↑45’6.2
  • 47Alysson Edward↑86’6.4

Unused: T. Abraham, M. Bizot, L. Bogarde, Pau Torres, A. Garnacho

Coach: Unai Emery

Brentford 4-2-3-1

16.7 C. Kelleher(G)
255.8 E. Diouf 207.2 K. Ajer 446.4 J. Schuster ↓45’ 335.9 M. Kayode
276.3 V. Janelt 67.2 Y. Yarmoliuk ↓67’
76.4 K. Schade ↓52’ 236.2 K. Lewis-Potter ↓67’ 196.9 J. Anthony A↓85’
96.4 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.7
  • 25E. Diouf5.8
  • 20K. Ajer7.2
  • 44J. Schuster↓45’6.4
  • 33M. Kayode5.9
  • 27V. Janelt6.3
  • 6Y. Yarmoliuk↓67’7.2
  • 7K. Schade↓52’6.4
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↓67’6.2
  • 19J. AnthonyA↓85’6.9
  • 9Thiago6.4

Substitutes used

  • 13C. Wilson↑85’6.5
  • 18M. Sangaré↑52’6.1
  • 11D. Ouattara↑67’6.6
  • 8M. Jensen↑67’6.1
  • 2A. Hickey↑45’6.5

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, Fábio Carvalho, B. Fredrick, S. van den Berg

Coach: Keith Andrews

Player stats

Top rated
N. JacksonAston Villa8.2
2nd
J. ManzambiAston Villa7.7
3rd
J. McGinnAston Villa7.6

Aston Villa

Brentford

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.