Premier League Gameweek 22 Sun, Jan 18 2026 · 16:30 Villa Park, Birmingham
Aston Villa
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.44 – 0.51
Everton
  • 59’ T. Barry
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Barry goal decides it for Everton

Aston Villa entered as clear favourites, but Everton won 1–0 through a Barry goal. Everton won despite the lower xG; Aston Villa created the better chances (1.44 vs 0.51). On the chances created, Aston Villa deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Aston Villa66%
Draw20%
Everton ✓14%

Model vs reality

Aston Villa goals
0
Model 2.19 · xG 1.44
Everton goals
1
Model 0.93 · xG 0.51
Total goals
1
Model 3.12 · xG 1.95
Score 0–1
4%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. PickfordEverton
8.9
  • RefereeTony Harrington
  • VenueVilla Park
  • Table before kick-offAston Villa 3rd · Everton 12th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ E. GuessandFor J. McGinn
    18’
  2. D. McNeilYellow card · Foul
    23’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. J. GarnerYellow card · Foul
    47’
  5. L. BogardeYellow card · Foul
    56’
  6. T. Barry 0–1
    59’
  7. ⇄ L. DigneFor I. Maatsen
    73’
  8. ⇄ George HemmingsFor L. Bogarde
    73’
  9. ⇄ BetoFor T. Barry
    84’
  10. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Aston Villa18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
Everton9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
Aston VillaEverton
63% Possession 37%
1.44 Expected goals (xG) 0.51
2.07 Expected points (xPts) 0.66
18 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
12 Shots inside the box 5
6 Shots outside the box 4
495 Passes 292
88% Pass accuracy 78%
6 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
15 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 4
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.79 Team rating 7.26

Line-ups

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

236.2 E. Martínez(G)
227.3 I. Maatsen ↓73’ 146.7 Pau Torres 47.7 E. Konsa 27.0 M. Cash
87.7 Y. Tielemans 266.6 L. Bogarde ↓73’
106.9 E. Buendía 275.3 M. Rogers 76.7 J. McGinn ↓18’
116.2 O. Watkins
  • 23E. Martínez (G)6.2
  • 22I. Maatsen↓73’7.3
  • 14Pau Torres6.7
  • 4E. Konsa7.7
  • 2M. Cash7.0
  • 8Y. Tielemans7.7
  • 26L. Bogarde↓73’6.6
  • 10E. Buendía6.9
  • 27M. Rogers5.3
  • 7J. McGinn↓18’6.7
  • 11O. Watkins6.2

Substitutes used

  • 12L. Digne↑73’6.7
  • 29E. Guessand↑18’7.3
  • 53George Hemmings↑73’6.7

Unused: M. Bizot, J. Wright, V. Lindelöf, T. Mings, J. Jimoh-Aloba, Andrés García

Everton 4-2-3-1

18.9★ J. Pickford(G)
166.6 V. Mykolenko 158.0 J. O'Brien 67.5 J. Tarkowski 27.5 N. Patterson
377.9 J. Garner 346.5 M. Röhl
186.9 J. Grealish 456.5 H. Armstrong 76.7 D. McNeil
116.9 T. Barry ↓84’
  • 1J. Pickford (G) ★8.9
  • 16V. Mykolenko6.6
  • 15J. O'Brien8.0
  • 6J. Tarkowski7.5
  • 2N. Patterson7.5
  • 37J. Garner7.9
  • 34M. Röhl6.5
  • 18J. Grealish6.9
  • 45H. Armstrong6.5
  • 7D. McNeil6.7
  • 11T. Barry↓84’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 9Beto↑84’6.2

Unused: T. King, M. Travers, R. Welch, T. Dibling, A. Aznou, S. Coleman, E. Campbell

Player stats

Top rated
J. PickfordEverton8.9
2nd
J. O'BrienEverton8.0
3rd
J. GarnerEverton7.9

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
E. Martínez G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 84% 38 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
I. Maatsen D 73 0 0 1 (1) 3 90% 42 1 0 1/1 1/1 7.3
Pau Torres D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 65 2 1 1/1 0/0 6.7
E. Konsa D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 87 3 0 0/0 0/2 7.7
M. Cash D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 43 1 0 2/3 2/2 7.0
Y. Tielemans M 90 0 0 1 (0) 5 86% 66 2 1 0/0 1/0 7.7
L. Bogarde M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 37 3 0 0/0 2/1 6.6
E. Buendía M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 80% 40 0 0 1/2 3/3 6.9
M. Rogers F 90 0 0 5 (2) 2 85% 26 0 1 0/2 4/0 5.3
J. McGinn M 18 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.7
O. Watkins F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 19 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
L. Digne D 17 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
E. Guessand F 72 0 0 3 (1) 1 100% 8 2 1 0/2 0/2 7.3
George Hemmings M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 9 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7

Everton

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
J. Pickford G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 63% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.9
V. Mykolenko D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 81% 21 2 1 0/0 1/0 6.6
J. O'Brien D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 32 1 1 0/0 0/1 8.0
J. Tarkowski D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 23 2 3 0/0 0/1 7.5
N. Patterson D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 22 2 1 0/1 0/1 7.5
J. Garner M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 50 7 4 0/0 3/2 7.9
M. Röhl M 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 78% 18 1 1 1/3 2/1 6.5
J. Grealish M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 1 0 0/1 2/6 6.9
H. Armstrong M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 26 1 1 0/0 2/1 6.5
D. McNeil F 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 88% 24 0 1 0/0 2/2 6.7
T. Barry F 84 1 0 1 (1) 1 59% 17 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
Beto F 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.