Premier League Gameweek 7 Sun, Oct 5 2025 · 14:00 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.16 – 0.40
Burnley
  • D. Malen 25’, 63’
  • 78’ L. Ugochukwu
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aston Villa beat Burnley

Aston Villa entered as favourites and won 2–1 through two Malen goals. Burnley replied through a Ugochukwu goal. Aston Villa finished with the higher xG (1.16 vs 0.40).

Aston Villa ✓55%
Draw24%
Burnley21%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
2
Model 1.88 · xG 1.16
Burnley goals
1
Model 1.08 · xG 0.40
Total goals
3
Model 2.96 · xG 1.56
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 57%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. MalenAston Villa · 2 goals
8.9
  • RefereeAndrew Kitchen
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 16th · Burnley 18th

Timeline

  1. L. FosterYellow card · Foul
    17’
  2. D. Malen 1–0Assist B. Kamara
    25’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. L. DigneYellow card · Foul
    53’
  5. ⇄ A. BrojaFor J. Anthony
    59’
  6. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor L. Tchaouna
    59’
  7. D. Malen 2–0Assist M. Rogers
    63’
  8. ⇄ E. BuendíaFor O. Watkins
    67’
  9. ⇄ E. GuessandFor J. McGinn
    67’
  10. ⇄ L. UgochukwuFor L. Foster
    69’
  11. L. Ugochukwu 2–1Assist Q. Hartman
    78’
  12. ⇄ Z. FlemmingFor J. Laurent
    82’
  13. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor D. Malen
    84’
  14. ⇄ V. LindelöfFor M. Cash
    84’
  15. ⇄ A. OnanaFor L. Bogarde
    90’
  16. E. BuendíaYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  17. E. MartínezYellow card · Argument
    90+3’
  18. ⇄ J. WorrallFor M. Estève
    90+10’
  19. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Aston Villa15 shots · 12 in box, 3 outside
Burnley5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
Aston VillaBurnley
55% Possession 45%
1.16 Expected goals (xG) 0.40
1.98 Expected points (xPts) 0.70
15 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
5 Shots off target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
12 Shots inside the box 3
3 Shots outside the box 2
496 Passes 409
88% Pass accuracy 81%
6 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.21 Team rating 6.66

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-2-2

237.0 E. Martínez(G)
128.3 L. Digne 147.3 Pau Torres 47.2 E. Konsa 26.3 M. Cash ↓84’
447.7 B. Kamara A 266.7 L. Bogarde ↓90’
277.2 M. Rogers A 76.9 J. McGinn ↓67’
115.9 O. Watkins ↓67’ 178.9★ D. Malen ↓84’
  • 23E. Martínez (G)7.0
  • 12L. Digne8.3
  • 14Pau Torres7.3
  • 4E. Konsa7.2
  • 2M. Cash↓84’6.3
  • 44B. KamaraA7.7
  • 26L. Bogarde↓90’6.7
  • 27M. RogersA7.2
  • 7J. McGinn↓67’6.9
  • 11O. Watkins↓67’5.9
  • 17D. Malen ★↓84’8.9

Substitutes used

  • 6R. Barkley↑84’6.3
  • 3V. Lindelöf↑84’6.7
  • 24A. Onana↑90’6.7
  • 10E. Buendía↑67’6.7
  • 29E. Guessand↑67’6.3

Unused: M. Bizot, I. Maatsen, H. Elliott, J. Jimoh-Aloba

Burnley 5-4-1

18.0 M. Dúbravka(G)
36.5 Q. Hartman A 56.3 M. Estève ↓90’ 66.7 A. Tuanzebe 296.0 J. Laurent ↓82’ 25.9 K. Walker
116.3 J. Anthony ↓59’ 167.3 Florentino 247.3 J. Cullen 176.5 L. Tchaouna ↓59’
96.0 L. Foster ↓69’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)8.0
  • 3Q. HartmanA6.5
  • 5M. Estève↓90’6.3
  • 6A. Tuanzebe6.7
  • 29J. Laurent↓82’6.0
  • 2K. Walker5.9
  • 11J. Anthony↓59’6.3
  • 16Florentino7.3
  • 24J. Cullen7.3
  • 17L. Tchaouna↓59’6.5
  • 9L. Foster↓69’6.0

Substitutes used

  • 19Z. Flemming↑82’6.5
  • 4J. Worrall↑90’
  • 27A. Broja↑59’6.3
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↑69’7.9
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑59’6.3

Unused: Max Weiss, H. Mejbri, M. Edwards, B. Humphreys

Player stats

Top rated
D. MalenAston Villa8.9
2nd
L. DigneAston Villa8.3
3rd
M. DúbravkaBurnley8.0

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 89% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
L. Digne D 90 0 0 1 (1) 5 76% 42 2 1 0/0 1/1 8.3
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 63 3 2 0/0 0/0 7.3
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 96% 78 0 1 2/3 0/2 7.2
M. Cash D 84 0 0 1 (1) 1 89% 46 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
B. Kamara M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 88% 68 1 0 0/1 1/2 7.7
L. Bogarde M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 97% 58 0 0 0/2 1/3 6.7
M. Rogers F 90 0 1 2 (2) 1 92% 25 2 1 1/3 2/1 7.2
J. McGinn M 67 0 0 1 (0) 1 78% 18 1 0 0/1 0/2 6.9
O. Watkins F 67 0 0 1 (0) 0 60% 15 0 0 0/2 1/1 5.9
D. Malen F 84 2 0 3 (2) 2 73% 15 1 0 2/5 0/1 8.9
R. Barkley M 6 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
V. Lindelöf D 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Onana M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
E. Buendía M 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 7 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.7
E. Guessand F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 2 0 1/2 0/0 6.3

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 59% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.0
Q. Hartman D 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 76% 34 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.5
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 46 0 3 0/0 1/0 6.3
A. Tuanzebe D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 50 3 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
J. Laurent M 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 0 6 0/0 1/0 6.0
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 66% 38 3 1 0/2 2/2 5.9
J. Anthony F 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 14 4 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
Florentino M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 62 5 2 1/1 2/1 7.3
J. Cullen M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 60 7 1 0/0 1/3 7.3
L. Tchaouna F 59 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 13 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.5
L. Foster F 69 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 0 0 0/0 3/0 6.0
Z. Flemming M 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
J. Worrall D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
A. Broja F 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Ugochukwu M 21 1 0 2 (1) 0 88% 8 3 0 1/1 0/0 7.9
J. Bruun Larsen F 31 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/3 0/0 6.3

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.