Premier League Gameweek 26 Wed, Feb 11 2026 · 19:30 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.72 – 0.50
Brighton
  • J. Hinshelwood 86’ (OG)
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Hinshelwood’s late goal settles it for Aston Villa

Aston Villa entered as favourites and won 1–0 through an own goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.72 and 0.50. On the chances created, Brighton deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa ✓55%
Draw23%
Brighton22%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.93 · xG 0.72
Brighton goals
0
Model 1.15 · xG 0.50
Total goals
1
Model 3.07 · xG 1.22
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
No
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchDouglas LuizAston Villa
7.5
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 3rd · Brighton 14th

Timeline

  1. C. BalebaYellow card · Foul
    2’
  2. ⇄ J. MilnerFor C. Baleba
    22’
  3. J. VeltmanYellow card · Foul
    23’
  4. E. MartínezYellow card · Argument
    41’
  5. J. van HeckeYellow card · Argument
    41’
  6. Half time · 0–0
  7. M. RogersYellow card · Foul
    50’
  8. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor E. Buendía
    60’
  9. ⇄ L. BaileyFor J. Sancho
    60’
  10. ⇄ O. BoscagliFor J. van Hecke
    61’
  11. ⇄ Alysson EdwardFor O. Watkins
    74’
  12. ⇄ T. AbrahamFor A. Onana
    75’
  13. ⇄ C. KostoulasFor D. Welbeck
    81’
  14. ⇄ Y. MintehFor K. Mitoma
    81’
  15. ⇄ Harry HowellFor D. Gómez
    81’
  16. ⇄ V. LindelöfFor Douglas Luiz
    84’
  17. J. Hinshelwood (own goal) 1–0
    86’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Aston Villa15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Brighton9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Aston VillaBrighton
50% Possession 50%
0.72 Expected goals (xG) 0.50
1.50 Expected points (xPts) 1.09
15 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 3
10 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 7
5 Shots outside the box 2
418 Passes 418
82% Pass accuracy 83%
7 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 3
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6.90 Team rating 6.61

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

237.3 E. Martínez(G)
226.9 I. Maatsen 56.9 T. Mings 46.9 E. Konsa 266.9 L. Bogarde
217.5★ Douglas Luiz ↓84’ 247.0 A. Onana ↓75’
107.2 E. Buendía ↓60’ 276.2 M. Rogers 197.3 J. Sancho ↓60’
116.3 O. Watkins ↓74’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.3
  • 22I. Maatsen6.9
  • 5T. Mings6.9
  • 4E. Konsa6.9
  • 26L. Bogarde6.9
  • 21Douglas Luiz ★↓84’7.5
  • 24A. Onana↓75’7.0
  • 10E. Buendía↓60’7.2
  • 27M. Rogers6.2
  • 19J. Sancho↓60’7.3
  • 11O. Watkins↓74’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 6R. Barkley↑60’6.3
  • 3V. Lindelöf↑84’6.7
  • 31L. Bailey↑60’6.9
  • 47Alysson Edward↑74’6.7
  • 18T. Abraham↑75’6.5

Unused: M. Bizot, J. Wright, Pau Torres, L. Digne

Brighton 4-3-3

16.7 B. Verbruggen(G)
246.6 F. Kadıoğlu 56.9 L. Dunk 66.9 J. van Hecke ↓61’ 346.3 J. Veltman
135.9 J. Hinshelwood 176.5 C. Baleba ↓22’ 306.9 P. Groß
227.2 K. Mitoma ↓81’ 186.3 D. Welbeck ↓81’ 257.0 D. Gómez ↓81’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)6.7
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu6.6
  • 5L. Dunk6.9
  • 6J. van Hecke↓61’6.9
  • 34J. Veltman6.3
  • 13J. Hinshelwood5.9
  • 17C. Baleba↓22’6.5
  • 30P. Groß6.9
  • 22K. Mitoma↓81’7.2
  • 18D. Welbeck↓81’6.3
  • 25D. Gómez↓81’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Milner↑22’6.3
  • 21O. Boscagli↑61’6.2
  • 19C. Kostoulas↑81’6.2
  • 11Y. Minteh↑81’6.5
  • 53Harry Howell↑81’6.2

Unused: J. Steele, M. O'Riley, G. Rutter, M. De Cuyper

Player stats

Top rated
Douglas LuizAston Villa7.5
2nd
E. MartínezAston Villa7.3
3rd
J. SanchoAston Villa7.3

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 69% 55 0 0 0/0 0/2 7.3
I. Maatsen D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 75% 28 2 2 0/4 0/0 6.9
T. Mings D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 66 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 100% 49 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Bogarde M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 34 2 1 0/0 0/1 6.9
Douglas Luiz M 84 0 0 0 (0) 2 83% 60 2 1 0/0 1/5 7.5
A. Onana M 75 0 0 2 (0) 0 85% 41 2 1 0/0 0/1 7.0
E. Buendía M 60 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 9 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.2
M. Rogers F 90 0 0 3 (1) 2 70% 23 1 0 0/1 1/2 6.2
J. Sancho F 60 0 0 0 (0) 3 78% 18 0 0 0/1 2/0 7.3
O. Watkins F 74 0 0 1 (0) 0 77% 13 0 0 0/0 3/0 6.3
R. Barkley M 30 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 7 0 1 1/2 0/0 6.3
V. Lindelöf D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Bailey M 30 0 0 0 (0) 3 83% 6 0 0 0/3 2/1 6.9
Alysson Edward M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
T. Abraham F 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Brighton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
B. Verbruggen G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 75% 40 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
F. Kadıoğlu M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 32 2 1 0/0 0/2 6.6
L. Dunk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 58 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. van Hecke D 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 35 1 3 0/0 2/2 6.9
J. Veltman D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 43 0 1 0/0 2/1 6.3
J. Hinshelwood M 90 0 0 2 (0) 1 90% 48 1 1 0/0 4/1 5.9
C. Baleba M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.5
P. Groß M 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 81% 42 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
K. Mitoma M 81 0 0 1 (0) 1 90% 21 1 0 1/3 1/2 7.2
D. Welbeck F 81 0 0 1 (1) 1 75% 12 2 1 0/2 0/0 6.3
D. Gómez M 81 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 26 5 0 2/3 1/0 7.0
J. Milner M 68 0 0 2 (1) 1 91% 23 2 3 0/0 2/0 6.3
O. Boscagli D 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
C. Kostoulas F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
Y. Minteh F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
Harry Howell M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.